Gernika vs Amorebieta• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#102.2:0.81-2FTToday0.8:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27PINX3.00B36523.28PINMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets43Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.26	2.91	3.28	9.1%
1xBet	2.20	2.94	3.21	10.6%
Bet365	2.20	3.00	3.10	11.0%
William Hill	2.25	2.75	3.25	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.18	2.94	3.12	11.9%
BetVictor	2.05	2.70	2.90	20.3%
Best of all books	2.26	3.00	3.28	8.1%
Average	2.19	2.87	3.14	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GernikaAmorebieta

Last 10#10Table position#71.29Points per game1.438Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 50.873Attack rating2750Defence rating5057Form rating43100H2H rating038Goals model6260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:10 UTC

Gernika

3W 6D 1L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	A	Deportivo Alavés II	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Sestao River	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Coruxo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Llanera	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Arosa	4-0	W
6 Sep	H	Bergantiños	2-2	D
3 May	H	Deportivo Alavés II	0-0	D
26 Apr	A	Basconia	0-0	D
18 Apr	H	Tudelano	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	Amorebieta	2-1	W

Amorebieta

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Portugalete	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Ourense CF	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Racing Santander II	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Bergantiños	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Arosa	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Athletic Club II	0-1	L
3 May	A	Mutilvera	2-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sestao River	1-1	D
18 Apr	A	Real Unión	3-3	D

Head to head

3Gernika wins

0draws

0Amorebieta wins

3 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Gernika

11 Apr 2026Segunda División RFEF - Group 2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2	Amorebieta1-2Gernika
11 Oct 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2	Gernika1-0Amorebieta
18 Aug 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Gernika1-0Amorebieta

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Gernika sit 10th with 9 points from 7 games, while Amorebieta are 7th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	6	4	2	0	14:7	+7	14
2	Eibar II	7	4	2	1	11:4	+7	14
3	Deportivo Alavés II	6	4	1	1	13:7	+6	13
4	Sestao River	6	4	1	1	7:3	+4	13
5	Portugalete	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11
6	Compostela	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
7	Amorebieta	7	3	1	3	8:7	+1	10
8	Real Oviedo II	6	3	1	2	10:11	-1	10
9	Ourense CF	7	3	1	3	5:8	-3	10
10	Gernika	7	2	3	2	14:8	+6	9
11	Basconia	7	2	3	2	11:12	-1	9
12	Coruxo	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
13	Llanera	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
14	Atlético Astorga	7	2	0	5	10:11	-1	6
15	Marino de Luanco	6	2	0	4	8:12	-4	6
16	Gimnástica Torrelavega	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
17	Arosa	6	0	4	2	8:15	-7	4
18	Racing Santander II	7	1	1	5	7:14	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.19X31%2.87228%3.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.16 → 2.22 +2.8%X3.12 → 2.90 -7.1%23.10 → 3.19 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
BetVictor	2.05	1.40	20.2%
Best of all books	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Average	2.29	1.50	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.70	9.3%
BetVictor	1.80	1.55	20.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Average	1.94	1.68	11.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gernika 45%Draw 45%Amorebieta 10%

The statistical model rated Gernika at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Amorebieta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 2.87 | 3.14, which imply roughly 45.7% for a Gernika win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Gernika are 10th (9 pts, 14-8 goals), Amorebieta 7th (10 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, Gernika averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Amorebieta averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gernika or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.19	2.87	3.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.53	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.91	3.88

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.19	3.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.50	16.8	36.0
HT X	5.60	4.35	7.15
HT 2	29.0	16.8	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	6.48	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.70
1.5	1.42	2.57
2.5	2.29	1.50
3.5	4.25	1.15
4.5	9.70	1.01
5.5	26.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.25
1.25	1.27	3.27
1.75	1.54	2.26
2	1.72	1.89
2.25	2.04	1.67
2.75	2.74	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.90	1.18
3.75	5.47	1.08
4	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.60	1.41
-0.5	2.25	1.61
-0.25	1.85	1.78
0	1.57	2.25
+0.25	1.39	2.67
+0.5	1.31	3.21

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	5.58	1.08
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	3.98	1.17
-1	3.53	1.23
+0.75	1.18	3.90
+1	1.06	6.00
+1.5	1.04	7.00