Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#181.2:1.817:00Today2.0:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.14DAFX3.30BFR23.37PINMargin at best6.7%Books8Markets43Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.14	3.30	3.25	7.8%
Pinnacle	2.10	3.21	3.37	8.4%
Betano	2.12	3.25	3.20	9.2%
1xBet	2.10	3.15	3.20	10.6%
Betfair	2.10	3.30	3.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.08	3.15	3.12	11.9%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.00	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	3.20	3.10	12.3%
Best of all books	2.14	3.30	3.37	6.7%
Average	2.10	3.22	3.16	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Valencia IILorca Deportiva

Last 10#18Table position#110.75Points per game1.335Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6347Defence rating5342Form rating580H2H rating050Goals model5044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Valencia II

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Castellonense	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Orihuela	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Elche II	1-4	L
4 Oct	H	Peña Deportiva	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Poblense	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Castellón II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Ucam Murcia	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Mallorca II	1-1	D
3 May	A	Olot	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	Espanyol II	3-0	W

Lorca Deportiva

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	H	Poblense	2-0	W
25 Oct	A	Real Murcia II	2-3	L
18 Oct	H	Atlético Baleares	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	La Nucía	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Castellón II	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Castellonense	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Intercity	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Orihuela	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Elche II	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Águilas	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Valencia II and Lorca Deportiva on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 8 Nov 14:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Valencia II sit 18th with 6 points from 8 games, while Lorca Deportiva are 11th with 12 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	9	6	0	3	22:11	+11	18
2	Castellón II	9	6	0	3	20:10	+10	18
3	Deportiva Minera	8	5	2	1	11:6	+5	17
4	Castellonense	9	5	1	3	16:11	+5	16
5	La Nucía	9	5	0	4	14:13	+1	15
6	Cieza	9	4	2	3	14:8	+6	14
7	Alcoyano	9	4	2	3	11:12	-1	14
8	Intercity	9	3	4	2	14:13	+1	13
9	Atlético Baleares	10	3	4	3	16:16	0	13
10	Poblense	10	4	1	5	9:12	-3	13
11	Lorca Deportiva	9	3	3	3	12:10	+2	12
12	Mallorca II	10	3	3	4	11:14	-3	12
13	Orihuela	9	3	3	3	10:15	-5	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	8:10	-2	11
15	Real Murcia II	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
16	Elche II	9	2	2	5	10:20	-10	8
17	Peña Deportiva	10	2	1	7	8:14	-6	7
18	Valencia II	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X28%3.22229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.89	5.8%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.88	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.66	2.07	8.6%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.04	9.3%
Best of all books	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Average	1.66	2.06	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valencia II 10%Draw 45%Lorca Deportiva 45%

The statistical model rates Valencia II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lorca Deportiva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.22 | 3.16, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Valencia II are 18th (6 pts, 8-13 goals), Lorca Deportiva 11th (12 pts, 12-10).

Over their last five matches, Valencia II averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Lorca Deportiva averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lorca Deportiva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.22	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.62	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	2.11	3.67

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.45	3.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.37	13.7	30.7
HT X	5.57	5.27	7.33
HT 2	23.0	14.3	4.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	9.60	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.35
1.5	1.24	3.38
2.5	1.85	1.88
3.5	2.94	1.32
4.5	5.43	1.11
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.17	4.50
1.75	1.29	3.08
2	1.38	2.68
2.25	1.61	2.15
2.75	2.05	1.66
3	2.42	1.47
3.25	2.71	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.07	1.30
-0.75	2.42	1.47
-0.5	2.08	1.69
-0.25	1.83	1.89
0	1.53	2.33
+0.25	1.38	2.71

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2	7.40	1.03
-1.75	5.10	1.13
-1.5	3.92	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
+0.5	1.30	3.27
+0.75	1.18	3.86
+1	1.07	5.75
+1.5	1.05	6.65

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

8 Nov	Orihuela – Ucam Murcia
11 Nov	Castellonense – La Nucía
11 Nov	Castellón II – Deportiva Minera
11 Nov	Alcoyano – Elche II
11 Nov	Cieza – Valencia II

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

8 Nov	Mallorca II 2-1 Yeclano
8 Nov	Atlético Baleares 1-2 La Nucía
8 Nov	Castellonense 3-4 Alcoyano
8 Nov	Poblense 1-0 Cieza
8 Nov	Castellón II 0-1 Peña Deportiva
7 Nov	Intercity 2-2 Elche II