Atletico Grau vs ADT• Primera División, Peru

#131.4:2.220:15Today · Estadio Miguel Grau, Piura0.6:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.95BTN25.00BTNMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets83Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.72	3.95	5.30	2.3%
Dafabet	1.71	3.80	5.00	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.71	3.66	4.54	7.8%
1xBet	1.66	3.70	4.84	7.9%
Bet365	1.67	3.50	5.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.70	4.85	8.6%
BetVictor	1.65	3.70	4.75	8.7%
William Hill	1.70	3.40	4.60	10.0%
Betfair	1.62	3.75	4.60	10.1%
SBO	1.58	3.36	4.21	16.8%
Best of all books	1.72	3.95	5.30	2.3%
Average	1.67	3.65	4.77	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico GrauADT

Last 10#13Table position#171.14Points per game0.904Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.62.2Goals against · last 51.670Attack rating3042Defence rating5850Form rating5050H2H rating5074Goals model2657Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Atletico Grau

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	A	Alianza Lima	1-3	L
8 Oct	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Sporting Cristal	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Alianza Atletico	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Garcilaso	2-4	L
1 Sep	H	FBC Melgar	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	Sport Boys	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	FC Cajamarca	3-1	W
14 Aug	H	Comerciantes Unidos	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Juan Pablo II College	0-0	D

ADT

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:22 · per match 0.7 for, 2.2 against

16 Oct	A	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	FC Cajamarca	0-0	D
1 Oct	A	Sporting Cristal	0-5	L
27 Sep	H	Sporting Cristal	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Cienciano	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Alianza Lima	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	FBC Melgar	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	1-3	L
27 Aug	H	UCV Moquegua	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Juan Pablo II College	1-5	L

Head to head

3Atletico Grau wins

3draws

3ADT wins

9 meetings · goals 15:12 · last 9: 3W 3D 3L for Atletico Grau

2 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	ADT1-0Atletico Grau
31 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau2-0ADT
15 Feb 2025Primera División	Primera División	ADT4-3Atletico Grau
4 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	ADT1-2Atletico Grau
25 Feb 2024Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau2-2ADT
23 Jul 2023Primera División	Primera División	ADT1-0Atletico Grau
19 Feb 2023Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau1-1ADT
4 Sep 2022Primera División	Primera División	ADT1-1Atletico Grau
16 Apr 2022Primera División	Primera División	Atletico Grau4-1ADT

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Atletico Grau sit 13th with 33 points from 29 games, while ADT are 17th with 26 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	29	18	8	3	49:20	+29	62
2	Universitario	29	15	8	6	49:34	+15	53
3	FBC Melgar	29	14	8	7	51:33	+18	50
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	14	6	9	41:29	+12	48
5	Cienciano	29	14	5	10	49:40	+9	47
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	13	7	9	38:46	-8	46
7	Cusco	29	14	3	12	42:42	0	45
8	Sporting Cristal	29	13	5	11	53:42	+11	44
9	Alianza Atletico	29	12	7	10	44:40	+4	43
10	Sport Huancayo	29	12	5	12	40:45	-5	41
11	Sport Boys	29	10	8	11	30:31	-1	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	29	10	8	11	45:53	-8	38
13	Atletico Grau	29	9	6	14	27:34	-7	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	29	7	10	12	38:43	-5	31
15	FC Cajamarca	29	7	7	15	41:53	-12	28
16	UCV Moquegua	29	7	7	15	25:43	-18	28
17	ADT	29	6	8	15	30:44	-14	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	29	4	8	17	32:52	-20	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.68X25%3.64220%4.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.73 → 1.68 -2.9%X3.51 → 3.64 +3.7%24.46 → 4.69 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	1.93	5.0%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
SBO	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Betano	1.85	1.88	7.2%
1xBet	1.83	1.89	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.89	7.6%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.88	1.95	4.5%
Average	1.83	1.91	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.88	8.7%
Best of all books	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Average	1.80	1.91	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Grau 45%Draw 45%ADT 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico Grau at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and ADT at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.64 | 4.69, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Atletico Grau win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Atletico Grau are 13th (33 pts, 27-34 goals), ADT 17th (26 pts, 30-44).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Grau averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; ADT averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Grau or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.65	4.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.10	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.20	4.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.00	2.55	4.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	14.8	45.2
HT X	4.40	5.57	10.0
HT 2	22.2	15.2	8.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	11.5	2.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.89
1.5	1.24	3.58
2.5	1.83	1.91
3.5	3.08	1.32
4.5	5.97	1.10
5.5	11.1	1.04
6.5	20.9	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.85
1.75	1.30	3.11
2	1.39	2.69
2.25	1.62	2.16
2.75	2.05	1.68
3	2.42	1.48
3.25	2.75	1.38
3.75	3.73	1.20
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.46	1.09
4.75	7.60	1.03
5	8.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.80	1.37
-1.25	2.49	1.46
-1	2.18	1.63
-0.75	1.84	1.88
-0.5	1.65	2.15
-0.25	1.44	2.56

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.27	1.05
-2.5	5.60	1.10
-2.25	5.13	1.12
-2	4.67	1.14
-1.75	3.43	1.25
0	1.24	3.58
+0.25	1.17	4.20
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.43
+1	1.03	8.60
+1.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.27
6.5	1.19	3.71
7.5	1.43	2.54
8.5	1.75	1.96
9.5	2.23	1.58
10.5	2.98	1.32
11.5	4.47	1.12
12.5	6.99	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.05	5.98
6	1.06	5.70
6.25	1.12	4.43
6.75	1.22	3.50
7	1.25	3.30
7.25	1.34	2.83
7.75	1.49	2.39
8	1.49	2.42
8.25	1.68	2.06
8.75	1.89	1.82
9	1.90	1.82
9.25	2.15	1.62
9.75	2.47	1.46
10	2.54	1.45
10.25	2.92	1.32
10.75	3.48	1.22
11	4.08	1.15
11.25	4.28	1.14
11.75	5.26	1.08
12	6.53	1.03
12.25	6.76	1.02

Next Primera División matches

23 Oct	UTC Cajamarca – FBC Melgar
24 Oct	Sport Huancayo – Alianza Atletico
24 Oct	Cusco – Sporting Cristal
25 Oct	Universitario – Juan Pablo II College
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos – Cienciano
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua – Alianza Lima

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

18 Oct	Cienciano 1-0 UTC Cajamarca
18 Oct	Alianza Atletico 1-4 Universitario
18 Oct	FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua
18 Oct	Sporting Cristal 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos
18 Oct	Alianza Lima 3-1 Atletico Grau
17 Oct	FBC Melgar 4-2 Deportivo Garcilaso