Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama• Serie A, Brazil

#51.4:1.622:3004/11 · Arena da Baixada, Curitiba1.2:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20PINX3.661XB23.281XBMargin at best3.3%Books9Markets70Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.24	3.60	3.20	3.7%
1xBet	2.16	3.66	3.28	4.1%
Betano	2.25	3.55	3.15	4.4%
Pinnacle	2.16	3.52	3.33	4.7%
Betfair	2.15	3.50	3.10	7.3%
BetVictor	2.10	3.50	3.20	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.09	3.54	3.18	7.5%
Bet365	2.10	3.50	3.10	8.4%
William Hill	2.10	3.30	3.10	10.2%
Best of all books	2.25	3.66	3.33	1.8%
Average	2.15	3.52	3.18	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama

Last 10#5Table position#131.64Points per game1.195Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.654Attack rating4650Defence rating5042Form rating5840H2H rating6069Goals model3150Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

Atletico Paranaense

3W 4D 3L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

30 Oct	A	Gremio	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	Vitoria	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Palmeiras	0-2	L
12 Oct	A	Chapecoense-sc	4-1	W
8 Oct	H	Atletico-MG	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Bahia	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Coritiba	3-3	D
6 Sep	A	Cruzeiro	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Fluminense	3-3	D
24 Aug	A	Botafogo	3-2	W

Vasco DA Gama

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Palmeiras	0-1	L
29 Oct	H	Flamengo	1-4	L
24 Oct	H	Corinthians	3-2	W
21 Oct	H	Boca Juniors	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Boca Juniors	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Remo	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Botafogo	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Coritiba	5-0	W
15 Sep	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W

Head to head

9Atletico Paranaense wins

6draws

7Vasco DA Gama wins

22 meetings · goals 27:20 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Atletico Paranaense

10 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-0Atletico Paranaense
12 Sep 2024Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Atletico Paranaense2-1Vasco DA Gama
29 Aug 2024Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Vasco DA Gama2-1Atletico Paranaense
27 Aug 2024Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama2-1Atletico Paranaense
5 May 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense1-0Vasco DA Gama
25 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense0-0Vasco DA Gama
23 Jul 2023Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama0-2Atletico Paranaense
27 Dec 2020Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense3-0Vasco DA Gama
6 Sep 2020Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-0Atletico Paranaense
22 Sep 2019Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-1Atletico Paranaense

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 23:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense sit 5th with 54 points from 33 games, while Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 38 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	68:28	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	50:40	+10	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	44:39	+5	50
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	49:47	+2	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	42:38	+4	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	39:39	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	40:50	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	45:53	-8	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	40:49	-9	38
14	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	37:44	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	37:47	-10	37
17	Corinthians	33	9	9	15	36:42	-6	36
18	Internacional	33	8	11	14	37:42	-5	35
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	32:66	-34	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.15X27%3.52230%3.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.78	2.10	3.8%
1xBet	1.80	2.06	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.75	2.09	5.0%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	2.01	6.9%
BetVictor	1.72	1.97	8.9%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.75	2.05	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.61	2.18	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.15	8.6%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.61	2.20	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Paranaense 35%Draw 35%Vasco DA Gama 30%

The statistical model rates Atletico Paranaense at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Vasco DA Gama at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.52 | 3.18, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Atletico Paranaense win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico Paranaense are 5th (54 pts, 50-40 goals), Vasco DA Gama 13th (38 pts, 40-49).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Paranaense averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.52	3.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.68	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.58	2.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.70	2.24	3.61

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.55	3.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.34	14.0	32.3
HT X	5.40	5.63	7.38
HT 2	25.8	14.3	5.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	13.6	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.3
1.5	1.22	4.03
2.5	1.75	2.05
3.5	2.84	1.40
4.5	5.30	1.14
5.5	9.71	1.05
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.20
1.25	1.10	5.40
1.75	1.25	3.39
2	1.37	2.97
2.25	1.54	2.35
2.75	1.94	1.82
3	2.26	1.61
3.25	2.53	1.47
3.75	3.47	1.25
4	4.68	1.15
4.25	5.01	1.12
4.75	6.92	1.05
5	7.95	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.43	1.51
-0.5	2.13	1.70
-0.25	1.84	1.94
0	1.57	2.36
+0.25	1.42	2.72
+0.5	1.36	3.15

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	8.55	1.03
-2.25	8.27	1.03
-2	7.58	1.04
-1.75	5.11	1.13
-1.5	3.95	1.21
-1.25	3.53	1.26
-1	3.19	1.33
+0.75	1.22	3.95
+1	1.12	5.61
+1.25	1.07	6.33
+1.5	1.07	6.68
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.76	1.97

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	4.90
7.5	1.16	3.60
8.5	1.35	2.89
9.5	1.60	2.20
10.5	1.99	1.73
11.5	2.54	1.44
12.5	3.33	1.25
13.5	3.95	1.13
14.5	4.97	1.07

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.70
8	1.19	3.35
9	1.41	2.50
10	1.79	1.98
11	2.21	1.52
12	2.82	1.28
13	3.75	1.15
14	4.85	1.07

Next Serie A matches

2 Nov	RB Bragantino – Santos
3 Nov	Chapecoense-sc – Mirassol
4 Nov	Internacional – Coritiba
4 Nov	Flamengo – Gremio
5 Nov	Botafogo – Atletico-MG
5 Nov	Sao Paulo – Corinthians

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria
30 Oct	Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol
30 Oct	Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 1-4 Flamengo
29 Oct	Atletico-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo