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FK Liepaja vs Tukums• Virsliga, Latvia

#41.4:1.010:00Today · Daugava Stadium, Liepaja0.6:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44WHX4.60BFR26.00BFRMargin at best7.9%Books9Markets57Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.444.606.007.9%
Pinnacle1.444.645.888.0%
Dafabet1.444.605.808.4%
1xBet1.404.455.8710.9%
Betano1.444.405.3011.0%
William Hill1.444.205.5011.4%
Betfair1.364.606.0011.9%
Marathonbet1.394.455.6012.3%
Bet3651.404.505.2512.7%
Best of all books1.444.646.007.7%
Average1.424.495.6910.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK LiepajaTukums
Last 10#4Table position#91.39Points per game0.736Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.470Attack rating3058Defence rating4260Form rating4071H2H rating2977Goals model2367Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:10 UTC

FK Liepaja

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHFS Jelgava3-0W
12 OctHAuda2-3L
19 SepHBFC Daugavpils0-0D
11 SepAOgre United2-2D
7 SepARīgas FS0-0D
31 AugHRiga3-2W
25 AugAAuda0-1L
21 AugHGrobiņa3-1W
9 AugASuper Nova2-1W
2 AugATukums1-2L

Tukums

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

19 OctARīgas FS0-2L
10 OctHRiga0-2L
20 SepHGrobiņa1-1D
10 SepASuper Nova0-1L
5 SepHOgre United2-1W
29 AugHFS Jelgava1-4L
21 AugAAuda0-3L
8 AugABFC Daugavpils0-2L
2 AugHFK Liepaja2-1W
27 JulHRīgas FS0-1L

Head to head

12FK Liepaja wins
5draws
6Tukums wins

23 meetings · goals 50:23 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for FK Liepaja

2 Aug 2026VirsligaVirsligaTukums2-1FK Liepaja
30 May 2026VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja3-0Tukums
17 Apr 2026VirsligaVirsligaTukums2-2FK Liepaja
14 Sep 2025VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja4-1Tukums
25 Jun 2025VirsligaVirsligaTukums1-3FK Liepaja
6 May 2025VirsligaVirsligaTukums2-2FK Liepaja
12 Mar 2025VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja0-0Tukums
1 Sep 2024VirsligaVirsligaFK Liepaja3-1Tukums
20 Jun 2024VirsligaVirsligaTukums2-1FK Liepaja
2 May 2024VirsligaVirsligaTukums0-0FK Liepaja

Virsliga tableVirsligaupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja sit 4th with 46 points from 33 games, while Tukums are 9th with 24 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rīgas FS33265281:24+5783
2Riga33247290:31+5979
3Auda33197753:34+1964
4FK Liepaja331371346:46046
5BFC Daugavpils331291239:37+245
6Super Nova331151732:47-1538
7FS Jelgava33881734:56-2232
8Grobiņa336111625:56-3129
9Tukums33591944:65-2124
10Ogre United33462333:81-4818

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.41X20%4.46216%5.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0123 Oct 19:101 1.41X 4.462 5.66
11.61 → 1.41 -12.4%X3.95 → 4.46 +12.9%24.54 → 5.66 +24.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.472.586.8%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betfair1.452.558.2%
BetVictor1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.442.4210.8%
Marathonbet1.442.4210.8%
Best of all books1.532.584.1%
Average1.462.488.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.119.9%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.622.158.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Liepaja 45%Draw 45%Tukums 10%

The statistical model rates FK Liepaja at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tukums at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.46 | 5.66, which imply roughly 70.9% for a FK Liepaja win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Virsliga table: FK Liepaja are 4th (46 pts, 46-46 goals), Tukums 9th (24 pts, 44-65).

Over their last five matches, FK Liepaja averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tukums averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FK Liepaja.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.424.495.69

Double chance

1XX212
1.102.581.14

Draw no bet

12
1.184.47

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.15

1st half

1X2
1.872.555.54

2nd half

1X2
1.732.925.12

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0216.344.8
HT X4.307.4412.8
HT 218.817.19.79

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4019.32.86

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.3
1.51.115.17
2.51.462.48
3.52.191.60
4.53.771.21
5.57.101.06
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.0
1.751.134.55
21.164.10
2.251.312.93
2.751.562.22
31.721.96
3.251.951.75
3.752.481.46
43.051.30
4.253.351.25
4.754.501.13
56.051.06
5.256.351.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.451.47
-1.52.141.62
-1.251.911.81
-11.682.04
-0.751.512.34
-0.51.432.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.101.04
-3.256.751.04
-36.401.05
-2.754.611.13
-2.53.701.20
-2.253.351.25
-23.041.31
-0.251.273.14
01.134.55
+0.251.105.00
+0.751.056.55
+11.028.90
+1.51.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.901.88

Next Virsliga matches

25 OctOgre United – Auda
25 OctFS Jelgava – BFC Daugavpils
25 OctSuper Nova – Rīgas FS
26 OctGrobiņa – Riga

All Virsliga fixtures and the table

Latest Virsliga results

19 OctRīgas FS 2-0 Tukums
19 OctBFC Daugavpils 2-1 Auda
18 OctFK Liepaja 3-0 FS Jelgava
18 OctRiga 2-1 Super Nova
17 OctGrobiņa 3-2 Ogre United
15 OctRīgas FS 4-0 Super Nova