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Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense• Serie A, Brazil

#141.8:1.61-1FT24/10 · Estadio Manoel Barradas, El Salvador2.2:1.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.74PINX3.45BTN22.761XBMargin at best1.7%Books9Markets90Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.683.382.743.4%
Dafabet2.703.352.703.9%
1xBet2.723.362.664.1%
Betano2.623.402.675.0%
Bet3652.703.252.626.0%
BetVictor2.633.302.606.8%
Marathonbet2.633.252.587.6%
Betfair2.553.402.557.8%
William Hill2.503.102.6210.4%
Best of all books2.723.402.742.7%
Average2.643.312.646.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
Last 10#14Table position#41.19Points per game1.695Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 51.845Attack rating5553Defence rating4738Form rating6240H2H rating6058Goals model4247Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:02 UTC

Vitoria

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

19 OctACorinthians1-1D
11 OctASao Paulo1-2L
7 OctHChapecoense-sc4-0W
20 SepHCruzeiro1-3L
13 SepAMirassol2-2D
7 SepHGremio1-0W
3 SepHVasco DA Gama0-2L
29 AugAAtletico-MG1-2L
27 AugAVasco DA Gama0-1L
23 AugHBahia0-2L

Atletico Paranaense

4W 4D 2L · goals 21:18 · per match 2.1 for, 1.8 against

17 OctHPalmeiras0-2L
12 OctAChapecoense-sc4-1W
8 OctHAtletico-MG2-2D
20 SepHBahia2-1W
12 SepACoritiba3-3D
6 SepACruzeiro1-3L
30 AugHFluminense3-3D
24 AugABotafogo3-2W
15 AugHRB Bragantino1-1D
9 AugASantos2-0W

Head to head

7Vitoria wins
2draws
10Atletico Paranaense wins

19 meetings · goals 27:35 · last 10: 3W 0D 7L for Vitoria

6 Aug 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilVitoria4-0Atletico Paranaense
4 Aug 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilAtletico Paranaense2-0Vitoria
26 Apr 2026Serie ASerie AAtletico Paranaense3-1Vitoria
2 Nov 2024Serie ASerie AAtletico Paranaense1-2Vitoria
30 Jun 2024Serie ASerie AVitoria0-1Atletico Paranaense
17 Nov 2018Serie ASerie AVitoria1-2Atletico Paranaense
29 Jul 2018Serie ASerie AAtletico Paranaense4-0Vitoria
19 Oct 2017Serie ASerie AVitoria2-3Atletico Paranaense
25 Jun 2017Serie ASerie AAtletico Paranaense4-1Vitoria
6 Nov 2016Serie ASerie AVitoria3-2Atletico Paranaense

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 25 Oct 04:10 UTC

In the Serie A table, Vitoria sit 14th with 38 points from 32 games, while Atletico Paranaense are 4th with 54 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palmeiras32209356:22+3469
2Flamengo31207461:25+3667
3Cruzeiro321661051:46+554
4Atletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254
5Fluminense32149950:41+951
6Atletico-MG31148942:35+750
7Bahia321311845:40+550
8Santos3212101049:47+246
9Sao Paulo321271337:36+143
10RB Bragantino321181339:38+141
11Botafogo321091344:51-739
12Coritiba311091238:49-1139
13Vasco DA Gama311081339:45-638
14Vitoria321081435:46-1138
15Mirassol329101337:45-837
16Internacional328111336:40-435
17Corinthians32891534:42-833
18Gremio317101434:44-1031
19Remo325111634:50-1626
20Chapecoense-sc31491832:63-3121

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.62X28%3.31236%2.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 11:011 2.62X 3.332 2.65
12.56 → 2.62 +2.3%X3.29 → 3.33 +1.2%22.69 → 2.65 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.961.932.8%
Betano1.951.903.9%
1xBet1.941.904.2%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Marathonbet1.891.857.0%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Best of all books1.961.932.8%
Average1.921.875.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Betano1.702.077.1%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.682.068.1%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.682.038.8%
Best of all books1.802.103.2%
Average1.702.057.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitoria 10%Draw 45%Atletico Paranaense 45%

The statistical model rated Vitoria at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Paranaense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.31 | 2.65, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Vitoria are 14th (38 pts, 35-46 goals), Atletico Paranaense 4th (54 pts, 50-38).

