Flamengo vs Gremio• Serie A, Brazil

#12.6:1.022:3004/11 · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro1.4:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20BTNX8.251XB215.51XBMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets84Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.19	7.80	14.0	4.0%
1xBet	1.17	8.25	15.5	4.0%
Betano	1.20	7.00	14.0	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.17	8.06	14.2	4.9%
William Hill	1.17	7.00	13.0	7.4%
Bet365	1.17	6.50	15.0	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.15	7.40	14.0	7.6%
BetVictor	1.14	7.50	15.0	7.7%
Betfair	1.15	7.50	13.0	8.0%
SBO	1.15	5.99	9.45	14.2%
Best of all books	1.20	8.25	15.5	1.9%
Average	1.17	7.30	13.7	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlamengoGremio

Last 10#1Table position#152.21Points per game1.1211Form pts · last 5102.6Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.265Attack rating3555Defence rating4562Form rating3871H2H rating2982Goals model1866Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

Flamengo

6W 4D 0L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

29 Oct	A	Vasco DA Gama	4-1	W
26 Oct	H	Atletico-MG	3-2	W
23 Oct	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Bahia	3-0	W
16 Oct	A	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Fluminense	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	Santos	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	RB Bragantino	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Independiente del Valle	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Corinthians	2-1	W

Gremio

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	H	Atletico-MG	2-0	W
30 Oct	H	Atletico Paranaense	2-0	W
26 Oct	A	Coritiba	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	2-4	L
11 Oct	H	Internacional	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Botafogo	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Vitoria	0-1	L

Head to head

17Flamengo wins

9draws

13Gremio wins

39 meetings · goals 57:42 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Flamengo

10 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Gremio0-1Flamengo
31 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo1-1Gremio
13 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Gremio0-2Flamengo
22 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Gremio3-2Flamengo
13 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo2-1Gremio
26 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	Gremio3-2Flamengo
17 Aug 2023Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Flamengo1-0Gremio
27 Jul 2023Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Gremio0-2Flamengo
11 Jun 2023Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo3-0Gremio
24 Nov 2021Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-2Flamengo

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 23:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Flamengo sit 1st with 73 points from 33 games, while Gremio are 15th with 37 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	22	7	4	68:28	+40	73
2	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	56:22	+34	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	52:46	+6	57
4	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	52:42	+10	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	15	9	9	50:40	+10	54
6	Bahia	33	14	11	8	48:42	+6	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	14	8	11	44:39	+5	50
8	Santos	33	12	11	10	49:47	+2	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	12	8	13	42:38	+4	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	12	7	14	39:39	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	40:50	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	45:53	-8	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	10	8	14	40:49	-9	38
14	Vitoria	33	10	8	15	35:48	-13	38
15	Gremio	33	9	10	14	37:44	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	37:47	-10	37
17	Corinthians	33	9	9	15	36:42	-6	36
18	Internacional	33	8	11	14	37:42	-5	35
19	Remo	33	6	11	16	36:51	-15	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	4	9	19	32:66	-34	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg180%1.17X13%7.4527%13.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.17 → 1.17 0.0%X7.45 → 7.45 0.0%214.3 → 13.7 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.42	2.95	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.38	3.03	5.5%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.40	2.88	6.2%
1xBet	1.40	2.84	6.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.90	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Best of all books	1.42	3.10	2.7%
Average	1.38	2.92	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betano	2.00	1.75	7.1%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.98	1.74	8.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.96	1.76	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flamengo 45%Draw 45%Gremio 10%

The statistical model rates Flamengo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gremio at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 7.45 | 13.71, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Flamengo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Flamengo are 1st (73 pts, 68-28 goals), Gremio 15th (37 pts, 37-44).

Over their last five matches, Flamengo averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gremio averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Flamengo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.17	7.30	13.7

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.84	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.04	10.4

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
1.49	3.04	9.71

2nd half

1	X	2
1.39	3.60	9.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.55	22.9	68.5
HT X	4.13	10.7	25.8
HT 2	20.1	25.6	23.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	24.0	4.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.10	6.26
2.5	1.38	2.92
3.5	1.99	1.81
4.5	3.20	1.33
5.5	5.65	1.12
6.5	9.65	1.05
7.5	15.1	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.80
1.75	1.10	5.35
2	1.13	4.97
2.25	1.25	3.47
2.75	1.47	2.53
3	1.57	2.32
3.25	1.77	2.00
3.75	2.19	1.62
4	2.60	1.47
4.25	2.79	1.37
4.75	3.54	1.23
5	4.68	1.15
5.25	4.95	1.12
6	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.57	1.47
-2.5	2.26	1.61
-2.25	2.02	1.74
-2	1.80	1.98
-1.75	1.62	2.23
-1.5	1.50	2.50

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.36	1.07
-4	6.08	1.09
-3.75	4.46	1.16
-3.5	3.67	1.24
-3.25	3.40	1.27
-3	3.20	1.33
-1.25	1.37	3.00
-1	1.21	4.01
-0.75	1.18	4.26
-0.5	1.18	4.65
-0.25	1.08	6.34
0	1.02	9.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.98	1.76

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.12	4.07
8.5	1.26	3.23
9.5	1.48	2.42
10.5	1.81	1.92
11.5	2.24	1.55
12.5	2.92	1.34
13.5	3.45	1.18
14.5	4.42	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.27
8	1.14	3.82
9	1.29	2.75
10	1.59	2.16
11	2.00	1.69
12	2.55	1.39
13	3.25	1.21
14	4.25	1.11
15	5.35	1.05

Next Serie A matches

2 Nov	RB Bragantino – Santos
3 Nov	Chapecoense-sc – Mirassol
4 Nov	Internacional – Coritiba
4 Nov	Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama
5 Nov	Botafogo – Atletico-MG
5 Nov	Sao Paulo – Corinthians

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	Coritiba 2-0 Vitoria
30 Oct	Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol
30 Oct	Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
29 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 1-4 Flamengo
29 Oct	Atletico-MG 0-1 Cruzeiro
29 Oct	Remo 2-1 Botafogo