Coritiba vs Vitoria• Serie A, Brazil

#120.2:2.419:0031/10 · Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba1.6:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35PINX3.45DAF23.25B365Margin at best2.3%Books10Markets73Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 16:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.35	3.45	3.05	4.3%
1xBet	2.32	3.40	3.14	4.4%
Betano	2.35	3.35	3.10	4.7%
Pinnacle	2.35	3.40	3.05	4.8%
Bet365	2.38	3.25	3.00	6.1%
BetVictor	2.30	3.30	3.00	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.25	3.30	3.05	7.5%
Betfair	2.20	3.40	3.00	8.2%
William Hill	2.25	3.20	3.00	9.0%
SBO	2.16	3.05	2.78	15.1%
Best of all books	2.38	3.45	3.14	2.8%
Average	2.29	3.31	3.02	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CoritibaVitoria

Last 10#12Table position#141.22Points per game1.191Form pts · last 550.2Goals for · last 51.62.4Goals against · last 51.411Attack rating8937Defence rating6317Form rating8362H2H rating3866Goals model3440Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:30 UTC

Coritiba

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:21 · per match 1.1 for, 2.1 against

26 Oct	H	Gremio	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Botafogo	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Fluminense	0-4	L
19 Sep	A	Vasco DA Gama	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Atletico Paranaense	3-3	D
6 Sep	H	Mirassol	1-2	L
31 Aug	A	Remo	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Sao Paulo	1-1	D

Vitoria

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	H	Atletico Paranaense	1-1	D
19 Oct	A	Corinthians	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	Chapecoense-sc	4-0	W
20 Sep	H	Cruzeiro	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Mirassol	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	Gremio	1-0	W
3 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Atletico-MG	1-2	L
27 Aug	A	Vasco DA Gama	0-1	L

Head to head

4Coritiba wins

4draws

5Vitoria wins

13 meetings · goals 12:15 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Coritiba

2 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria4-1Coritiba
22 Sep 2021Serie B	Serie B	Vitoria0-0Coritiba
23 Jun 2021Serie B	Serie B	Coritiba1-0Vitoria
30 Nov 2019Serie B	Serie B	Vitoria1-2Coritiba
27 Aug 2019Serie B	Serie B	Coritiba1-1Vitoria
28 Aug 2017Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba0-1Vitoria
28 May 2017Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria0-1Coritiba
28 Nov 2016Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba0-1Vitoria
3 Aug 2016Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria3-1Coritiba
19 Nov 2014Serie A	Serie A	Vitoria1-1Coritiba

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 29 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Coritiba sit 12th with 39 points from 32 games, while Vitoria are 14th with 38 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	32	21	7	4	64:27	+37	70
2	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	32	14	8	10	44:38	+6	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	-12	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Gremio	32	8	10	14	35:44	-9	34
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.28X28%3.31231%3.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.27 → 2.28 +0.4%X3.30 → 3.31 +0.3%23.09 → 3.04 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.98	1.88	3.7%
1xBet	1.96	1.88	4.2%
Pinnacle	2.00	1.84	4.3%
SBO	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.83	7.0%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.88	3.2%
Average	1.95	1.85	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.71	2.02	8.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.99	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Coritiba 10%Draw 45%Vitoria 45%

The statistical model rates Coritiba at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitoria at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.31 | 3.04, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Coritiba are 12th (39 pts, 38-50 goals), Vitoria 14th (38 pts, 35-46).

Over their last five matches, Coritiba averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Vitoria averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vitoria.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.31	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.58	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
2.87	2.12	3.57

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.40	3.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.64	13.8	32.2
HT X	5.58	4.98	6.81
HT 2	27.0	14.4	4.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	9.25	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.77
1.5	1.30	3.38
2.5	1.95	1.85
3.5	3.33	1.31
4.5	6.57	1.09
5.5	11.2	1.03
6.5	17.9	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.48
1	1.04	7.78
1.25	1.15	4.46
1.75	1.35	2.94
2	1.47	2.58
2.25	1.70	2.09
2.75	2.18	1.63
3	2.65	1.45
3.25	2.93	1.34
3.75	3.97	1.19
4	5.44	1.11
4.25	5.80	1.08
5	8.45	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.43
-0.5	2.31	1.60
-0.25	1.98	1.81
0	1.66	2.18
+0.25	1.47	2.57
+0.5	1.40	3.01

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.1	1.04
-2	8.50	1.02
-1.75	5.82	1.10
-1.5	4.43	1.17
-1.25	4.05	1.21
-1	3.65	1.27
+0.75	1.25	3.71
+1	1.12	5.43
+1.25	1.10	5.88
+1.5	1.09	6.26
+1.75	1.02	8.48
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.67	2.10
5.5	2.00	1.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.89
7.5	1.24	3.41
8.5	1.46	2.47
9.5	1.80	1.93
10.5	2.25	1.54
11.5	3.00	1.31
12.5	3.85	1.17
13.5	4.62	1.09

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.57
7	1.13	4.02
8	1.28	2.83
8.25	1.33	2.81
8.75	1.48	2.40
9	1.58	2.18
9.25	1.68	2.12
9.75	1.86	1.84
10	2.01	1.68
10.25	2.10	1.62
10.75	2.39	1.47
11	2.62	1.37
11.25	2.78	1.34
12	3.37	1.19
13	4.45	1.10
14	5.60	1.04

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Atletico-MG – Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama – Flamengo
30 Oct	Gremio – Atletico Paranaense
30 Oct	Corinthians – Mirassol

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo
29 Oct	Bahia 3-2 Sao Paulo
28 Oct	Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
28 Oct	Fluminense 2-1 Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense-sc
26 Oct	Flamengo 3-2 Atletico-MG