Sao Paulo vs Corinthians• Serie A, Brazil

#101.2:1.400:3005/11 · Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo1.4:2.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20BTNX3.321XB23.60PINMargin at best3.4%Books9Markets54Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 00:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.24	3.25	3.50	4.0%
1xBet	2.17	3.32	3.57	4.2%
Pinnacle	2.19	3.19	3.62	4.6%
Betano	2.25	3.20	3.45	4.7%
BetVictor	2.15	3.13	3.50	7.0%
Betfair	2.15	3.10	3.50	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.22	3.46	7.6%
Bet365	2.15	3.10	3.40	8.2%
William Hill	2.10	3.10	3.40	9.3%
Best of all books	2.25	3.32	3.62	2.2%
Average	2.17	3.18	3.49	6.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sao PauloCorinthians

Last 10#10Table position#171.30Points per game1.097Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 52.046Attack rating5459Defence rating4164Form rating3650H2H rating5066Goals model3456Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:01 UTC

Sao Paulo

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

29 Oct	A	Bahia	2-3	L
24 Oct	A	Mirassol	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Vitoria	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Cruzeiro	0-2	L
2 Oct	H	Santos	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Internacional	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Boca Juniors	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Palmeiras	0-2	L
9 Sep	A	Boca Juniors	0-1	L

Corinthians

1W 2D 7L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

30 Oct	H	Mirassol	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Vasco DA Gama	2-3	L
19 Oct	H	Vitoria	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Palmeiras	1-4	L
7 Oct	A	Internacional	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fluminense	1-3	L
17 Sep	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Flamengo	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-2	L

Head to head

15Sao Paulo wins

14draws

12Corinthians wins

41 meetings · goals 56:56 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Sao Paulo

10 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-2Sao Paulo
18 Jan 2026Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Corinthians1-1Sao Paulo
20 Nov 2025Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-1Sao Paulo
20 Jul 2025Serie A	Serie A	Sao Paulo2-0Corinthians
26 Jan 2025Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Sao Paulo3-1Corinthians
29 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Sao Paulo3-1Corinthians
16 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians2-2Sao Paulo
30 Jan 2024Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Corinthians1-2Sao Paulo
30 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Sao Paulo2-1Corinthians
16 Aug 2023Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Sao Paulo2-0Corinthians

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 23:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Sao Paulo sit 10th with 43 points from 33 games, while Corinthians are 17th with 36 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	68:28	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	50:40	+10	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	44:39	+5	50
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	49:47	+2	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	42:38	+4	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	39:39	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	40:50	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	45:53	-8	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	40:49	-9	38
14	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	37:44	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	37:47	-10	37
17	Corinthians	33	9	9	15	36:42	-6	36
18	Internacional	33	8	11	14	37:42	-5	35
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	32:66	-34	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.16X30%3.18227%3.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.37	1.62	3.9%
1xBet	2.37	1.61	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.33	1.61	5.0%
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.57	7.0%
BetVictor	2.21	1.57	8.9%
Best of all books	2.37	1.62	3.9%
Average	2.32	1.59	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.98	1.78	6.7%
Bet365	2.00	1.75	7.1%
1xBet	1.98	1.74	8.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Average	1.97	1.75	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sao Paulo 45%Draw 45%Corinthians 10%

The statistical model rates Sao Paulo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Corinthians at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.18 | 3.52, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Sao Paulo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Sao Paulo are 10th (43 pts, 39-39 goals), Corinthians 17th (36 pts, 36-42).

Over their last five matches, Sao Paulo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Corinthians averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sao Paulo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.17	3.18	3.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.67	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.83	1.97	4.18

2nd half

1	X	2
2.54	2.23	3.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	15.4	43.8
HT X	4.97	4.41	7.32
HT 2	33.0	15.7	5.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	7.40	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.64
1.5	1.42	2.75
2.5	2.32	1.59
3.5	4.43	1.19
4.5	9.10	1.05
5.5	14.9	1.02
6.5	26.3	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	7.07
1	1.08	6.23
1.25	1.23	3.55
1.75	1.53	2.38
2	1.72	2.05
2.25	2.01	1.76
2.75	2.69	1.42
3	3.58	1.27
3.25	3.98	1.19
3.75	5.62	1.10
4	8.43	1.03
4.25	10.2	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.49
-0.5	2.16	1.68
-0.25	1.82	1.95
0	1.52	2.46
+0.25	1.37	2.94
+0.5	1.32	3.45

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.05	1.04
-2	9.10	1.03
-1.75	5.77	1.10
-1.5	4.38	1.18
-1.25	3.88	1.22
-1	3.46	1.29
+0.75	1.18	4.47
+1	1.07	7.22
+1.25	1.03	7.95
+1.5	1.03	8.55

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.75	2.02
6.5	1.83	1.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.30	3.30
9.5	1.52	2.42
10.5	1.89	1.86
11.5	2.40	1.53
12.5	3.20	1.32

Next Serie A matches

2 Nov	RB Bragantino – Santos
3 Nov	Chapecoense-sc – Mirassol
4 Nov	Internacional – Coritiba
4 Nov	Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama
4 Nov	Flamengo – Gremio
5 Nov	Botafogo – Atletico-MG

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria
30 Oct	Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol
30 Oct	Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 1-4 Flamengo
29 Oct	Atletico-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo