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Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca• Primera División, Peru

#62.0:1.423:3018/10 · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco1.4:2.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.291XBX5.90PIN210.1PINMargin at best4.4%Books5Markets79Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.295.109.607.5%
Pinnacle1.235.9010.18.2%
Bet3651.275.259.508.3%
Marathonbet1.265.608.808.6%
William Hill1.255.009.5010.5%
Best of all books1.295.9010.14.4%
Average1.265.379.508.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CiencianoUTC Cajamarca
Last 10#6Table position#181.57Points per game0.547Form pts · last 502.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 52.659Attack rating4165Defence rating35100Form rating085H2H rating1568Goals model3270Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Cienciano

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

8 OctAUCV Moquegua2-0W
30 SepHClub Deportivo Los Chankas1-1D
23 SepAADT1-2L
18 SepAAtletico Torque0-3L
11 SepHAtletico Torque2-0W
4 SepAFC Cajamarca5-2W
31 AugHCusco1-2L
23 AugASport Boys1-5L
21 AugABotafogo0-1L
16 AugHDeportivo Garcilaso0-0D

UTC Cajamarca

0W 2D 8L · goals 11:23 · per match 1.1 for, 2.3 against

11 OctHSporting Cristal0-1L
20 SepASport Huancayo2-3L
11 SepHJuan Pablo II College1-2L
4 SepAAlianza Atletico2-3L
29 AugHUniversitario2-4L
25 AugAAlianza Atletico1-1D
22 AugHComerciantes Unidos1-3L
16 AugAAlianza Lima0-1L
8 AugHADT1-1D
1 AugACusco1-4L

Head to head

5Cienciano wins
5draws
3UTC Cajamarca wins

13 meetings · goals 23:20 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Cienciano

26 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUTC Cajamarca2-2Cienciano
13 Oct 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUTC Cajamarca0-2Cienciano
24 May 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCienciano6-1UTC Cajamarca
13 Sep 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUTC Cajamarca1-2Cienciano
7 Apr 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCienciano1-1UTC Cajamarca
8 Jul 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCienciano2-2UTC Cajamarca
4 Feb 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUTC Cajamarca3-0Cienciano
7 Oct 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUTC Cajamarca2-1Cienciano
21 May 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCienciano3-2UTC Cajamarca
21 Sep 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCienciano2-2UTC Cajamarca

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cienciano sit 6th with 44 points from 28 games, while UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 15 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima28178346:19+2759
2Universitario28148645:33+1250
3Deportivo Garcilaso28146839:25+1448
4FBC Melgar28138747:31+1647
5Cusco281431141:40+145
6Cienciano281351048:40+844
7Alianza Atletico28127943:36+743
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28127936:45-943
9Sporting Cristal281251149:40+941
10Sport Boys281081030:29+138
11Sport Huancayo281151238:44-638
12Juan Pablo II College28981143:53-1035
13Atletico Grau28961326:31-533
14Comerciantes Unidos287101136:39-331
15FC Cajamarca28771441:52-1128
16ADT28681429:42-1326
17UCV Moquegua28671524:43-1925
18UTC Cajamarca28481632:51-1915

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.26X17%5.37210%9.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 09:301 1.26X 5.372 9.50
11.26 → 1.26 0.0%X5.38 → 5.37 -0.2%29.47 → 9.50 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.706.5%
Pinnacle1.412.757.3%
1xBet1.422.658.2%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.442.755.8%
Average1.422.678.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.771.967.5%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.771.928.6%
Best of all books1.801.966.6%
Average1.771.948.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cienciano 50%Draw 50%UTC Cajamarca 0%

The statistical model rates Cienciano at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and UTC Cajamarca at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.26 | 5.37 | 9.50, which imply roughly 79.4% for a Cienciano win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cienciano are 6th (44 pts, 48-40 goals), UTC Cajamarca 18th (15 pts, 32-51).

Over their last five matches, Cienciano averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; UTC Cajamarca averaged 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Cienciano or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.265.379.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.053.521.13

Draw no bet

12
1.078.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.93

1st half

1X2
1.642.817.37

2nd half

1X2
1.543.187.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.7420.859.0
HT X4.189.0320.5
HT 218.022.016.4

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2822.03.53

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.9
1.51.115.43
2.51.422.67
3.52.051.71
4.53.361.28
5.55.921.09
6.513.01.04
7.523.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.0
1.751.124.80
21.154.40
2.251.303.08
2.751.512.36
31.632.14
3.251.871.85
3.752.351.52
42.771.38
4.253.131.30
4.754.061.17
55.101.11
5.255.501.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.771.39
-2.252.491.47
-22.231.60
-1.751.941.80
-1.51.752.01
-1.251.562.30
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.59.101.01
-48.451.02
-3.756.201.09
-3.54.971.13
-3.254.451.16
-34.251.17
-2.753.261.29
-11.372.89
-0.751.313.12
-0.51.273.55
-0.251.164.52
01.057.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.78
7.51.293.08
8.51.562.24
9.51.941.78
10.52.501.44
11.53.421.23
12.55.031.09
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.134.31
81.362.74
91.731.99
102.241.56
113.101.28
124.641.11
137.281.01