OddsFilter
Live

Super Nova vs Rīgas FS• Virsliga, Latvia

#60.6:1.816:00Tomorrow · Jana Skredela stadions, Riga2.6:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

118.0BFRX8.00BFR21.14BTNMargin at best5.8%Books6Markets60Rating20 · 80Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 02:46 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet15.07.201.148.3%
Betfair18.08.001.109.0%
Bet36517.07.001.129.5%
Betano13.06.301.1411.3%
1xBet15.57.501.0812.4%
Marathonbet15.57.501.0812.4%
Best of all books18.08.001.145.8%
Average15.77.251.1110.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Super NovaRīgas FS
Last 10#6Table position#11.15Points per game2.523Form pts · last 5130.6Goals for · last 52.61.8Goals against · last 50.819Attack rating8131Defence rating6919Form rating810H2H rating10015Goals model8520Overall rating80

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Super Nova

3W 2D 5L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

18 OctARiga1-2L
15 OctARīgas FS0-4L
10 OctHGrobiņa2-1W
20 SepAOgre United0-1L
15 SepHRiga0-1L
10 SepHTukums1-0W
5 SepAFS Jelgava1-0W
29 AugAAuda1-1D
22 AugHBFC Daugavpils0-0D
16 AugHRīgas FS0-1L

Rīgas FS

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

19 OctHTukums2-0W
15 OctHSuper Nova4-0W
11 OctHFS Jelgava4-2W
20 SepAAuda1-1D
13 SepABFC Daugavpils2-1W
7 SepHFK Liepaja0-0D
3 SepHRiga2-3L
30 AugAOgre United3-0W
23 AugHRiga3-3D
16 AugASuper Nova1-0W

Head to head

1Super Nova wins
0draws
17Rīgas FS wins

18 meetings · goals 12:60 · last 10: 0W 0D 10L for Super Nova

15 Oct 2026VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS4-0Super Nova
16 Aug 2026CupCupSuper Nova0-1Rīgas FS
29 May 2026VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova1-2Rīgas FS
18 Apr 2026VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS2-0Super Nova
14 Jan 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsRīgas FS5-2Super Nova
2 Nov 2025VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova1-3Rīgas FS
10 Aug 2025VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS4-1Super Nova
14 Jun 2025VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS2-1Super Nova
20 Apr 2025VirsligaVirsligaSuper Nova1-2Rīgas FS
11 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsRīgas FS7-0Super Nova

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Virsliga table, Super Nova sit 6th with 38 points from 33 games, while Rīgas FS are 1st with 83 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rīgas FS33265281:24+5783
2Riga33247290:31+5979
3Auda33197753:34+1964
4FK Liepaja331371346:46046
5BFC Daugavpils331291239:37+245
6Super Nova331151732:47-1538
7FS Jelgava33881734:56-2232
8Grobiņa336111625:56-3129
9Tukums33591944:65-2124
10Ogre United33462333:81-4818

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg16%15.7X13%7.25282%1.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0124 Oct 04:011 15.7X 7.252 1.11
114.8 → 15.7 +5.9%X7.20 → 7.25 +0.7%21.10 → 1.11 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.392.5910.6%
Marathonbet1.392.5910.6%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.402.678.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.501.506.7%
1xBet2.291.539.0%
Marathonbet2.291.519.9%
Best of all books2.501.535.4%
Average2.361.518.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Super Nova 0%Draw 50%Rīgas FS 50%

The statistical model rates Super Nova at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Rīgas FS at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 15.67 | 7.25 | 1.11, which imply roughly 13.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: Super Nova are 6th (38 pts, 32-47 goals), Rīgas FS 1st (83 pts, 81-24).

Over their last five matches, Super Nova averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Rīgas FS averaged 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Rīgas FS.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
15.77.251.11

Double chance

1XX212
5.051.021.05

Draw no bet

12
8.701.04

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.361.51

1st half

1X2
11.43.011.44

2nd half

1X2
10.93.721.31

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 128.828.422.0
HT X30.410.93.96
HT 2103.026.41.47

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
4.9420.01.16

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.095.67
2.51.412.67
3.52.041.69
4.53.201.26
5.55.701.08
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.114.85
21.144.40
2.251.273.15
2.751.492.34
31.612.07
3.251.821.82
3.752.291.51
42.701.36
4.252.981.31
4.753.921.18
55.101.10
5.255.401.09
69.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+1.52.561.40
+1.752.301.50
+22.061.62
+2.251.841.85
+2.51.652.03
+2.751.502.31
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
09.101.03
+0.754.901.11
+14.451.14
+1.253.141.27
+31.352.74
+3.251.293.06
+3.51.253.28
+3.751.174.06
+41.095.30
+4.251.085.65
+4.51.075.90

Next Virsliga matches

24 OctFK Liepaja – Tukums
25 OctOgre United – Auda
25 OctFS Jelgava – BFC Daugavpils
26 OctGrobiņa – Riga

All Virsliga fixtures and the table

Latest Virsliga results

19 OctRīgas FS 2-0 Tukums
19 OctBFC Daugavpils 2-1 Auda
18 OctFK Liepaja 3-0 FS Jelgava
18 OctRiga 2-1 Super Nova
17 OctGrobiņa 3-2 Ogre United
15 OctRīgas FS 4-0 Super Nova