Alianza Atletico vs Universitario• Primera División, Peru

#72.6:1.620:3018/10 · Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana2.0:2.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95DAFX3.25BFR22.50WHMargin at best4.7%Books5Markets75Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.89	3.01	2.50	7.8%
1xBet	2.82	3.25	2.40	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.79	3.25	2.38	8.6%
Bet365	2.80	3.20	2.38	9.0%
William Hill	2.80	3.00	2.50	9.0%
Best of all books	2.89	3.25	2.50	5.4%
Average	2.82	3.14	2.43	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza AtleticoUniversitario

Last 10#7Table position#21.54Points per game1.799Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 52.01.6Goals against · last 52.257Attack rating4358Defence rating4260Form rating4040H2H rating6061Goals model3951Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Alianza Atletico

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Sport Boys	3-1	W
6 Oct	H	Sport Boys	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Sport Boys	0-3	L
18 Sep	H	Comerciantes Unidos	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Atletico Grau	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	UTC Cajamarca	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	UCV Moquegua	4-1	W
25 Aug	H	UTC Cajamarca	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Sporting Cristal	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	ADT	1-1	D

Universitario

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	FBC Melgar	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Deportivo Garcilaso	0-4	L
13 Sep	A	Alianza Lima	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Comerciantes Unidos	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	UTC Cajamarca	4-2	W
23 Aug	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3-0	W
16 Aug	A	FC Cajamarca	3-2	W
8 Aug	H	Sporting Cristal	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Cienciano	0-2	L
25 Jul	H	Cusco	2-1	W

Head to head

3Alianza Atletico wins

3draws

11Universitario wins

17 meetings · goals 17:35 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Alianza Atletico

26 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Universitario1-2Alianza Atletico
1 Oct 2025Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico0-2Universitario
11 May 2025Primera División	Primera División	Universitario0-1Alianza Atletico
15 Sep 2024Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico0-3Universitario
6 Apr 2024Primera División	Primera División	Universitario1-0Alianza Atletico
4 Jul 2023Primera División	Primera División	Universitario2-0Alianza Atletico
14 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico3-1Universitario
30 Sep 2022Primera División	Primera División	Alianza Atletico2-2Universitario
7 May 2022Primera División	Primera División	Universitario3-1Alianza Atletico
19 Jul 2021Primera División	Primera División	Universitario2-2Alianza Atletico

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico sit 7th with 43 points from 28 games, while Universitario are 2nd with 50 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	28	17	8	3	46:19	+27	59
2	Universitario	28	14	8	6	45:33	+12	50
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	28	14	6	8	39:25	+14	48
4	FBC Melgar	28	13	8	7	47:31	+16	47
5	Cusco	28	14	3	11	41:40	+1	45
6	Cienciano	28	13	5	10	48:40	+8	44
7	Alianza Atletico	28	12	7	9	43:36	+7	43
8	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	28	12	7	9	36:45	-9	43
9	Sporting Cristal	28	12	5	11	49:40	+9	41
10	Sport Boys	28	10	8	10	30:29	+1	38
11	Sport Huancayo	28	11	5	12	38:44	-6	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	28	9	8	11	43:53	-10	35
13	Atletico Grau	28	9	6	13	26:31	-5	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	28	7	10	11	36:39	-3	31
15	FC Cajamarca	28	7	7	14	41:52	-11	28
16	ADT	28	6	8	14	29:42	-13	26
17	UCV Moquegua	28	6	7	15	24:43	-19	25
18	UTC Cajamarca	28	4	8	16	32:51	-19	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.83X29%3.17238%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.90 → 2.83 -2.4%X3.17 → 3.17 0.0%22.37 → 2.41 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.07	1.73	6.1%
1xBet	2.05	1.71	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.71	7.3%
Best of all books	2.07	1.75	5.5%
Average	2.05	1.72	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.92	7.9%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.89	8.8%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.79	1.90	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Atletico 35%Draw 35%Universitario 30%

The statistical model rates Alianza Atletico at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Universitario at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.83 | 3.17 | 2.41, which imply roughly 35.3% for a Alianza Atletico win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Atletico are 7th (43 pts, 43-36 goals), Universitario 2nd (50 pts, 45-33).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Atletico averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Universitario averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Atletico or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.82	3.14	2.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.39	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
2.00	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
3.44	2.07	3.03

2nd half

1	X	2
3.17	2.33	2.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.58	15.0	31.0
HT X	6.43	4.83	5.77
HT 2	33.0	14.8	3.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	9.05	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	9.40
1.5	1.31	3.13
2.5	2.05	1.73
3.5	3.64	1.22
4.5	7.60	1.05
5.5	15.8	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.38
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.38	2.71
2	1.51	2.34
2.25	1.79	1.94
2.75	2.33	1.51
3	2.90	1.34
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.55	1.05
4.25	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.80	1.41
-0.25	2.38	1.53
0	2.03	1.75
+0.25	1.69	2.05
+0.5	1.54	2.42
+0.75	1.36	2.87

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.40	1.01
-1.5	6.10	1.08
-1.25	5.65	1.10
-1	5.03	1.12
-0.75	3.41	1.27
+1	1.19	3.94
+1.25	1.15	4.46
+1.5	1.13	4.97
+1.75	1.07	6.81
+2	1.02	9.10
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.68
6.5	1.23	3.43
7.5	1.49	2.38
8.5	1.85	1.84
9.5	2.41	1.48
10.5	3.32	1.24
11.5	4.93	1.09
12.5	6.24	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.07	5.41
6	1.08	5.14
6.25	1.16	4.06
6.75	1.26	3.24
7	1.29	3.04
7.25	1.39	2.65
7.75	1.56	2.25
8	1.64	2.11
8.25	1.76	1.95
8.75	1.99	1.73
9	2.14	1.62
9.25	2.28	1.54
9.75	2.65	1.39
10	2.99	1.30
10.25	3.16	1.27
10.75	3.80	1.18
11	4.53	1.12
11.25	4.73	1.10
11.75	4.74	1.10
12	5.80	1.05
12.25	6.02	1.04