Grobiņa vs Riga• Virsliga, Latvia

#81.0:1.216:0026/101.6:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

112.0BFRX6.25MAR21.21BTNMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets65Rating22 · 78Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 20:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	10.0	5.80	1.21	9.9%
Betano	9.25	5.60	1.21	11.3%
Bet365	10.0	6.00	1.18	11.4%
Betfair	12.0	6.00	1.15	12.0%
1xBet	11.0	6.25	1.15	12.0%
Marathonbet	11.0	6.25	1.15	12.0%
Best of all books	12.0	6.25	1.21	7.0%
Average	10.5	5.98	1.18	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GrobiņaRiga

Last 10#8Table position#20.88Points per game2.395Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 50.638Attack rating6233Defence rating6728Form rating727H2H rating9317Goals model8322Overall rating78

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Grobiņa

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:22 · per match 1.0 for, 2.2 against

17 Oct	H	Ogre United	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Super Nova	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Tukums	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	FS Jelgava	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Auda	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	BFC Daugavpils	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	FK Liepaja	1-3	L
17 Aug	A	Auda	2-3	L
10 Aug	A	Rīgas FS	1-6	L
2 Aug	A	Riga	0-4	L

Riga

6W 4D 0L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

22 Oct	A	Pafos	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Super Nova	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Kairat Almaty	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Tukums	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Aris	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	FS Jelgava	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Super Nova	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Auda	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	BFC Daugavpils	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Rīgas FS	3-2	W

Head to head

0Grobiņa wins

1draws

10Riga wins

11 meetings · goals 2:32 · last 10: 0W 1D 9L for Grobiņa

2 Aug 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga4-0Grobiņa
29 May 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga2-0Grobiņa
18 Apr 2026Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa0-3Riga
2 Nov 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa1-1Riga
10 Aug 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga2-0Grobiņa
14 Jun 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa0-2Riga
19 Apr 2025Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga3-0Grobiņa
31 Aug 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga6-1Grobiņa
22 Jun 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Grobiņa0-6Riga
2 May 2024Virsliga	Virsliga	Riga2-0Grobiņa

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Virsliga table, Grobiņa sit 8th with 29 points from 33 games, while Riga are 2nd with 79 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	33	26	5	2	81:24	+57	83
2	Riga	33	24	7	2	90:31	+59	79
3	Auda	33	19	7	7	53:34	+19	64
4	FK Liepaja	33	13	7	13	46:46	0	46
5	BFC Daugavpils	33	12	9	12	39:37	+2	45
6	Super Nova	33	11	5	17	32:47	-15	38
7	FS Jelgava	33	8	8	17	34:56	-22	32
8	Grobiņa	33	6	11	16	25:56	-31	29
9	Tukums	33	5	9	19	44:65	-21	24
10	Ogre United	33	4	6	23	33:81	-48	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%10.5X15%5.98276%1.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

110.8 → 10.5 -2.6%X6.17 → 5.98 -3.1%21.15 → 1.18 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.40	2.69	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Average	1.93	1.75	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Grobiņa 0%Draw 50%Riga 50%

The statistical model rates Grobiņa at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Riga at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.54 | 5.98 | 1.18, which imply roughly 16.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: Grobiņa are 8th (29 pts, 25-56 goals), Riga 2nd (79 pts, 90-31).

Over their last five matches, Grobiņa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Riga averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Riga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.5	5.98	1.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.87	1.03	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
7.10	1.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
8.45	2.87	1.54

2nd half

1	X	2
8.18	3.46	1.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	20.0	23.8	19.9
HT X	22.3	9.75	3.95
HT 2	63.8	22.5	1.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.30	22.0	1.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.8
1.5	1.10	5.43
2.5	1.40	2.69
3.5	1.99	1.70
4.5	3.23	1.28
5.5	5.50	1.09
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.10	5.00
2	1.13	4.60
2.25	1.26	3.21
2.75	1.47	2.38
3	1.58	2.12
3.25	1.80	1.86
3.75	2.22	1.54
4	2.62	1.38
4.25	2.89	1.33
4.75	3.82	1.19
5	4.95	1.11
5.25	5.25	1.09
6	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.62	1.41
+1.5	2.21	1.57
+1.75	2.01	1.69
+2	1.79	1.89
+2.25	1.62	2.12
+2.5	1.50	2.35

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	10.5	1.06
+0.25	5.55	1.10
+0.5	4.25	1.21
+0.75	3.82	1.21
+1	3.38	1.26
+2.75	1.38	2.72
+3	1.26	3.38
+3.25	1.22	3.65
+3.5	1.19	4.00
+3.75	1.13	5.02
+4	1.07	6.70
+4.5	1.04	7.10

Next Virsliga matches

24 Oct	FK Liepaja – Tukums
25 Oct	Ogre United – Auda
25 Oct	FS Jelgava – BFC Daugavpils
25 Oct	Super Nova – Rīgas FS

All Virsliga fixtures and the table

Latest Virsliga results

19 Oct	Rīgas FS 2-0 Tukums
19 Oct	BFC Daugavpils 2-1 Auda
18 Oct	FK Liepaja 3-0 FS Jelgava
18 Oct	Riga 2-1 Super Nova
17 Oct	Grobiņa 3-2 Ogre United
15 Oct	Rīgas FS 4-0 Super Nova