Cusco vs Sporting Cristal• Primera División, Peru

#71.2:1.220:15Tomorrow · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco3.0:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95WHX3.75DAF23.71PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets81Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.95	3.75	3.70	5.0%
Bet365	1.90	3.70	3.60	7.4%
1xBet	1.95	3.48	3.58	8.0%
BetVictor	1.87	3.60	3.70	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.53	3.71	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.93	3.48	3.56	8.6%
Betfair	1.91	3.60	3.50	8.7%
Betano	1.91	3.45	3.60	9.1%
William Hill	1.95	3.30	3.60	9.4%
SBO	1.86	3.15	3.18	17.0%
Best of all books	1.95	3.75	3.71	4.9%
Average	1.91	3.50	3.57	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CuscoSporting Cristal

Last 10#7Table position#81.55Points per game1.526Form pts · last 5151.2Goals for · last 53.01.2Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7140Defence rating6029Form rating7150H2H rating5068Goals model3245Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Cusco

5W 0D 5L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

16 Oct	A	Sport Huancayo	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Alianza Lima	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	FC Cajamarca	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	FBC Melgar	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	UCV Moquegua	2-0	W
31 Aug	A	Cienciano	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Deportivo Garcilaso	1-4	L
14 Aug	H	Juan Pablo II College	2-0	W
7 Aug	A	Comerciantes Unidos	1-3	L
1 Aug	H	UTC Cajamarca	4-1	W

Sporting Cristal

8W 0D 2L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	H	Comerciantes Unidos	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	ADT	5-0	W
27 Sep	A	ADT	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	UCV Moquegua	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	Sport Boys	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	4-1	W
21 Aug	A	Alianza Atletico	1-3	L

Head to head

3Cusco wins

2draws

8Sporting Cristal wins

13 meetings · goals 20:25 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Cusco

3 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal2-2Cusco
14 Dec 2025Primera División	Primera División	Cusco2-0Sporting Cristal
11 Dec 2025Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal1-0Cusco
14 Sep 2025Primera División	Primera División	Cusco3-2Sporting Cristal
13 Apr 2025Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal1-0Cusco
22 Sep 2024Primera División	Primera División	Cusco1-1Sporting Cristal
21 Apr 2024Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal2-0Cusco
29 Sep 2023Primera División	Primera División	Cusco4-1Sporting Cristal
21 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal3-2Cusco
22 Aug 2021Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal4-1Cusco

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cusco sit 7th with 45 points from 29 games, while Sporting Cristal are 8th with 44 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	29	18	8	3	49:20	+29	62
2	Universitario	29	15	8	6	49:34	+15	53
3	FBC Melgar	29	14	8	7	51:33	+18	50
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	29	14	6	9	41:29	+12	48
5	Cienciano	29	14	5	10	49:40	+9	47
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	29	13	7	9	38:46	-8	46
7	Cusco	29	14	3	12	42:42	0	45
8	Sporting Cristal	29	13	5	11	53:42	+11	44
9	Alianza Atletico	29	12	7	10	44:40	+4	43
10	Sport Huancayo	29	12	5	12	40:45	-5	41
11	Sport Boys	29	10	8	11	30:31	-1	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	29	10	8	11	45:53	-8	38
13	Atletico Grau	29	9	6	14	27:34	-7	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	29	7	10	12	38:43	-5	31
15	FC Cajamarca	29	7	7	15	41:53	-12	28
16	UCV Moquegua	29	7	7	15	25:43	-18	28
17	ADT	29	6	8	15	30:44	-14	26
18	UTC Cajamarca	29	4	8	17	32:52	-20	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.91X26%3.50226%3.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.22 → 1.91 -14.0%X3.33 → 3.50 +5.1%22.99 → 3.57 +19.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
1xBet	1.67	2.11	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.11	7.3%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Average	1.67	2.12	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.23	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cusco 10%Draw 45%Sporting Cristal 45%

The statistical model rates Cusco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Cristal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.57, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cusco are 7th (45 pts, 42-42 goals), Sporting Cristal 8th (44 pts, 53-42).

Over their last five matches, Cusco averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sporting Cristal averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Cristal.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.50	3.57

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.82	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.25	3.92

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.59	3.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.99	13.3	32.1
HT X	4.93	5.70	8.10
HT 2	21.1	13.9	5.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	13.3	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.4
1.5	1.19	4.13
2.5	1.67	2.12
3.5	2.62	1.42
4.5	4.82	1.15
5.5	9.08	1.04
6.5	17.3	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.95
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.28	3.22
2.25	1.47	2.45
2.75	1.83	1.89
3	2.07	1.66
3.25	2.32	1.52
3.75	3.07	1.29
4	3.94	1.17
4.25	4.31	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.94	1.35
-1	2.59	1.43
-0.75	2.12	1.64
-0.5	1.87	1.89
-0.25	1.64	2.13
0	1.41	2.71

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.60	1.07
-2.25	6.22	1.08
-2	5.78	1.09
-1.75	4.10	1.18
-1.5	3.29	1.27
+0.25	1.32	3.11
+0.5	1.31	3.33
+0.75	1.16	4.39
+1	1.07	6.63
+1.25	1.06	6.93
+1.5	1.05	7.20
+1.75	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.12	4.47
7.5	1.30	3.00
8.5	1.58	2.19
9.5	1.99	1.75
10.5	2.58	1.41
11.5	3.54	1.21
12.5	5.44	1.07
13.5	7.10	1.01

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.28
6.25	1.07	5.46
6.75	1.14	4.24
7	1.16	4.02
7.25	1.24	3.34
7.75	1.36	2.76
8	1.41	2.60
8.25	1.51	2.34
8.75	1.70	2.03
9	1.79	1.91
9.25	1.90	1.80
9.75	2.16	1.61
10	2.35	1.51
10.25	2.49	1.45
10.75	2.90	1.32
11	3.31	1.25
11.25	3.48	1.22
11.75	4.19	1.14
12	5.03	1.09
12.25	5.23	1.08
12.75	5.40	1.07
13	6.67	1.02
13.25	6.88	1.02

Next Primera División matches

23 Oct	UTC Cajamarca – FBC Melgar
23 Oct	Atletico Grau – ADT
24 Oct	Sport Huancayo – Alianza Atletico
25 Oct	Universitario – Juan Pablo II College
25 Oct	Comerciantes Unidos – Cienciano
25 Oct	UCV Moquegua – Alianza Lima

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

18 Oct	Cienciano 1-0 UTC Cajamarca
18 Oct	Alianza Atletico 1-4 Universitario
18 Oct	FC Cajamarca 0-1 UCV Moquegua
18 Oct	Sporting Cristal 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos
18 Oct	Alianza Lima 3-1 Atletico Grau
17 Oct	FBC Melgar 4-2 Deportivo Garcilaso