Castellonense vs La Nucía• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#31.6:1.009:45PostponedToday1.8:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.71PINX3.00B36522.68PINMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets39Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.63	3.10	2.63	8.3%
Pinnacle	2.73	2.83	2.69	9.1%
Bet365	2.60	2.90	2.60	11.4%
1xBet	2.62	2.88	2.57	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.62	2.88	2.57	11.8%
William Hill	2.62	2.80	2.62	12.1%
Best of all books	2.73	3.10	2.69	6.1%
Average	2.64	2.90	2.61	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CastellonenseLa Nucía

Last 10#3Table position#42.00Points per game2.009Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.247Attack rating5355Defence rating4550Form rating5071H2H rating2990Goals model1063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Castellonense

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Deportiva Minera	2-3	L
4 Oct	H	Real Murcia II	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Lorca Deportiva	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Cieza	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Poblense	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Ucam Murcia	2-1	W
9 May	H	Atzeneta	0-1	L
2 May	A	Hércules II	4-1	W
26 Apr	H	Saguntino	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Ontinyent 1931	2-3	L

La Nucía

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Lorca Deportiva	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Deportiva Minera	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Mallorca II	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Yeclano	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	Poblense	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Alcoyano	1-2	L
20 Jun	H	Trival Valderas	1-0	W
14 Jun	A	Trival Valderas	0-0	D
7 Jun	A	Levante II	1-1	D

Head to head

3Castellonense wins

2draws

1La Nucía wins

6 meetings · goals 7:4 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for Castellonense

4 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Castellonense2-0La Nucía
23 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	La Nucía0-2Castellonense
25 May 2025Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	La Nucía1-2Castellonense
17 May 2025Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Castellonense0-0La Nucía
6 Apr 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Castellonense0-2La Nucía
24 Nov 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	La Nucía1-1Castellonense

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 18 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Castellonense sit 3rd with 12 points from 6 games, while La Nucía are 4th with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	6	4	0	2	14:6	+8	12
2	Castellón II	6	4	0	2	13:7	+6	12
3	Castellonense	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
4	La Nucía	6	4	0	2	10:6	+4	12
5	Cieza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Deportiva Minera	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
7	Yeclano	7	2	4	1	7:6	+1	10
8	Alcoyano	6	3	1	2	6:6	0	10
9	Orihuela	7	3	1	3	9:14	-5	10
10	Lorca Deportiva	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Intercity	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
12	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Atlético Baleares	7	1	4	2	10:13	-3	7
14	Poblense	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Mallorca II	7	1	3	3	4:8	-4	6
16	Peña Deportiva	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
17	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
18	Real Murcia II	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.64X31%2.90235%2.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.54 → 2.61 +2.8%X3.03 → 2.90 -4.3%22.59 → 2.62 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.57	6.4%
BetVictor	2.30	1.57	7.2%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Best of all books	2.34	1.60	5.2%
Average	2.28	1.57	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
Best of all books	1.93	1.81	7.1%
Average	1.90	1.79	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Castellonense 45%Draw 45%La Nucía 10%

The statistical model rates Castellonense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and La Nucía at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 2.90 | 2.61, which imply roughly 37.9% for a Castellonense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Castellonense are 3rd (12 pts, 10-6 goals), La Nucía 4th (12 pts, 10-6).

Over their last five matches, Castellonense averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; La Nucía averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Castellonense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	2.90	2.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.39	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
3.38	1.96	3.32

2nd half

1	X	2
3.03	2.20	2.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.27	15.5	29.0
HT X	6.20	4.50	6.20
HT 2	29.0	16.5	4.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	6.78	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.00
1.5	1.39	2.67
2.5	2.28	1.57
3.5	3.95	1.17
4.5	7.70	1.04
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.50	2.37
2	1.67	2.03
2.25	1.97	1.73
2.75	2.61	1.40
3	3.35	1.26
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	4.49	1.13
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.64	1.46
-0.25	2.26	1.57
0	1.87	1.84
+0.25	1.58	2.22
+0.5	1.46	2.63
+0.75	1.30	3.18

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.00	1.10
-1.5	5.50	1.10
-1.25	4.74	1.15
-1	4.53	1.15
-0.75	3.23	1.29
+1	1.16	4.43
+1.25	1.13	4.86
+1.5	1.11	5.40
+1.75	1.10	7.00

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

18 Oct	Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
18 Oct	Yeclano 2-2 Poblense
18 Oct	Lorca Deportiva 2-2 Atlético Baleares
11 Oct	La Nucía 1-3 Lorca Deportiva
11 Oct	Cieza 3-1 Intercity
11 Oct	Ucam Murcia 2-0 Alcoyano