Over their last five matches, Vitoria averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Atletico Paranaense averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Paranaense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vitoria

4-2-3-1

Coach: Jair Ventura

Goalkeeper

  • 1Lucas Arcanjo

Defence

  • 98Mateusinho
  • 2E. Brítez
  • 36Luan Cândido
  • 83Jamerson

Midfield

  • 6E. Martínez
  • 95Caíque
  • 33Erick
  • 10Matheuzinho
  • 12D. Tarzia

Attack

  • 79Renato Kayzer
Substitutes (12)
  • 88Zé Vitor
  • 15Walace
  • 8T. Pochettino
  • 11Osvaldo
  • 7Marinho
  • 20Lucas Silva
  • 77I. Laquintana
  • 23Fabrício
  • 26Edenilson
  • 9Alex Bruno
  • 3Darlan Silva Dutra
  • 71Yuri Sena

Atletico Paranaense

3-4-2-1

Coach: Odair Hellmann

Goalkeeper

  • 1Mycael

Defence

  • 55Bruno Gonçalves Baldini
  • 33J. Aguirre
  • 37L. Esquivel

Midfield

  • 12Gilberto
  • 16Jádson
  • 14Luiz Gustavo
  • 7S. Mendoza
  • 21Leozinho
  • 8João Cruz

Attack

  • 9K. Viveros
Substitutes (11)
  • 47Chiqueti
  • 10B. Zapelli
  • 53Dudu
  • 23Santos
  • 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
  • 70Renan
  • 27J. Portilla
  • 6Derik
  • 3Léo
  • 2Gilberto
  • 5Felipinho

Match Statistics

VitoriaAtletico Paranaense
1.69Expected Goals0.57
437Passes accurate269
9Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox5
2Blocked Shots5
19Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal5
2Offsides2
507Total passes329
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots10
2Yellow Cards4
3Corner Kicks5
0Goalkeeper Saves3
11Fouls19
60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.643.312.64

Double chance

1XX212
1.461.471.31

Draw no bet

12
1.851.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.702.05

1st half

1X2
3.222.133.20

2nd half

1X2
2.902.412.89

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2513.828.6
HT X6.205.066.08
HT 229.013.84.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.979.502.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.85
1.51.293.48
2.51.921.87
3.53.301.32
4.56.361.10
5.511.81.03
6.517.21.02
7.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.48
11.047.88
1.251.154.56
1.751.342.98
21.452.66
2.251.682.13
2.752.151.66
32.591.48
3.252.831.36
3.753.871.21
45.291.12
4.255.601.09
57.451.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.591.49
-0.252.251.61
01.921.88
+0.251.622.22
+0.51.492.61
+0.751.343.14
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.03
-1.756.841.07
-1.55.261.13
-1.254.881.15
-14.431.19
-0.753.221.32
+11.194.43
+1.251.154.74
+1.51.135.19
+1.751.076.81
+2.51.0310.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.116.00
3.51.253.65
4.51.492.51
5.51.831.92
6.52.331.59
7.53.701.25
8.55.201.14
9.57.301.07
10.59.501.04
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.293.25
51.622.23
62.321.58

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.5
5.51.048.63
6.51.085.74
7.51.193.87
8.51.382.73
9.51.692.06
10.52.081.68
11.52.671.41
12.53.691.21
13.55.051.12
14.56.631.07
15.59.881.03
16.510.81.03
17.512.51.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.57
71.074.90
81.173.52
8.251.312.92
8.751.432.50
91.432.55
9.251.612.15
9.751.831.91
101.801.97
10.252.041.67
10.751.901.81
112.301.55
11.252.691.36
122.781.33
133.551.17
144.621.09
155.351.05

Next Serie A matches

26 OctCoritiba – Gremio
26 OctFlamengo – Atletico-MG
28 OctRB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 OctFluminense – Internacional
28 OctSantos – Palmeiras

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 OctSantos 1-1 Bahia
24 OctChapecoense-sc 2-1 Fluminense
24 OctVasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
24 OctPalmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
24 OctInternacional 3-0 Botafogo
24 OctMirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo