Atlético Baleares vs La Nucía• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#62.2:1.211:00Tomorrow · Estadio Balear, Palma1.0:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X3.75BFR25.26PINMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets47Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.64	3.65	5.20	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.61	3.67	5.26	8.4%
Betfair	1.60	3.80	5.00	8.8%
Betano	1.62	3.70	4.85	9.4%
1xBet	1.58	3.54	5.26	10.6%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	5.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.67	3.50	4.33	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.54	5.15	11.8%
Best of all books	1.67	3.80	5.26	5.2%
Average	1.61	3.60	5.01	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético BalearesLa Nucía

Last 10#6Table position#91.44Points per game1.508Form pts · last 532.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 52.269Attack rating3165Defence rating3579Form rating2150H2H rating5063Goals model3763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Atlético Baleares

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

1 Nov	A	Peña Deportiva	3-1	W
29 Oct	H	Eldense	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Alcoyano	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	Lorca Deportiva	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Mallorca II	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Poblense	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Cieza	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Ucam Murcia	1-4	L
13 Sep	A	Intercity	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Yeclano	0-1	L

La Nucía

5W 0D 5L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Intercity	1-4	L
25 Oct	A	Castellón II	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Lorca Deportiva	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Deportiva Minera	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Mallorca II	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Yeclano	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Real Murcia II	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	Poblense	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Alcoyano	1-2	L
20 Jun	H	Trival Valderas	1-0	W

Head to head

0Atlético Baleares wins

2draws

0La Nucía wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Atlético Baleares

29 Jan 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Atlético Baleares1-1La Nucía
16 Oct 2022Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	La Nucía1-1Atlético Baleares

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 7 Nov 06:20 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Atlético Baleares sit 6th with 13 points from 9 games, while La Nucía are 9th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ucam Murcia	9	6	0	3	22:11	+11	18
2	Castellón II	8	6	0	2	20:9	+11	18
3	Deportiva Minera	8	5	2	1	11:6	+5	17
4	Castellonense	8	5	1	2	13:7	+6	16
5	Cieza	8	4	2	2	14:7	+7	14
6	Atlético Baleares	9	3	4	2	15:14	+1	13
7	Lorca Deportiva	9	3	3	3	12:10	+2	12
8	Intercity	8	3	3	2	12:11	+1	12
9	La Nucía	8	4	0	4	12:12	0	12
10	Orihuela	9	3	3	3	10:15	-5	12
11	Yeclano	9	2	5	2	7:8	-1	11
12	Alcoyano	8	3	2	3	7:9	-2	11
13	Poblense	9	3	1	5	8:12	-4	10
14	Mallorca II	9	2	3	4	9:13	-4	9
15	Real Murcia II	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
16	Elche II	8	2	1	5	8:18	-10	7
17	Valencia II	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6
18	Peña Deportiva	9	1	1	7	7:14	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.61X25%3.59218%5.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.56 → 1.61 +3.2%X3.68 → 3.59 -2.4%25.12 → 5.01 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.83	5.9%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Betano	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.92	1.79	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
Best of all books	1.95	1.81	6.5%
Average	1.91	1.77	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Baleares 45%Draw 45%La Nucía 10%

The statistical model rates Atlético Baleares at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and La Nucía at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.59 | 5.01, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Atlético Baleares win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Atlético Baleares are 6th (13 pts, 15-14 goals), La Nucía 9th (12 pts, 12-12).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Baleares averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; La Nucía averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atlético Baleares or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.60	5.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.12	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.15	5.32

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.49	4.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.52	15.2	48.7
HT X	4.35	5.60	10.1
HT 2	23.3	16.0	7.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	9.15	2.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.03
1.5	1.28	3.15
2.5	1.92	1.79
3.5	3.14	1.28
4.5	5.95	1.11
5.5	15.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.60
1.25	1.18	4.30
1.75	1.33	2.90
2	1.43	2.52
2.25	1.67	2.03
2.75	2.14	1.61
3	2.59	1.41
3.25	2.91	1.33
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.64	1.40
-1.25	2.34	1.50
-1	2.05	1.68
-0.75	1.77	1.95
-0.5	1.65	2.17
-0.25	1.39	2.67

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.70	1.01
-2.5	5.20	1.10
-2.25	4.80	1.15
-2	4.45	1.14
-1.75	3.20	1.26
0	1.19	3.87
+0.25	1.14	4.40
+1	1.01	9.70
+1.5	1.02	9.30

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches

7 Nov	Intercity – Elche II
8 Nov	Castellón II – Peña Deportiva
8 Nov	Poblense – Cieza
8 Nov	Castellonense – Alcoyano
8 Nov	Mallorca II – Yeclano
8 Nov	Real Murcia II – Deportiva Minera

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 results

1 Nov	Yeclano 0-0 Orihuela
1 Nov	Cieza 0-1 Deportiva Minera
1 Nov	Alcoyano 1-1 Real Murcia II
1 Nov	Ucam Murcia 5-1 Mallorca II
1 Nov	La Nucía 1-4 Intercity
1 Nov	Peña Deportiva 1-3 Atlético Baleares