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BFC Daugavpils vs Auda• Virsliga, Latvia

#50.8:1.015:00Tomorrow · Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils1.6:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.301XBX3.60BFR21.98BTNMargin at best8.6%Books3Markets50Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:33 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.303.481.9310.9%
Marathonbet3.223.481.9112.1%
Bet3653.203.501.9012.5%
Best of all books3.303.501.9310.7%
Average3.243.491.9111.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BFC DaugavpilsAuda
Last 10#5Table position#31.31Points per game2.006Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6750Defence rating5031Form rating6940H2H rating6043Goals model5741Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

BFC Daugavpils

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

11 OctAOgre United2-1W
19 SepAFK Liepaja0-0D
13 SepHRīgas FS1-2L
7 SepARiga1-1D
2 SepHAuda2-2D
29 AugAGrobiņa0-1L
22 AugASuper Nova0-0D
14 AugHOgre United3-1W
8 AugHTukums2-0W
1 AugHFS Jelgava2-1W

Auda

6W 4D 0L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

12 OctAFK Liepaja3-2W
20 SepHRīgas FS1-1D
16 SepHOgre United1-0W
11 SepARiga2-2D
6 SepHGrobiņa1-0W
2 SepABFC Daugavpils2-2D
29 AugHSuper Nova1-1D
25 AugHFK Liepaja1-0W
21 AugHTukums3-0W
17 AugHGrobiņa3-2W

Head to head

9BFC Daugavpils wins
4draws
15Auda wins

28 meetings · goals 31:38 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for BFC Daugavpils

2 Sep 2026CupCupBFC Daugavpils2-2Auda
26 Jul 2026VirsligaVirsligaAuda1-0BFC Daugavpils
26 May 2026VirsligaVirsligaBFC Daugavpils0-1Auda
12 Apr 2026VirsligaVirsligaAuda2-3BFC Daugavpils
5 Oct 2025VirsligaVirsligaBFC Daugavpils1-0Auda
20 Jul 2025VirsligaVirsligaAuda1-3BFC Daugavpils
20 May 2025VirsligaVirsligaAuda1-1BFC Daugavpils
4 Apr 2025VirsligaVirsligaBFC Daugavpils2-1Auda
26 Oct 2024VirsligaVirsligaBFC Daugavpils1-2Auda
4 Aug 2024VirsligaVirsligaAuda1-0BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 17 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Virsliga table, BFC Daugavpils sit 5th with 42 points from 32 games, while Auda are 3rd with 64 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rīgas FS32255279:24+5580
2Riga32237288:30+5876
3Auda32197652:32+2064
4FK Liepaja321271343:46-343
5BFC Daugavpils321191237:36+142
6Super Nova321151631:45-1438
7FS Jelgava32881634:53-1932
8Grobiņa336111625:56-3129
9Tukums32591844:63-1924
10Ogre United33462333:81-4818

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.24X26%3.49247%1.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.662.059.0%
Marathonbet1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.702.106.4%
Average1.672.078.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.572.1610.0%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.602.158.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

BFC Daugavpils 10%Draw 45%Auda 45%

The statistical model rates BFC Daugavpils at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Auda at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.24 | 3.49 | 1.93, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: BFC Daugavpils are 5th (42 pts, 37-36 goals), Auda 3rd (64 pts, 52-32).

Over their last five matches, BFC Daugavpils averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Auda averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Auda.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.243.491.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.721.251.21

Draw no bet

12
2.501.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.15

1st half

1X2
3.812.232.49

2nd half

1X2
3.452.582.27

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.4014.724.3
HT X7.875.775.20
HT 234.014.52.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2413.91.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.3
1.51.194.00
2.51.672.07
3.52.651.39
4.54.801.13
5.59.001.05
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.50
1.251.085.70
1.751.213.58
21.273.14
2.251.472.40
2.751.821.82
32.101.59
3.252.381.46
3.753.201.26
44.251.15
4.254.601.13
4.756.351.06
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.861.36
02.461.47
+0.252.001.69
+0.51.821.98
+0.751.562.22
+11.372.77
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.131.05
-1.256.701.06
-16.221.08
-0.754.121.18
-0.53.301.32
+1.251.303.13
+1.51.253.48
+1.751.164.45
+21.076.55
+2.251.066.93
+2.51.057.40