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Arosa vs Bergantiños• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#171.2:2.62-2FT11/102.4:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.05DAFX3.40B36522.26PINMargin at best6.4%Books9Markets41Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.103.252.228.1%
Pinnacle3.003.082.319.1%
Betano2.953.252.259.1%
1xBet2.973.202.1910.6%
Betfair2.883.252.2010.9%
Bet3652.803.402.1511.6%
Marathonbet2.903.202.1711.8%
William Hill2.903.002.2512.3%
BetVictor2.702.902.1019.1%
Best of all books3.103.402.315.0%
Average2.913.172.2011.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArosaBergantiños
Last 10#17Table position#10.67Points per game2.333Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.42.6Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6728Defence rating7219Form rating8115H2H rating859Goals model9123Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Arosa

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

11 OctHBergantiños2-2D
4 OctAOurense CF0-0D
27 SepHDeportivo Alavés II2-5L
19 SepABasconia2-2D
13 SepHGernika0-4L
6 SepAAmorebieta2-2D
1 AugHPontevedra3-1W
10 MayHCeltiga3-2W
2 MayACambados2-0W
26 AprHBoiro1-0W

Bergantiños

6W 2D 2L · goals 25:11 · per match 2.5 for, 1.1 against

11 OctAArosa2-2D
4 OctHCoruxo3-1W
27 SepHPortugalete3-2W
20 SepAGimnástica Torrelavega3-0W
16 SepAUD Santa Marta0-1L
13 SepHAmorebieta1-0W
9 SepHLeioa5-0W
6 SepAGernika2-2D
3 MayASámano5-0W
26 AprHUD Ourense1-3L

Head to head

2Arosa wins
2draws
3Bergantiños wins

7 meetings · goals 10:10 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Arosa

7 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Bergantiños0-0Arosa
19 Nov 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Arosa1-3Bergantiños
15 May 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Arosa1-1Bergantiños
8 Jan 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Bergantiños2-1Arosa
2 May 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Bergantiños2-1Arosa
11 Apr 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Arosa3-1Bergantiños
22 Dec 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Bergantiños1-3Arosa

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Arosa sit 17th with 4 points from 6 games, while Bergantiños are 1st with 14 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bergantiños642014:7+714
2Eibar II742111:4+714
3Deportivo Alavés II641113:7+613
4Sestao River64117:3+413
5Portugalete73227:7011
6Compostela73138:7+110
7Amorebieta73138:7+110
8Real Oviedo II631210:11-110
9Ourense CF73135:8-310
10Gernika723214:8+69
11Basconia723211:12-19
12Coruxo72237:8-18
13Llanera62139:12-37
14Atlético Astorga720510:11-16
15Marino de Luanco62048:12-46
16Gimnástica Torrelavega61236:10-45
17Arosa60428:15-74
18Racing Santander II71157:14-74

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.93X28%3.15241%2.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:029 Oct 03:111 2.93X 3.202 2.21
13.40 → 2.93 -13.8%X3.40 → 3.20 -5.9%21.92 → 2.21 +15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.991.815.5%
Betano1.931.788.0%
1xBet1.961.729.2%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
BetVictor1.731.6119.9%
Best of all books1.991.854.3%
Average1.921.759.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.761.948.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Betano1.751.939.0%
Marathonbet1.761.919.2%
BetVictor1.571.7819.9%
Best of all books1.761.958.1%
Average1.721.9010.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arosa 0%Draw 50%Bergantiños 50%

The statistical model rated Arosa at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Bergantiños at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 3.15 | 2.17, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Arosa are 17th (4 pts, 8-15 goals), Bergantiños 1st (14 pts, 14-7).

Over their last five matches, Arosa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Bergantiños averaged 2.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bergantiños and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.913.172.20

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.311.26

Draw no bet

12
2.061.58

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.90

1st half

1X2
3.502.072.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1710.01.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.55
1.51.293.09
2.51.921.75
3.53.371.24
4.56.201.08
5.515.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.027.90
1.251.154.30
1.751.352.81
21.472.42
2.251.721.97
2.752.261.56
32.771.36
3.253.121.29
3.754.101.16
46.251.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.951.36
-0.252.501.45
02.131.62
+0.251.751.89
+0.51.592.29
+0.751.402.63
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.701.05
-1.254.901.11
-15.551.08
-0.753.581.21
+11.233.54
+1.251.164.05
+1.51.134.50
+1.751.154.20
+21.029.45
+2.51.039.20

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches

18 OctGimnástica Torrelavega – Deportivo Alavés II
18 OctBergantiños – Real Oviedo II
18 OctMarino de Luanco – Sestao River
18 OctArosa – Llanera

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 results

17 OctGernika 1-2 Amorebieta
17 OctOurense CF 0-1 Coruxo
17 OctCompostela 4-1 Atlético Astorga
17 OctPortugalete 0-0 Eibar II
17 OctRacing Santander II 3-1 Basconia
11 OctCoruxo 0-1 Compostela