Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro• Serie A, Brazil

#61.6:1.222:30Today · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta2.4:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.551XBX3.60BFR22.88PINMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets90Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.48	3.51	2.88	3.5%
Dafabet	2.55	3.55	2.75	3.7%
1xBet	2.55	3.52	2.73	4.3%
Betano	2.55	3.50	2.70	4.8%
Bet365	2.50	3.40	2.75	5.8%
BetVictor	2.40	3.50	2.75	6.6%
Marathonbet	2.47	3.42	2.65	7.5%
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.70	8.3%
William Hill	2.40	3.25	2.70	9.5%
SBO	2.24	3.10	2.62	15.1%
Best of all books	2.55	3.60	2.88	1.7%
Average	2.44	3.44	2.72	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico-MGCruzeiro

Last 10#6Table position#31.56Points per game1.699Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.440Attack rating6054Defence rating4645Form rating5571H2H rating2960Goals model4055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 02:20 UTC

Atletico-MG

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

26 Oct	A	Flamengo	2-3	L
21 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Coritiba	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Santos	4-2	W
12 Sep	H	Fluminense	3-1	W

Cruzeiro

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

23 Oct	H	Remo	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Gremio	4-2	W
13 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	2-4	L
8 Oct	H	Sao Paulo	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Vitoria	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Santos	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Atletico Paranaense	3-1	W
2 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Vasco DA Gama	1-3	L
26 Aug	H	Atletico-MG	1-1	D

Head to head

20Atletico-MG wins

12draws

13Cruzeiro wins

45 meetings · goals 62:57 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Atletico-MG

2 Sep 2026Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Atletico-MG2-1Cruzeiro
26 Aug 2026Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Cruzeiro1-1Atletico-MG
3 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro1-3Atletico-MG
8 Mar 2026Mineiro - 1	Mineiro - 1	Cruzeiro1-0Atletico-MG
25 Jan 2026Mineiro - 1	Mineiro - 1	Atletico-MG2-1Cruzeiro
16 Oct 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-1Cruzeiro
11 Sep 2025Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Cruzeiro2-0Atletico-MG
27 Aug 2025Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Atletico-MG0-2Cruzeiro
18 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	Cruzeiro0-0Atletico-MG
9 Feb 2025Mineiro - 1	Mineiro - 1	Cruzeiro0-2Atletico-MG

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 29 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG sit 6th with 50 points from 32 games, while Cruzeiro are 3rd with 54 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	32	21	7	4	64:27	+37	70
2	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	32	14	8	10	44:38	+6	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	-12	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Gremio	32	8	10	14	35:44	-9	34
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.44X27%3.44234%2.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.41 → 2.44 +1.2%X3.38 → 3.44 +1.8%22.82 → 2.72 -3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.78	2.10	3.8%
1xBet	1.84	2.01	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.81	2.03	4.5%
SBO	1.79	2.03	5.1%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.95	7.1%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.84	2.10	2.0%
Average	1.79	2.01	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.17	7.8%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.14	8.5%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.62	2.20	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico-MG 45%Draw 45%Cruzeiro 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico-MG at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cruzeiro at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 3.44 | 2.72, which imply roughly 41% for a Atletico-MG win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atletico-MG are 6th (50 pts, 44-38 goals), Cruzeiro 3rd (54 pts, 51-46).

Over their last five matches, Atletico-MG averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Cruzeiro averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.44	3.44	2.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.52	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	2.20	3.23

2nd half

1	X	2
2.74	2.48	2.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.90	13.3	26.0
HT X	6.00	5.45	6.46
HT 2	24.7	13.4	4.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	12.3	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.6
1.5	1.24	3.88
2.5	1.79	2.01
3.5	2.92	1.39
4.5	5.49	1.13
5.5	10.0	1.05
6.5	15.1	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.3
1	1.02	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.87
1.75	1.30	3.20
2	1.37	3.01
2.25	1.59	2.30
2.75	1.98	1.79
3	2.31	1.58
3.25	2.58	1.45
3.75	3.38	1.25
4	4.58	1.15
4.25	4.85	1.13
5	8.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.88	1.39
-0.5	2.42	1.55
-0.25	2.10	1.71
0	1.80	2.00
+0.25	1.57	2.33
+0.5	1.45	2.72

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.3	1.04
-2	8.80	1.02
-1.75	6.05	1.09
-1.5	4.62	1.16
-1.25	4.26	1.18
-1	3.93	1.23
+0.75	1.31	3.29
+1	1.18	4.51
+1.25	1.15	4.85
+1.5	1.13	5.35
+1.75	1.07	6.67
+2.5	1.03	11.1

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.12	5.70
4.5	1.25	3.65
5.5	1.41	2.75
6.5	1.82	1.90
7.5	2.18	1.64
8.5	3.25	1.31
9.5	4.50	1.18
10.5	6.20	1.10
11.5	8.25	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.48	2.53
7	2.02	1.74
8	2.81	1.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.03	9.00
6.5	1.08	5.77
7.5	1.17	4.07
8.5	1.34	2.90
9.5	1.59	2.20
10.5	1.98	1.75
11.5	2.54	1.44
12.5	3.44	1.24
13.5	4.72	1.13
14.5	6.16	1.07
15.5	9.38	1.03
16.5	10.8	1.03
17.5	12.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.80
8	1.18	3.42
8.75	1.33	2.83
9	1.46	2.48
9.25	1.46	2.42
9.75	1.62	2.10
10	1.75	2.00
10.25	1.83	1.85
10.75	2.10	1.69
11	2.18	1.59
11.25	2.38	1.49
11.75	2.70	1.36
12	2.75	1.29
12.25	2.97	1.30
13	3.65	1.16
14	4.72	1.08

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama – Flamengo
30 Oct	Gremio – Atletico Paranaense
30 Oct	Corinthians – Mirassol
31 Oct	Coritiba – Vitoria

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo
28 Oct	Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
28 Oct	Fluminense 2-1 Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense-sc
26 Oct	Flamengo 3-2 Atletico-MG
26 Oct	Coritiba 0-1 Gremio