Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense• Serie A, Brazil

#171.0:1.200:30Tomorrow · Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre1.8:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.48DAFX3.45DAF23.05PINMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets89Rating54 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 02:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.41	3.38	3.08	3.5%
Dafabet	2.48	3.45	2.90	3.8%
1xBet	2.43	3.38	2.99	4.2%
Bet365	2.38	3.40	3.00	4.8%
Betano	2.40	3.40	2.95	5.0%
BetVictor	2.38	3.40	2.90	5.9%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.28	2.90	7.5%
Betfair	2.30	3.40	2.80	8.6%
William Hill	2.38	3.10	2.80	10.0%
SBO	2.30	3.00	2.62	15.0%
Best of all books	2.48	3.45	3.08	1.8%
Average	2.38	3.32	2.89	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GremioAtletico Paranaense

Last 10#17Table position#41.06Points per game1.696Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6454Defence rating4643Form rating5771H2H rating2947Goals model5354Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:30 UTC

Gremio

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

26 Oct	A	Coritiba	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	2-4	L
11 Oct	H	Internacional	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Botafogo	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Vitoria	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Internacional	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Chapecoense-sc	3-1	W

Atletico Paranaense

3W 5D 2L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	A	Vitoria	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Palmeiras	0-2	L
12 Oct	A	Chapecoense-sc	4-1	W
8 Oct	H	Atletico-MG	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Bahia	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Coritiba	3-3	D
6 Sep	A	Cruzeiro	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Fluminense	3-3	D
24 Aug	A	Botafogo	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	RB Bragantino	1-1	D

Head to head

19Gremio wins

5draws

9Atletico Paranaense wins

33 meetings · goals 44:27 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Gremio

2 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense0-0Gremio
4 Aug 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense0-2Gremio
17 Apr 2024Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-0Atletico Paranaense
18 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	Gremio1-2Atletico Paranaense
27 May 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense1-2Gremio
26 Sep 2021Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense4-2Gremio
13 Jun 2021Serie A	Serie A	Gremio0-1Atletico Paranaense
21 Feb 2021Serie A	Serie A	Gremio1-0Atletico Paranaense
25 Oct 2020Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense1-2Gremio
28 Nov 2019Serie A	Serie A	Atletico Paranaense2-0Gremio

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 29 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Gremio sit 17th with 34 points from 32 games, while Atletico Paranaense are 4th with 54 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	32	21	7	4	64:27	+37	70
2	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	32	14	8	10	44:38	+6	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	-12	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Gremio	32	8	10	14	35:44	-9	34
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.38X28%3.32232%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.37 → 2.38 +0.4%X3.24 → 3.32 +2.5%22.96 → 2.90 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.94	1.93	3.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.91	4.2%
Betano	1.93	1.91	4.2%
SBO	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.86	7.0%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.94	1.93	3.4%
Average	1.90	1.90	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.68	2.06	8.1%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.03	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.69	2.07	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gremio 45%Draw 45%Atletico Paranaense 10%

The statistical model rates Gremio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Paranaense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.32 | 2.90, which imply roughly 42% for a Gremio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Gremio are 17th (34 pts, 35-44 goals), Atletico Paranaense 4th (54 pts, 50-38).

Over their last five matches, Gremio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atletico Paranaense averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gremio or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.32	2.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.55	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	2.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.94	2.14	3.43

2nd half

1	X	2
2.66	2.45	3.09

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.73	13.4	30.2
HT X	5.80	5.10	6.58
HT 2	26.9	13.6	4.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	11.1	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.3
1.5	1.28	3.55
2.5	1.90	1.90
3.5	3.21	1.33
4.5	6.30	1.10
5.5	11.4	1.03
6.5	17.1	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	10.3
1	1.02	8.50
1.25	1.14	4.72
1.75	1.33	3.03
2	1.44	2.70
2.25	1.66	2.16
2.75	2.13	1.67
3	2.56	1.48
3.25	2.83	1.36
3.75	3.89	1.19
4	5.39	1.11
4.25	5.75	1.09
5	9.35	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.78	1.40
-0.5	2.32	1.60
-0.25	2.03	1.78
0	1.70	2.11
+0.25	1.53	2.44
+0.5	1.41	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.6	1.04
-2	8.45	1.04
-1.75	6.07	1.09
-1.5	4.59	1.16
-1.25	4.24	1.20
-1	3.78	1.25
+0.75	1.26	3.60
+1	1.14	5.19
+1.25	1.11	5.73
+1.5	1.09	6.10
+1.75	1.05	7.85
+2.5	1.02	11.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.09	6.40
3.5	1.23	3.90
4.5	1.52	2.43
5.5	2.05	1.72
6.5	2.50	1.50
7.5	3.45	1.28
8.5	4.90	1.15
9.5	6.90	1.08
10.5	9.00	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.31	3.15
5	1.79	1.97
6	2.66	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	10.9
5.5	1.05	7.11
6.5	1.10	5.30
7.5	1.23	3.55
8.5	1.44	2.54
9.5	1.75	1.96
10.5	2.19	1.61
11.5	2.94	1.34
12.5	4.03	1.18
13.5	5.51	1.10
14.5	7.20	1.05
15.5	10.6	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.55
7	1.09	4.62
8	1.20	3.29
8.25	1.33	2.83
8.75	1.45	2.43
9	1.46	2.47
9.25	1.63	2.08
9.75	1.82	1.82
10	1.86	1.90
10.25	2.05	1.63
10.75	2.12	1.60
11	2.29	1.53
11.25	2.74	1.35
12	2.88	1.27
13	3.82	1.14
14	4.92	1.07

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Atletico-MG – Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama – Flamengo
30 Oct	Corinthians – Mirassol
31 Oct	Coritiba – Vitoria

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo
29 Oct	Bahia 3-2 Sao Paulo
28 Oct	Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
28 Oct	Fluminense 2-1 Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense-sc
26 Oct	Flamengo 3-2 Atletico-MG