Botafogo vs Atletico-MG• Serie A, Brazil

#120.8:1.600:3005/11 · Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro1.4:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.051XBX3.79PIN23.61PINMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets59Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 00:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.05	3.75	3.50	4.0%
1xBet	2.05	3.76	3.46	4.3%
Betano	2.05	3.65	3.50	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.97	3.79	3.61	4.8%
Betfair	2.00	3.60	3.40	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.64	3.36	7.5%
Bet365	1.95	3.60	3.50	7.6%
BetVictor	1.95	3.60	3.50	7.6%
William Hill	2.00	3.40	3.30	9.7%
SBO	1.96	3.17	3.09	14.9%
Best of all books	2.05	3.79	3.61	2.9%
Average	2.00	3.60	3.42	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BotafogoAtletico-MG

Last 10#12Table position#71.18Points per game1.524Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6447Defence rating5336Form rating6462H2H rating3852Goals model4849Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:01 UTC

Botafogo

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

29 Oct	A	Remo	1-2	L
24 Oct	A	Internacional	0-3	L
17 Oct	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Coritiba	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Mirassol	0-2	L
16 Sep	H	Gremio	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	RB Bragantino	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Flamengo	0-3	L

Atletico-MG

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Gremio	0-2	L
29 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	0-1	L
26 Oct	A	Flamengo	2-3	L
21 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Coritiba	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D

Head to head

13Botafogo wins

6draws

15Atletico-MG wins

34 meetings · goals 42:41 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Botafogo

10 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-1Botafogo
20 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	Botafogo1-0Atletico-MG
20 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-0Botafogo
30 Nov 2024CONMEBOL Libertadores	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Atletico-MG1-3Botafogo
21 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG0-0Botafogo
7 Jul 2024Serie A	Serie A	Botafogo3-0Atletico-MG
17 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-0Botafogo
7 May 2023Serie A	Serie A	Botafogo2-0Atletico-MG
7 Nov 2022Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG0-2Botafogo
17 Jul 2022Serie A	Serie A	Botafogo0-1Atletico-MG

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 23:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Botafogo sit 12th with 39 points from 33 games, while Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	68:28	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	50:40	+10	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	44:39	+5	50
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	49:47	+2	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	42:38	+4	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	39:39	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	40:50	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	45:53	-8	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	40:49	-9	38
14	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	37:44	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	37:47	-10	37
17	Corinthians	33	9	9	15	36:42	-6	36
18	Internacional	33	8	11	14	37:42	-5	35
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	32:66	-34	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%2.01X26%3.64227%3.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.75	2.15	3.7%
1xBet	1.74	2.13	4.4%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.19	4.5%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.08	6.9%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.19	2.8%
Average	1.71	2.11	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.62	2.22	6.8%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.21	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Botafogo 35%Draw 35%Atletico-MG 30%

The statistical model rates Botafogo at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Atletico-MG at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.64 | 3.45, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Botafogo win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Botafogo are 12th (39 pts, 45-53 goals), Atletico-MG 7th (50 pts, 44-39).

Over their last five matches, Botafogo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Atletico-MG averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.60	3.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.77	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	2.27	3.79

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.59	3.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.07	13.7	31.2
HT X	5.26	5.84	7.86
HT 2	22.4	14.5	5.56

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	13.9	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	11.6
1.5	1.21	4.14
2.5	1.71	2.11
3.5	2.73	1.43
4.5	4.99	1.15
5.5	9.30	1.05
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.90
1.25	1.09	5.50
1.75	1.23	3.55
2	1.32	3.22
2.25	1.50	2.45
2.75	1.87	1.90
3	2.15	1.67
3.25	2.41	1.52
3.75	3.19	1.29
4	4.22	1.18
4.25	4.56	1.15
4.75	6.15	1.07
5	8.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.82	1.41
-0.75	2.26	1.59
-0.5	1.98	1.83
-0.25	1.73	2.05
0	1.49	2.56
+0.25	1.37	2.93

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	7.34	1.05
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	6.52	1.08
-1.75	4.49	1.16
-1.5	3.56	1.26
-1.25	3.22	1.32
+0.5	1.33	3.37
+0.75	1.20	4.12
+1	1.10	6.08
+1.25	1.08	6.58
+1.5	1.07	6.73
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.81	1.93

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.37	2.92
10.5	1.62	2.20
11	1.83	1.95
11.5	2.02	1.73
12.5	2.62	1.45
13.5	3.50	1.28

Next Serie A matches

2 Nov	RB Bragantino – Santos
3 Nov	Chapecoense-sc – Mirassol
4 Nov	Internacional – Coritiba
4 Nov	Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama
4 Nov	Flamengo – Gremio
5 Nov	Sao Paulo – Corinthians

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria
30 Oct	Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol
30 Oct	Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 1-4 Flamengo
29 Oct	Atletico-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo