Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo• Serie A, Brazil

#132.0:0.823:00Today · São Januário, Rio de Janeiro2.2:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33B365X4.04PIN21.90DAFMargin at best0.5%Books9Markets93Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	4.30	3.95	1.85	2.6%
Pinnacle	4.04	4.05	1.84	3.8%
Dafabet	4.00	3.80	1.90	3.9%
1xBet	4.02	3.88	1.87	4.1%
Bet365	4.33	3.60	1.80	6.4%
BetVictor	4.10	3.75	1.80	6.6%
Betfair	4.00	3.80	1.80	6.9%
Marathonbet	3.90	3.76	1.81	7.5%
William Hill	3.80	3.70	1.80	8.9%
Best of all books	4.33	4.05	1.90	0.4%
Average	4.05	3.81	1.83	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vasco DA GamaFlamengo

Last 10#13Table position#11.23Points per game2.197Form pts · last 5112.0Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.048Attack rating5256Defence rating4443Form rating5725H2H rating7529Goals model7140Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:02 UTC

Vasco DA Gama

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

24 Oct	H	Corinthians	3-2	W
21 Oct	H	Boca Juniors	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Boca Juniors	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Remo	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Botafogo	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Coritiba	5-0	W
15 Sep	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gremio	2-1	W
8 Sep	A	Santa Fe	0-0	D

Flamengo

6W 4D 0L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

26 Oct	H	Atletico-MG	3-2	W
23 Oct	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Bahia	3-0	W
16 Oct	A	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Fluminense	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	Santos	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	RB Bragantino	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Independiente del Valle	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Independiente del Valle	2-0	W

Head to head

4Vasco DA Gama wins

15draws

19Flamengo wins

38 meetings · goals 30:55 · last 10: 0W 5D 5L for Vasco DA Gama

3 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo2-2Vasco DA Gama
22 Jan 2026Carioca - 1	Carioca - 1	Flamengo1-0Vasco DA Gama
21 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo1-1Vasco DA Gama
19 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama0-0Flamengo
8 Mar 2025Carioca - 1	Carioca - 1	Flamengo2-1Vasco DA Gama
1 Mar 2025Carioca - 1	Carioca - 1	Vasco DA Gama0-1Flamengo
16 Feb 2025Carioca - 1	Carioca - 1	Flamengo2-0Vasco DA Gama
15 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo1-1Vasco DA Gama
2 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-6Flamengo
4 Feb 2024Carioca - 1	Carioca - 1	Vasco DA Gama0-0Flamengo

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 29 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Vasco DA Gama sit 13th with 38 points from 31 games, while Flamengo are 1st with 70 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	32	21	7	4	64:27	+37	70
2	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	32	14	8	10	44:38	+6	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	-12	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Gremio	32	8	10	14	35:44	-9	34
18	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.07X25%3.79252%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.54 → 4.07 +15.0%X3.47 → 3.79 +9.2%22.04 → 1.81 -11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.78	2.10	3.8%
1xBet	1.76	2.12	4.0%
Pinnacle	1.74	2.14	4.2%
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.78	2.14	2.9%
Average	1.73	2.09	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.11	8.7%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.64	2.14	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vasco DA Gama 10%Draw 45%Flamengo 45%

The statistical model rates Vasco DA Gama at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Flamengo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.07 | 3.79 | 1.81, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Vasco DA Gama are 13th (38 pts, 39-45 goals), Flamengo 1st (70 pts, 64-27).

Over their last five matches, Vasco DA Gama averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Flamengo averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.05	3.81	1.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.94	1.23	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.98	1.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
4.32	2.31	2.36

2nd half

1	X	2
3.96	2.60	2.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.58	14.7	21.6
HT X	8.89	5.92	4.89
HT 2	36.0	14.1	2.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.44	13.6	1.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.4
1.5	1.22	4.11
2.5	1.73	2.09
3.5	2.78	1.42
4.5	5.12	1.15
5.5	9.53	1.04
6.5	15.1	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.3
1	1.02	9.60
1.25	1.11	5.25
1.75	1.25	3.48
2	1.34	3.12
2.25	1.53	2.44
2.75	1.88	1.86
3	2.19	1.64
3.25	2.44	1.50
3.75	3.19	1.29
4	4.17	1.18
4.25	4.45	1.15
4.75	5.95	1.08
5	8.20	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.02	1.37
+0.25	2.32	1.58
+0.5	2.03	1.80
+0.75	1.75	2.02
+1	1.53	2.43
+1.25	1.41	2.76

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	8.00	1.04
-1.25	7.37	1.04
-1	7.01	1.07
-0.75	4.94	1.15
-0.5	4.07	1.25
-0.25	3.41	1.29
+1.5	1.34	3.16
+1.75	1.23	3.82
+2	1.12	5.31
+2.25	1.11	5.62
+2.5	1.10	6.02
+3.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.09	6.60
3.5	1.22	4.00
4.5	1.40	2.83
5.5	1.70	2.10
6.5	2.42	1.52
7.5	3.35	1.30
8.5	4.70	1.17
9.5	6.60	1.09
10.5	8.75	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.46	2.60
6	2.05	1.70
7	2.70	1.41

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	10.8
5.5	1.05	7.03
6.5	1.12	4.95
7.5	1.26	3.31
8.5	1.49	2.38
9.5	1.85	1.86
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.14	1.28
12.5	4.33	1.15
13.5	5.83	1.08
14.5	8.38	1.04
15.5	10.6	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.42
7	1.14	3.87
8	1.32	2.83
8.25	1.39	2.59
8.75	1.54	2.22
9	1.63	2.15
9.25	1.74	1.95
9.75	2.00	1.76
10	2.08	1.67
10.25	2.26	1.55
10.75	2.61	1.40
11	2.72	1.35
11.25	3.05	1.28
12	3.50	1.18
13	4.62	1.09

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Atletico-MG – Cruzeiro
30 Oct	Gremio – Atletico Paranaense
30 Oct	Corinthians – Mirassol
31 Oct	Coritiba – Vitoria

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo
28 Oct	Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
28 Oct	Fluminense 2-1 Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense-sc
26 Oct	Flamengo 3-2 Atletico-MG
26 Oct	Coritiba 0-1 Gremio