Corinthians vs Mirassol• Serie A, Brazil

#181.2:2.623:00Tomorrow · Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo1.2:0.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X3.80BFR25.06PINMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets95Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 02:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.76	3.73	4.84	4.3%
Dafabet	1.76	3.75	4.80	4.3%
Betano	1.78	3.70	4.70	4.5%
Pinnacle	1.72	3.65	5.06	5.3%
Betfair	1.73	3.75	4.75	5.5%
Bet365	1.75	3.60	4.75	6.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.62	4.70	7.4%
BetVictor	1.70	3.60	4.75	7.7%
William Hill	1.70	3.50	4.60	9.1%
SBO	1.72	3.21	3.94	14.7%
Best of all books	1.78	3.75	5.06	2.6%
Average	1.73	3.61	4.69	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CorinthiansMirassol

Last 10#18Table position#151.03Points per game1.161Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.22.6Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5019Defence rating8111Form rating8960H2H rating4055Goals model4544Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:01 UTC

Corinthians

0W 2D 8L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	A	Vasco DA Gama	2-3	L
19 Oct	H	Vitoria	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Palmeiras	1-4	L
7 Oct	A	Internacional	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fluminense	1-3	L
17 Sep	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Flamengo	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Santos	0-1	L

Mirassol

4W 4D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	H	Sao Paulo	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Internacional	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	Bahia	0-1	L
7 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Uberlandia	4-0	W
19 Sep	H	Botafogo	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Vitoria	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Coritiba	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Flamengo	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Palmeiras	1-1	D

Head to head

6Corinthians wins

1draws

2Mirassol wins

9 meetings · goals 15:6 · last 9: 6W 1D 2L for Corinthians

3 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Mirassol2-1Corinthians
5 Oct 2025Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-0Mirassol
10 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	Mirassol2-1Corinthians
2 Mar 2025Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Corinthians2-0Mirassol
19 Feb 2023Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Corinthians3-0Mirassol
11 Feb 2022Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Corinthians2-1Mirassol
24 Mar 2021Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Mirassol0-1Corinthians
2 Aug 2020Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Corinthians1-0Mirassol
26 Jan 2020Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Mirassol1-1Corinthians

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 29 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Corinthians sit 18th with 33 points from 32 games, while Mirassol are 15th with 37 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	32	21	7	4	64:27	+37	70
2	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	32	14	8	10	44:38	+6	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	-12	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Gremio	32	8	10	14	35:44	-9	34
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.73X26%3.63220%4.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.73 +2.4%X3.68 → 3.63 -1.4%24.85 → 4.71 -2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.00	1.85	4.1%
1xBet	2.02	1.83	4.1%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.83	4.1%
SBO	2.00	1.82	4.9%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.78	6.9%
Betfair	1.90	1.80	8.2%
BetVictor	1.91	1.77	8.9%
Best of all books	2.02	1.85	3.6%
Average	1.97	1.82	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.87	1.87	7.0%
William Hill	1.91	1.83	7.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.82	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.89	1.85	7.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Corinthians 35%Draw 35%Mirassol 30%

The statistical model rates Corinthians at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Mirassol at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.63 | 4.71, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Corinthians win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Corinthians are 18th (33 pts, 34-42 goals), Mirassol 15th (37 pts, 37-45).

Over their last five matches, Corinthians averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Mirassol averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Corinthians or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.61	4.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.06	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.27	2.15	4.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.09	2.47	4.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.65	14.9	42.9
HT X	4.49	5.32	9.74
HT 2	23.5	15.2	7.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	9.10	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.13
1.5	1.31	3.33
2.5	1.97	1.82
3.5	3.42	1.29
4.5	6.64	1.09
5.5	12.2	1.03
6.5	17.9	1.01
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.75
1	1.05	7.18
1.25	1.17	4.21
1.75	1.38	2.80
2	1.50	2.49
2.25	1.74	2.04
2.75	2.24	1.60
3	2.73	1.43
3.25	3.02	1.32
3.75	4.10	1.17
4	5.64	1.10
4.25	5.95	1.08
5	8.45	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.08	1.36
-1.25	2.66	1.44
-1	2.33	1.59
-0.75	1.94	1.84
-0.5	1.72	2.10
-0.25	1.48	2.51

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-2.75	7.37	1.04
-2.5	5.94	1.10
-2.25	5.58	1.11
-2	5.19	1.13
-1.75	3.71	1.25
0	1.27	3.50
+0.25	1.21	4.05
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.10	5.90
+1	1.02	9.10
+1.5	1.03	10.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.16	4.85
3.5	1.35	3.00
4.5	1.73	2.04
5.5	2.44	1.51
6.5	3.35	1.30
7.5	4.85	1.16
8.5	7.00	1.08
9.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.47	2.56
5	2.17	1.65
6	3.05	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	14.5
5.5	1.02	9.75
6.5	1.07	6.26
7.5	1.15	4.43
8.5	1.30	3.02
9.5	1.54	2.26
10.5	1.92	1.80
11.5	2.44	1.48
12.5	3.19	1.27
13.5	4.32	1.15
14.5	5.64	1.09
15.5	8.00	1.05
16.5	10.3	1.03
17.5	11.8	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.89
8	1.18	3.49
8.75	1.33	2.83
9	1.37	2.60
9.25	1.45	2.43
9.75	1.61	2.11
10	1.72	2.01
10.25	1.82	1.86
10.75	2.08	1.69
11	2.21	1.59
11.25	2.34	1.50
11.75	2.66	1.37
12	2.80	1.33
13	3.57	1.17
14	4.65	1.09

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Atletico-MG – Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama – Flamengo
30 Oct	Gremio – Atletico Paranaense
31 Oct	Coritiba – Vitoria

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo
29 Oct	Bahia 3-2 Sao Paulo
28 Oct	Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
28 Oct	Fluminense 2-1 Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense-sc
26 Oct	Flamengo 3-2 Atletico-MG