UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar• Primera División, Peru

#181.0:2.018:00Today · Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca2.2:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.80BTNX4.45BTN21.60PINMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets85Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	6.00	4.55	1.57	2.3%
Dafabet	5.60	4.40	1.54	5.5%
1xBet	5.14	4.10	1.57	7.5%
Pinnacle	5.35	4.24	1.53	7.6%
Marathonbet	5.75	4.15	1.49	8.6%
BetVictor	5.50	4.20	1.50	8.7%
Bet365	5.25	4.33	1.50	8.8%
William Hill	5.00	3.90	1.55	10.2%
Betfair	5.00	4.00	1.47	13.0%
SBO	4.84	3.71	1.45	16.6%
Best of all books	6.00	4.55	1.57	2.3%
Average	5.34	4.16	1.52	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UTC CajamarcaFBC Melgar

Last 10#18Table position#30.52Points per game1.720Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 51.031Attack rating6933Defence rating670Form rating1000H2H rating10029Goals model7128Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

UTC Cajamarca

0W 2D 8L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

18 Oct	A	Cienciano	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Sporting Cristal	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Sport Huancayo	2-3	L
11 Sep	H	Juan Pablo II College	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Alianza Atletico	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Universitario	2-4	L
25 Aug	A	Alianza Atletico	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Comerciantes Unidos	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Alianza Lima	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	ADT	1-1	D

FBC Melgar

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Deportivo Garcilaso	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	Universitario	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Sport Boys	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Cusco	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	ADT	3-0	W
1 Sep	A	Atletico Grau	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Alianza Lima	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3-0	W
9 Aug	H	FC Cajamarca	2-4	L
2 Aug	A	UCV Moquegua	0-0	D

Head to head

5UTC Cajamarca wins

7draws

10FBC Melgar wins

22 meetings · goals 25:34 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for UTC Cajamarca

3 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar2-0UTC Cajamarca
19 Jul 2025Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca1-2FBC Melgar
8 Feb 2025Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar3-0UTC Cajamarca
22 Oct 2024Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar1-0UTC Cajamarca
12 May 2024Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca2-6FBC Melgar
15 Aug 2023Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar1-1UTC Cajamarca
18 Mar 2023Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca0-0FBC Melgar
29 Jul 2022Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar1-0UTC Cajamarca
4 Mar 2022Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca3-1FBC Melgar
17 Aug 2021Primera División	Primera División	FBC Melgar0-1UTC Cajamarca

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, UTC Cajamarca sit 18th with 15 points from 29 games, while FBC Melgar are 3rd with 50 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	29	18	8	3	49:20	+29	62
2	Universitario	29	15	8	6	49:34	+15	53
3	FBC Melgar	29	14	8	7	51:33	+18	50
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	14	6	9	41:29	+12	48
5	Cienciano	29	14	5	10	49:40	+9	47
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	13	7	9	38:46	-8	46
7	Cusco	29	14	3	12	42:42	0	45
8	Sporting Cristal	29	13	5	11	53:42	+11	44
9	Alianza Atletico	29	12	7	10	44:40	+4	43
10	Sport Huancayo	29	12	5	12	40:45	-5	41
11	Sport Boys	29	10	8	11	30:31	-1	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	29	10	8	11	45:53	-8	38
13	Atletico Grau	29	9	6	14	27:34	-7	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	29	7	10	12	38:43	-5	31
15	FC Cajamarca	29	7	7	15	41:53	-12	28
16	UCV Moquegua	29	7	7	15	25:43	-18	28
17	ADT	29	6	8	15	30:44	-14	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	29	4	8	17	32:52	-20	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.15X23%4.07259%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.77 → 5.15 +8.0%X3.77 → 4.07 +8.0%21.65 → 1.55 -6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.19	6.3%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.16	7.3%
1xBet	1.64	2.12	8.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.63	2.09	9.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.19	5.5%
Average	1.65	2.14	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.71	2.03	7.7%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.97	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.03	4.8%
Average	1.74	1.98	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UTC Cajamarca 0%Draw 50%FBC Melgar 50%

The statistical model rates UTC Cajamarca at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and FBC Melgar at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.15 | 4.07 | 1.55, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera División table: UTC Cajamarca are 18th (15 pts, 32-52 goals), FBC Melgar 3rd (50 pts, 51-33).

Over their last five matches, UTC Cajamarca averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; FBC Melgar averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FBC Melgar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.34	4.16	1.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.39	1.13	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
4.04	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
5.33	2.37	2.00

2nd half

1	X	2
5.06	2.75	1.84

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.19	16.1	19.6
HT X	11.7	6.39	4.39
HT 2	42.4	15.4	2.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.91	14.9	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.1
1.5	1.19	4.19
2.5	1.65	2.14
3.5	2.61	1.44
4.5	4.83	1.15
5.5	9.08	1.04
6.5	17.3	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.21	3.70
2	1.27	3.29
2.25	1.46	2.49
2.75	1.80	1.91
3	2.05	1.68
3.25	2.31	1.53
3.75	2.98	1.32
4	3.77	1.20
4.25	4.20	1.17
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	7.50	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.45	1.51
+0.75	2.15	1.63
+1	1.89	1.85
+1.25	1.65	2.12
+1.5	1.52	2.38
+1.75	1.38	2.82

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.0	1.01
-1	9.25	1.02
-0.75	7.05	1.07
-0.5	5.25	1.16
-0.25	4.63	1.15
0	3.97	1.21
+0.25	2.95	1.36
+2	1.24	3.58
+2.25	1.20	3.98
+2.5	1.17	4.37
+2.75	1.12	5.53
+3	1.03	7.85
+3.5	1.02	8.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.07
6.5	1.11	4.64
7.5	1.29	3.03
8.5	1.58	2.20
9.5	1.94	1.80
10.5	2.49	1.48
11.5	3.51	1.21
12.5	5.21	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.77
6	1.01	7.20
6.25	1.07	5.41
6.75	1.13	4.40
7	1.14	4.18
7.25	1.22	3.46
7.75	1.34	2.84
8	1.38	2.68
8.25	1.49	2.39
8.75	1.66	2.08
9	1.68	2.16
9.25	1.86	1.84
9.75	2.11	1.64
10	2.04	1.74
10.25	2.42	1.48
10.75	2.82	1.35
11	2.79	1.38
11.25	3.36	1.24
11.75	4.03	1.16
12	4.81	1.10
12.25	5.01	1.09

Next Primera División matches

23 Oct	Atletico Grau – ADT
24 Oct	Sport Huancayo – Alianza Atletico
24 Oct	Cusco – Sporting Cristal
25 Oct	Universitario – Juan Pablo II College
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos – Cienciano
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua – Alianza Lima

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

18 Oct	Cienciano 1-0 UTC Cajamarca
18 Oct	Alianza Atletico 1-4 Universitario
18 Oct	FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua
18 Oct	Sporting Cristal 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos
18 Oct	Alianza Lima 3-1 Atletico Grau
17 Oct	FBC Melgar 4-2 Deportivo Garcilaso