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Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau• Primera División, Peru

#11.2:1.001:3018/10 · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima1.4:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36WHX4.75B36529.00B365Margin at best5.7%Books6Markets88Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.334.759.007.4%
Pinnacle1.354.737.877.9%
1xBet1.334.758.557.9%
Marathonbet1.324.758.508.6%
BetVictor1.334.608.508.7%
William Hill1.364.408.008.8%
Best of all books1.364.759.005.7%
Average1.344.668.408.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza LimaAtletico Grau
Last 10#1Table position#132.11Points per game1.187Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.646Attack rating5462Defence rating3850Form rating5071H2H rating2983Goals model1763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

Alianza Lima

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

11 OctACusco2-1W
1 OctHPalestino1-2L
19 SepHADT2-0W
13 SepHUniversitario1-2L
6 SepAJuan Pablo II College1-1D
30 AugHDeportivo Garcilaso0-1L
23 AugAFBC Melgar1-1D
16 AugHUTC Cajamarca1-0W
9 AugASport Boys1-1D
2 AugHAlianza Atletico3-1W

Atletico Grau

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

8 OctHClub Deportivo Los Chankas0-0D
19 SepASporting Cristal1-3L
13 SepHAlianza Atletico3-1W
6 SepADeportivo Garcilaso2-4L
1 SepHFBC Melgar1-0W
26 AugHSport Boys2-2D
21 AugAFC Cajamarca3-1W
14 AugHComerciantes Unidos1-0W
8 AugAJuan Pablo II College0-0D
1 AugHSport Boys0-1L

Head to head

7Alianza Lima wins
2draws
1Atletico Grau wins

10 meetings · goals 14:6 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Alianza Lima

26 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAtletico Grau0-1Alianza Lima
2 Oct 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima2-1Atletico Grau
10 May 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAtletico Grau1-1Alianza Lima
18 Sep 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAtletico Grau1-0Alianza Lima
15 Apr 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima2-0Atletico Grau
24 Jun 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima2-0Atletico Grau
26 Mar 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAtletico Grau1-2Alianza Lima
10 Jul 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAtletico Grau1-2Alianza Lima
5 Feb 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima1-1Atletico Grau
16 Feb 2020Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima1-0Atletico Grau

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Alianza Lima sit 1st with 59 points from 28 games, while Atletico Grau are 13th with 33 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima28178346:19+2759
2Universitario28148645:33+1250
3Deportivo Garcilaso28146839:25+1448
4FBC Melgar28138747:31+1647
5Cusco281431141:40+145
6Cienciano281351048:40+844
7Alianza Atletico28127943:36+743
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28127936:45-943
9Sporting Cristal281251149:40+941
10Sport Boys281081030:29+138
11Sport Huancayo281151238:44-638
12Juan Pablo II College28981143:53-1035
13Atletico Grau28961326:31-533
14Comerciantes Unidos287101136:39-331
15FC Cajamarca28771441:52-1128
16ADT28681429:42-1326
17UCV Moquegua28671524:43-1925
18UTC Cajamarca28481632:51-1915

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.34X20%4.66211%8.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 12:301 1.34X 4.662 8.40
11.34 → 1.34 0.0%X4.77 → 4.66 -2.3%28.19 → 8.40 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.812.005.2%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
1xBet1.761.987.3%
Marathonbet1.761.987.3%
BetVictor1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.812.054.0%
Average1.761.997.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.101.667.9%
Marathonbet2.101.648.6%
BetVictor2.051.678.7%
Best of all books2.101.735.4%
Average2.071.678.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Lima 45%Draw 45%Atletico Grau 10%

The statistical model rates Alianza Lima at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Grau at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.66 | 8.40, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Alianza Lima win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Lima are 1st (59 pts, 46-19 goals), Atletico Grau 13th (33 pts, 26-31).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Lima averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atletico Grau averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.344.668.40

Double chance

1XX212
1.063.091.15

Draw no bet

12
1.096.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.071.67

1st half

1X2
1.792.437.69

2nd half

1X2
1.642.797.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8619.254.0
HT X3.896.9017.4
HT 223.721.715.4

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3112.53.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.4
1.51.213.77
2.51.761.99
3.52.821.36
4.55.361.11
5.510.21.04
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.98
11.018.70
1.251.114.89
1.751.283.21
21.352.85
2.251.562.28
2.751.951.76
32.261.54
3.252.561.43
3.753.341.24
44.451.14
4.254.761.12
58.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.831.37
-1.752.301.55
-1.52.021.74
-1.251.771.96
-11.512.35
-0.751.392.71
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.758.181.02
-3.56.571.07
-3.256.361.07
-36.001.09
-2.754.271.17
-2.53.411.25
-2.253.141.31
-0.51.353.11
-0.251.203.98
01.086.30
+0.251.107.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.22
6.51.144.29
7.51.342.85
8.51.732.04
9.52.051.67
10.52.651.39
11.53.691.19
12.55.511.06
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.065.64
61.017.17
6.251.144.20
6.751.243.34
71.163.97
7.251.372.72
7.751.392.67
81.442.54
8.251.562.27
8.751.741.96
91.811.90
9.251.971.74
9.752.271.54
102.361.51
10.253.051.29
10.753.661.20
113.351.24
11.254.541.12
11.755.601.06
125.111.08