Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos• Primera División, Peru

#92.2:0.616:0018/10 · Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima1.2:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.28B365X5.88PIN211.9PINMargin at best3.5%Books5Markets80Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.22	5.88	11.9	7.4%
1xBet	1.26	5.55	9.40	8.0%
Bet365	1.28	5.00	10.0	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.25	5.55	9.40	8.7%
William Hill	1.25	5.00	9.50	10.5%
Best of all books	1.28	5.88	11.9	3.5%
Average	1.25	5.40	10.0	8.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos

Last 10#9Table position#141.46Points per game1.1115Form pts · last 522.2Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 51.865Attack rating3575Defence rating2586Form rating1480H2H rating2067Goals model3376Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Sporting Cristal

8W 0D 2L · goals 26:8 · per match 2.6 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	A	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	ADT	5-0	W
27 Sep	A	ADT	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	UCV Moquegua	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	Sport Boys	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	4-1	W
21 Aug	A	Alianza Atletico	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	4-1	W

Comerciantes Unidos

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Juan Pablo II College	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Alianza Atletico	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Sport Huancayo	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Universitario	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	FC Cajamarca	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	UTC Cajamarca	3-1	W
14 Aug	A	Atletico Grau	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Cusco	3-1	W
31 Jul	A	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	2-3	L
26 Jul	H	Alianza Lima	2-2	D

Head to head

7Sporting Cristal wins

3draws

3Comerciantes Unidos wins

13 meetings · goals 25:14 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Sporting Cristal

25 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-0Sporting Cristal
1 Nov 2025Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-4Sporting Cristal
29 Jun 2025Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal2-0Comerciantes Unidos
3 Nov 2024Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal3-0Comerciantes Unidos
25 May 2024Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos0-1Sporting Cristal
30 Sep 2018Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal0-2Comerciantes Unidos
9 Jun 2018Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-1Sporting Cristal
11 Apr 2018Primera División	Primera División	Comerciantes Unidos1-3Sporting Cristal
25 Feb 2018Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal3-0Comerciantes Unidos
10 Sep 2017Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal2-2Comerciantes Unidos

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Sporting Cristal sit 9th with 41 points from 28 games, while Comerciantes Unidos are 14th with 31 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	28	17	8	3	46:19	+27	59
2	Universitario	28	14	8	6	45:33	+12	50
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	28	14	6	8	39:25	+14	48
4	FBC Melgar	28	13	8	7	47:31	+16	47
5	Cusco	28	14	3	11	41:40	+1	45
6	Cienciano	28	13	5	10	48:40	+8	44
7	Alianza Atletico	28	12	7	9	43:36	+7	43
8	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	28	12	7	9	36:45	-9	43
9	Sporting Cristal	28	12	5	11	49:40	+9	41
10	Sport Boys	28	10	8	10	30:29	+1	38
11	Sport Huancayo	28	11	5	12	38:44	-6	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	28	9	8	11	43:53	-10	35
13	Atletico Grau	28	9	6	13	26:31	-5	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	28	7	10	11	36:39	-3	31
15	FC Cajamarca	28	7	7	14	41:52	-11	28
16	ADT	28	6	8	14	29:42	-13	26
17	UCV Moquegua	28	6	7	15	24:43	-19	25
18	UTC Cajamarca	28	4	8	16	32:51	-19	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg174%1.25X17%5.4029%10.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.27 → 1.25 -1.6%X5.26 → 5.40 +2.7%29.85 → 10.0 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.52	6.8%
Bet365	1.53	2.40	7.0%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.52	5.0%
Average	1.49	2.40	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.81	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.79	8.8%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.89	1.91	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting Cristal 50%Draw 50%Comerciantes Unidos 0%

The statistical model rates Sporting Cristal at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Comerciantes Unidos at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.25 | 5.40 | 10.04, which imply roughly 80% for a Sporting Cristal win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Sporting Cristal are 9th (41 pts, 49-40 goals), Comerciantes Unidos 14th (31 pts, 36-39).

Over their last five matches, Sporting Cristal averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Comerciantes Unidos averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.25	5.40	10.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.51	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	8.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
1.65	2.69	7.79

2nd half

1	X	2
1.52	3.16	7.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.71	21.0	54.7
HT X	4.00	8.63	20.5
HT 2	21.0	21.7	17.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	17.9	3.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.13	5.00
2.5	1.49	2.40
3.5	2.24	1.60
4.5	3.64	1.22
5.5	7.00	1.06
6.5	15.0	1.03
7.5	29.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.75	1.14	4.33
2	1.18	3.90
2.25	1.33	2.93
2.75	1.59	2.18
3	1.77	1.92
3.25	2.01	1.72
3.75	2.56	1.43
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
4.75	4.45	1.14
5	5.95	1.07
5.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.81	1.37
-2.25	2.55	1.44
-2	2.27	1.56
-1.75	1.97	1.78
-1.5	1.77	1.99
-1.25	1.56	2.30

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.00	1.01
-4	8.40	1.01
-3.75	6.33	1.07
-3.5	5.10	1.12
-3.25	4.73	1.14
-3	4.33	1.16
-2.75	3.28	1.27
-1	1.35	2.90
-0.75	1.29	3.19
-0.5	1.27	3.55
-0.25	1.15	4.58
0	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.46
7.5	1.17	3.92
8.5	1.32	3.10
9.5	1.64	2.15
10.5	2.07	1.69
11.5	2.60	1.44
12.5	3.05	1.33
13.5	5.49	1.06

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.05	5.93
8	1.21	3.54
9	1.48	2.41
10	1.89	1.87
11	2.44	1.47
12	3.40	1.23
13	5.10	1.08