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Santos vs Palmeiras• Serie A, Brazil

#81.6:1.422:3028/10 · Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos1.8:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.021XBX3.40DAF22.68PINMargin5.8%Books8Markets64Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 00:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.903.402.503.9%
1xBet2.903.322.534.1%
Pinnacle2.763.362.584.8%
Betano2.903.352.474.8%
Betfair2.603.402.606.3%
Bet3653.003.252.356.7%
Marathonbet2.813.222.457.5%
BetVictor2.753.302.457.5%
Best of all books3.003.402.601.2%
Average2.833.322.495.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SantosPalmeiras
Last 10#8Table position#11.44Points per game2.168Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.247Attack rating5313Defence rating8838Form rating6238H2H rating6227Goals model7332Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 03:30 UTC

Santos

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

25 OctHBahia1-1D
18 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctAAtletico-MG1-2L
8 OctHFlamengo2-2D
2 OctASao Paulo2-1W
19 SepARemo2-1W
16 SepAAtletico-MG2-4L
13 SepHCruzeiro2-1W
9 SepHAtletico-MG2-0W
6 SepAInternacional3-2W

Palmeiras

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

24 OctHRB Bragantino2-0W
22 OctHFluminense0-1L
17 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-0W
15 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctHCorinthians4-1W
9 OctHBahia1-0W
20 SepAGremio0-0D
16 SepALDU de Quito2-3L
12 SepHSao Paulo2-0W
9 SepHLDU de Quito1-0W

Head to head

13Santos wins
8draws
20Palmeiras wins

41 meetings · goals 39:53 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Santos

3 Sep 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilSantos0-0Palmeiras
27 Aug 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilPalmeiras3-0Santos
2 May 2026Serie ASerie APalmeiras1-1Santos
14 Jan 2026Paulista - A1Paulista - A1Palmeiras1-0Santos
16 Nov 2025Serie ASerie ASantos1-0Palmeiras
7 Nov 2025Serie ASerie APalmeiras2-0Santos
23 Jan 2025Paulista - A1Paulista - A1Santos1-2Palmeiras
7 Apr 2024Paulista - A1Paulista - A1Palmeiras2-0Santos
31 Mar 2024Paulista - A1Paulista - A1Santos1-0Palmeiras
28 Jan 2024Paulista - A1Paulista - A1Palmeiras2-1Santos

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 25 Oct 04:10 UTC

In the Serie A table, Santos sit 8th with 46 points from 32 games, while Palmeiras are 1st with 69 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palmeiras32209356:22+3469
2Flamengo31207461:25+3667
3Cruzeiro321661051:46+554
4Atletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254
5Fluminense32149950:41+951
6Atletico-MG31148942:35+750
7Bahia321311845:40+550
8Santos3212101049:47+246
9Sao Paulo321271337:36+143
10RB Bragantino321181339:38+141
11Botafogo321091344:51-739
12Coritiba311091238:49-1139
13Vasco DA Gama311081339:45-638
14Vitoria321081435:46-1138
15Mirassol329101337:45-837
16Internacional328111336:40-435
17Corinthians32891534:42-833
18Gremio317101434:44-1031
19Remo325111634:50-1626
20Chapecoense-sc31491832:63-3121

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.87X29%3.30238%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 00:0025 Oct 03:001 2.87X 3.302 2.46
12.99 → 2.87 -4.0%X3.33 → 3.30 -0.9%22.35 → 2.46 +4.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.001.854.1%
Betano2.001.854.1%
Pinnacle1.931.904.4%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Marathonbet1.941.807.1%
Betfair1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.901.779.1%
Best of all books2.051.901.4%
Average1.961.826.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.752.026.6%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.802.025.1%
Average1.741.997.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santos 10%Draw 45%Palmeiras 45%

The statistical model rates Santos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Palmeiras at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.87 | 3.30 | 2.46, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Santos are 8th (46 pts, 49-47 goals), Palmeiras 1st (69 pts, 56-22).

Over their last five matches, Santos averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Palmeiras averaged 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.833.332.49

Double chance

1XX212
1.531.421.31

Draw no bet

12
1.991.76

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.99

1st half

1X2
3.442.103.07

2nd half

1X2
3.112.412.70

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.6914.529.5
HT X6.484.825.70
HT 232.514.03.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.119.051.89

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.97
1.51.303.36
2.51.961.82
3.53.401.29
4.56.631.09
5.512.01.03
6.518.91.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.038.07
11.057.48
1.251.164.35
1.751.362.86
21.482.56
2.251.702.06
2.752.191.63
32.671.45
3.252.981.34
3.754.061.19
45.641.10
4.255.961.08
58.451.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.781.43
-0.252.381.54
02.021.77
+0.251.702.08
+0.51.552.42
+0.751.372.87
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.03
-1.757.551.04
-1.55.741.11
-1.255.511.11
-15.021.16
-0.753.411.29
+11.233.97
+1.251.184.36
+1.51.154.84
+1.751.096.29
+2.51.0310.8

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
6.52.001.73

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.22
7.51.143.89
8.51.293.09
9.51.512.34
10.51.901.86
11.52.341.51
12.53.011.30
13.53.651.16
14.54.651.09
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.075.05
81.163.62
91.352.72
101.652.06
112.091.63
122.701.35
133.421.18
144.471.10

Next Serie A matches

26 OctCoritiba – Gremio
26 OctFlamengo – Atletico-MG
28 OctRB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 OctFluminense – Internacional
29 OctBahia – Sao Paulo
29 OctRemo – Botafogo

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 OctSantos 1-1 Bahia
24 OctChapecoense-sc 2-1 Fluminense
24 OctVasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
24 OctPalmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
24 OctVitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
24 OctMirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo