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Rīgas FS vs Tukums• Virsliga, Latvia

#12.2:0.816:00Tomorrow · LNK Sporta Parks, Riga0.8:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.09B365X10.0B365219.0B365Margin at best7.0%Books3Markets72Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:33 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.0910.019.07.0%
1xBet1.068.0018.512.2%
Marathonbet1.068.0018.512.2%
Best of all books1.0910.019.07.0%
Average1.078.6718.710.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rīgas FSTukums
Last 10#1Table position#92.50Points per game0.7511Form pts · last 542.2Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.873Attack rating2769Defence rating3173Form rating27100H2H rating087Goals model1375Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Rīgas FS

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

15 OctHSuper Nova4-0W
11 OctHFS Jelgava4-2W
20 SepAAuda1-1D
13 SepABFC Daugavpils2-1W
7 SepHFK Liepaja0-0D
3 SepHRiga2-3L
30 AugAOgre United3-0W
23 AugHRiga3-3D
16 AugASuper Nova1-0W
13 AugHFK Jablonec1-2L

Tukums

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

10 OctHRiga0-2L
20 SepHGrobiņa1-1D
10 SepASuper Nova0-1L
5 SepHOgre United2-1W
29 AugHFS Jelgava1-4L
21 AugAAuda0-3L
8 AugABFC Daugavpils0-2L
2 AugHFK Liepaja2-1W
27 JulHRīgas FS0-1L
18 JulARiga1-3L

Head to head

29Rīgas FS wins
1draws
2Tukums wins

32 meetings · goals 110:28 · last 10: 10W 0D 0L for Rīgas FS

27 Jul 2026VirsligaVirsligaTukums0-1Rīgas FS
25 May 2026VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS3-1Tukums
13 Apr 2026VirsligaVirsligaTukums1-2Rīgas FS
19 Oct 2025VirsligaVirsligaTukums2-4Rīgas FS
26 Jul 2025VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS6-2Tukums
25 May 2025VirsligaVirsligaTukums2-5Rīgas FS
9 Apr 2025VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS2-0Tukums
20 Oct 2024VirsligaVirsligaRīgas FS4-1Tukums
27 Jul 2024VirsligaVirsligaTukums1-4Rīgas FS
25 May 2024VirsligaVirsligaTukums0-1Rīgas FS

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 17 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Virsliga table, Rīgas FS sit 1st with 80 points from 32 games, while Tukums are 9th with 24 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rīgas FS32255279:24+5580
2Riga32237288:30+5876
3Auda32197652:32+2064
4FK Liepaja321271343:46-343
5BFC Daugavpils321191237:36+142
6Super Nova321151631:45-1438
7FS Jelgava32881634:53-1932
8Grobiņa336111625:56-3129
9Tukums32591844:63-1924
10Ogre United33462333:81-4818

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg185%1.07X10%8.6725%18.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 00:0117 Oct 02:401 1.07X 8.672 18.7
11.07 → 1.07 0.0%X8.64 → 8.67 +0.3%218.1 → 18.7 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.253.756.7%
1xBet1.263.2010.6%
Marathonbet1.263.2010.6%
Best of all books1.263.756.0%
Average1.263.389.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
Marathonbet2.131.599.8%
Best of all books2.131.676.8%
Average2.121.628.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rīgas FS 50%Draw 50%Tukums 0%

The statistical model rates Rīgas FS at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Tukums at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 8.67 | 18.67, which imply roughly 93.5% for a Rīgas FS win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: Rīgas FS are 1st (80 pts, 79-24 goals), Tukums 9th (24 pts, 44-63).

Over their last five matches, Rīgas FS averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tukums averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Rīgas FS.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.078.6718.7

Double chance

1XX212
1.016.101.03

Draw no bet

12
1.0210.5

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.121.62

1st half

1X2
1.383.2012.6

2nd half

1X2
1.244.4412.2

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.4128.367.0
HT X4.0312.732.7
HT 222.331.333.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1629.04.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–34.0
1.51.066.87
2.51.263.38
3.51.682.05
4.52.451.46
5.53.921.19
6.56.501.10
7.510.01.03
8.515.01.01
9.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.066.15
21.075.80
2.251.164.05
2.751.312.92
31.362.69
3.251.532.26
3.751.821.82
42.001.65
4.252.211.53
4.752.781.34
53.341.24
5.253.581.21
65.951.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.252.361.49
-32.151.60
-2.751.921.78
-2.51.751.96
-2.251.582.19
-21.432.55
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-5.57.101.04
-56.601.05
-4.755.751.14
-4.54.271.17
-4.254.001.19
-43.691.22
-3.752.981.32
-3.52.601.42
-1.751.362.83
-1.51.313.08
-1.251.213.86
-11.115.37
-0.751.095.80
-0.251.0110.7
01.0210.0