Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol• Serie A, Brazil

#200.6:2.622:30Tomorrow · Arena Condá, Chapeco0.8:1.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60B365X3.80DAF22.05BTNMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets90Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.50	3.80	2.04	3.9%
1xBet	3.51	3.76	2.03	4.3%
Pinnacle	3.60	3.80	1.98	4.6%
Betano	3.45	3.80	2.02	4.8%
Bet365	3.60	3.60	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	3.30	3.70	2.00	7.3%
Marathonbet	3.40	3.65	1.97	7.6%
BetVictor	3.40	3.70	1.95	7.7%
William Hill	3.30	3.50	1.95	10.2%
SBO	3.01	3.19	1.99	14.8%
Best of all books	3.60	3.80	2.04	3.1%
Average	3.41	3.65	1.99	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chapecoense-scMirassol

Last 10#20Table position#160.66Points per game1.123Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5728Defence rating7238Form rating637H2H rating9347Goals model5330Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:01 UTC

Chapecoense-sc

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:21 · per match 0.9 for, 2.1 against

28 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	Fluminense	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Botafogo	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Atletico Paranaense	1-4	L
7 Oct	A	Vitoria	0-4	L
26 Sep	A	Atletico Nacional	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Internacional	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Corinthians	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Gremio	1-3	L

Mirassol

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

30 Oct	A	Corinthians	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Sao Paulo	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Internacional	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	Bahia	0-1	L
7 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Uberlandia	4-0	W
19 Sep	H	Botafogo	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Vitoria	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Coritiba	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Flamengo	0-2	L

Head to head

0Chapecoense-sc wins

1draws

4Mirassol wins

5 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 5: 0W 1D 4L for Chapecoense-sc

10 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Mirassol1-1Chapecoense-sc
24 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Mirassol1-0Chapecoense-sc
5 Aug 2024Serie B	Serie B	Chapecoense-sc0-1Mirassol
29 Jul 2023Serie B	Serie B	Chapecoense-sc0-1Mirassol
15 Apr 2023Serie B	Serie B	Mirassol1-0Chapecoense-sc

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 23:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Chapecoense-sc sit 20th with 21 points from 32 games, while Mirassol are 16th with 37 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	68:28	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	50:40	+10	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	44:39	+5	50
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	49:47	+2	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	42:38	+4	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	39:39	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	40:50	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	45:53	-8	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	40:49	-9	38
14	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	37:44	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	37:47	-10	37
17	Corinthians	33	9	9	15	36:42	-6	36
18	Internacional	33	8	11	14	37:42	-5	35
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	32:66	-34	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.45X26%3.67247%1.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.05 → 3.45 +13.1%X3.53 → 3.67 +4.0%22.20 → 1.99 -9.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.70	2.22	3.9%
1xBet	1.72	2.17	4.2%
Pinnacle	1.66	2.23	5.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.11	6.9%
BetVictor	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.72	2.23	3.0%
Average	1.68	2.16	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.57	2.27	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chapecoense-sc 10%Draw 45%Mirassol 45%

The statistical model rates Chapecoense-sc at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mirassol at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.45 | 3.67 | 1.99, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Chapecoense-sc are 20th (21 pts, 32-66 goals), Mirassol 16th (37 pts, 37-47).

Over their last five matches, Chapecoense-sc averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Mirassol averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mirassol.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.41	3.65	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.77	1.29	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.53	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.76	2.30	2.49

2nd half

1	X	2
3.49	2.60	2.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.50	14.2	21.9
HT X	7.91	5.93	5.34
HT 2	30.0	13.7	3.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.26	14.3	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.20	4.35
2.5	1.68	2.16
3.5	2.67	1.46
4.5	4.84	1.16
5.5	9.08	1.05
6.5	14.1	1.02
7.5	22.8	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.25	1.08	5.81
1.75	1.23	3.63
2	1.34	3.10
2.25	1.48	2.52
2.75	1.84	1.93
3	2.10	1.70
3.25	2.36	1.53
3.75	3.19	1.29
4	4.22	1.18
4.25	4.61	1.15
4.75	6.31	1.07
5	9.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.95	1.36
0	2.60	1.48
+0.25	2.07	1.71
+0.5	1.84	1.98
+0.75	1.60	2.23
+1	1.41	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-1.5	6.91	1.07
-1.25	6.88	1.07
-1	6.50	1.08
-0.75	4.30	1.18
-0.5	3.45	1.31
+1.25	1.33	3.14
+1.5	1.27	3.52
+1.75	1.17	4.45
+2	1.08	6.50
+2.25	1.07	6.98
+2.5	1.05	7.47
+3.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.08	7.10
2.5	1.22	3.95
3.5	1.50	2.47
4.5	1.99	1.75
5.5	2.80	1.40
6.5	4.05	1.22
7.5	5.90	1.11
8.5	8.25	1.05
9.5	10.8	1.03

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	12.0
5.5	1.02	9.75
6.5	1.08	6.85
7.5	1.16	4.26
8.5	1.31	2.94
9.5	1.57	2.22
10.5	1.95	1.78
11.5	2.51	1.46
12.5	3.32	1.26
13.5	4.63	1.14
14.5	6.60	1.08
15.5	9.13	1.03
16.5	10.3	1.03
17.5	12.0	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.85
8	1.18	3.47
8.75	1.33	2.83
9	1.38	2.60
9.25	1.46	2.42
9.75	1.62	2.10
10	1.74	2.00
10.25	1.84	1.86
10.75	2.10	1.69
11	2.22	1.60
11.25	2.38	1.49
11.75	2.70	1.36
12	2.82	1.32
13	3.59	1.17
14	4.67	1.08

Next Serie A matches

2 Nov	RB Bragantino – Santos
4 Nov	Internacional – Coritiba
4 Nov	Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama
4 Nov	Flamengo – Gremio
5 Nov	Botafogo – Atletico-MG
5 Nov	Sao Paulo – Corinthians

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria
30 Oct	Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol
30 Oct	Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 1-4 Flamengo
29 Oct	Atletico-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo