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FC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua• Primera División, Peru

#151.6:2.018:1518/10 · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca0.4:2.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX3.85PIN24.75B365Margin at best5.9%Books5Markets81Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.693.844.447.7%
Pinnacle1.673.854.557.8%
Bet3651.653.754.758.3%
Marathonbet1.673.844.458.4%
William Hill1.703.604.508.8%
Best of all books1.703.854.755.9%
Average1.683.784.548.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
Last 10#15Table position#171.00Points per game0.897Form pts · last 501.6Goals for · last 50.42.0Goals against · last 52.880Attack rating2058Defence rating42100Form rating040H2H rating6067Goals model3358Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC

FC Cajamarca

3W 1D 6L · goals 16:22 · per match 1.6 for, 2.2 against

10 OctAADT0-0D
19 SepHCusco1-2L
12 SepAClub Deportivo Los Chankas2-1W
4 SepHCienciano2-5L
28 AugAComerciantes Unidos3-2W
21 AugHAtletico Grau1-3L
16 AugHUniversitario2-3L
9 AugAFBC Melgar4-2W
1 AugHSport Huancayo0-2L
27 JulADeportivo Garcilaso1-2L

UCV Moquegua

1W 2D 7L · goals 5:19 · per match 0.5 for, 1.9 against

8 OctHCienciano0-2L
20 SepAJuan Pablo II College0-4L
13 SepHSporting Cristal1-2L
5 SepACusco0-2L
30 AugHAlianza Atletico1-4L
27 AugAADT0-2L
22 AugASport Huancayo2-0W
16 AugHSport Boys1-1D
9 AugADeportivo Garcilaso0-2L
2 AugHFBC Melgar0-0D

Head to head

2FC Cajamarca wins
0draws
3UCV Moquegua wins

5 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for FC Cajamarca

25 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUCV Moquegua2-1FC Cajamarca
2 Nov 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónFC Cajamarca2-0UCV Moquegua
26 Oct 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónUCV Moquegua2-1FC Cajamarca
6 Sep 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónFC Cajamarca2-1UCV Moquegua
2 Aug 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónUCV Moquegua2-0FC Cajamarca

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the Primera División table, FC Cajamarca sit 15th with 28 points from 28 games, while UCV Moquegua are 17th with 25 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima28178346:19+2759
2Universitario28148645:33+1250
3Deportivo Garcilaso28146839:25+1448
4FBC Melgar28138747:31+1647
5Cusco281431141:40+145
6Cienciano281351048:40+844
7Alianza Atletico28127943:36+743
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28127936:45-943
9Sporting Cristal281251149:40+941
10Sport Boys281081030:29+138
11Sport Huancayo281151238:44-638
12Juan Pablo II College28981143:53-1035
13Atletico Grau28961326:31-533
14Comerciantes Unidos287101136:39-331
15FC Cajamarca28771441:52-1128
16ADT28681429:42-1326
17UCV Moquegua28671524:43-1925
18UTC Cajamarca28481632:51-1915

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.68X24%3.78220%4.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 09:301 1.68X 3.782 4.54
11.71 → 1.68 -1.8%X3.74 → 3.78 +1.1%24.34 → 4.54 +4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.702.116.2%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.702.067.4%
Marathonbet1.702.067.4%
Best of all books1.702.116.2%
Average1.702.086.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.682.068.1%
Marathonbet1.682.038.8%
Best of all books1.732.203.3%
Average1.682.077.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Cajamarca 45%Draw 45%UCV Moquegua 10%

The statistical model rates FC Cajamarca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UCV Moquegua at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.78 | 4.54, which imply roughly 59.5% for a FC Cajamarca win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: FC Cajamarca are 15th (28 pts, 41-52 goals), UCV Moquegua 17th (25 pts, 24-43).

Over their last five matches, FC Cajamarca averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; UCV Moquegua averaged 0.4 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Cajamarca or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.683.784.54

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.101.23

Draw no bet

12
1.293.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.07

1st half

1X2
2.172.314.68

2nd half

1X2
2.012.614.36

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4915.136.7
HT X4.626.2010.2
HT 221.715.37.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5213.62.63

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0412.3
1.51.193.89
2.51.702.08
3.52.651.41
4.54.801.14
5.59.401.02
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.30
1.251.095.25
1.751.233.42
21.303.10
2.251.502.43
2.751.861.86
32.121.62
3.252.381.49
3.753.081.28
44.051.16
4.254.391.14
4.755.851.07
58.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.741.39
-1.252.441.48
-12.171.65
-0.751.831.89
-0.51.672.17
-0.251.462.52
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-39.501.01
-2.756.701.07
-2.55.271.12
-2.254.871.14
-24.471.16
-1.753.341.27
01.273.36
+0.251.223.72
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.105.53
+11.028.10
+1.51.018.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.075.46
6.51.243.32
7.51.522.33
8.51.871.82
9.52.471.46
10.53.441.23
11.55.161.08
12.56.921.02
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.085.19
61.094.92
6.251.173.91
6.751.283.13
71.322.94
7.251.422.57
7.751.592.19
81.682.06
8.251.791.91
8.752.031.70
92.201.58
9.252.341.51
9.752.731.37
103.101.28
10.253.271.25
10.753.951.16
114.741.10
11.254.951.09
126.471.03