Flamengo vs Atletico-MG• Serie A, Brazil

#22.0:0.823:00Today · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro1.4:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.33BTNX5.871XB211.3BTNMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets103Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.33	5.40	11.3	2.6%
Dafabet	1.32	5.80	9.40	3.6%
1xBet	1.29	5.87	10.6	4.0%
Pinnacle	1.30	5.83	10.1	4.0%
BetVictor	1.29	5.50	10.0	5.7%
Bet365	1.30	5.00	11.0	6.0%
Betfair	1.29	5.00	10.0	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.26	5.50	10.0	7.5%
William Hill	1.29	5.00	9.50	8.0%
SBO	1.29	4.63	6.66	14.1%
Best of all books	1.33	5.87	11.3	1.1%
Average	1.30	5.35	9.85	6.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlamengoAtletico-MG

Last 10#2Table position#62.16Points per game1.619Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.859Attack rating4150Defence rating5054Form rating4662H2H rating3872Goals model2861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:50 UTC

Flamengo

6W 4D 0L · goals 14:5 · per match 1.4 for, 0.5 against

23 Oct	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Bahia	3-0	W
16 Oct	A	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Fluminense	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	Santos	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	RB Bragantino	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Independiente del Valle	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Independiente del Valle	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Remo	1-0	W

Atletico-MG

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

21 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Coritiba	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Santos	4-2	W
12 Sep	H	Fluminense	3-1	W
9 Sep	A	Santos	0-2	L

Head to head

18Flamengo wins

8draws

14Atletico-MG wins

40 meetings · goals 52:51 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Flamengo

26 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG0-4Flamengo
26 Nov 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-1Flamengo
6 Aug 2025Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Atletico-MG0-1Flamengo
1 Aug 2025Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Flamengo0-1Atletico-MG
27 Jul 2025Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo1-0Atletico-MG
13 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo0-0Atletico-MG
10 Nov 2024Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Atletico-MG0-1Flamengo
3 Nov 2024Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Flamengo3-1Atletico-MG
4 Jul 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG2-4Flamengo
29 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Flamengo0-3Atletico-MG

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 26 Oct 04:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Flamengo sit 2nd with 67 points from 31 games, while Atletico-MG are 6th with 50 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61:25	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42:35	+7	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.30X18%5.35210%9.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.34 → 1.30 -3.0%X5.04 → 5.35 +6.2%28.07 → 9.85 +22.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.40	4.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.42	4.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.35	7.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.45	3.3%
Average	1.57	2.38	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betano	1.91	1.83	7.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Best of all books	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Average	1.91	1.82	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flamengo 45%Draw 45%Atletico-MG 10%

The statistical model rates Flamengo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico-MG at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.30 | 5.35 | 9.85, which imply roughly 76.9% for a Flamengo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Flamengo are 2nd (67 pts, 61-25 goals), Atletico-MG 6th (50 pts, 42-35).

Over their last five matches, Flamengo averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Atletico-MG averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Flamengo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.30	5.35	9.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.46	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	7.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
1.71	2.61	7.68

2nd half

1	X	2
1.56	3.06	7.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.79	18.3	63.9
HT X	4.07	7.87	18.8
HT 2	21.2	20.8	16.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.29	16.8	3.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.8
1.5	1.16	4.90
2.5	1.57	2.38
3.5	2.39	1.54
4.5	4.26	1.20
5.5	8.04	1.06
6.5	13.5	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.05	6.81
1.75	1.17	4.36
2	1.21	3.89
2.25	1.38	2.83
2.75	1.70	2.11
3	1.91	1.86
3.25	2.15	1.65
3.75	2.75	1.38
4	3.40	1.26
4.25	3.79	1.21
4.75	5.15	1.11
5	7.19	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.74	1.42
-2	2.45	1.52
-1.75	2.07	1.72
-1.5	1.86	1.93
-1.25	1.63	2.20
-1	1.42	2.77

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	7.27	1.04
-3.5	5.78	1.11
-3.25	5.34	1.12
-3	4.91	1.15
-2.75	3.60	1.25
-2.5	3.10	1.35
-0.75	1.33	3.14
-0.5	1.30	3.62
-0.25	1.16	4.56
0	1.04	7.65

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	9.25
2.5	1.14	5.30
3.5	1.32	3.20
4.5	1.66	2.13
5.5	2.14	1.66
6.5	3.05	1.34
7.5	4.45	1.18
8.5	6.40	1.10
9.5	8.75	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.36	2.89
5	2.00	1.78
6	2.98	1.34

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.5
5.5	1.04	8.88
6.5	1.08	5.78
7.5	1.17	4.08
8.5	1.35	2.82
9.5	1.60	2.17
10.5	2.01	1.74
11.5	2.51	1.45
12.5	3.41	1.25
13.5	4.68	1.13
14.5	5.92	1.08
15.5	8.50	1.04
16.5	10.0	1.03
17.5	12.0	1.02

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.95
8	1.17	3.55
8.75	1.36	2.69
9	1.39	2.67
9.25	1.51	2.30
9.75	1.69	2.02
10	1.76	1.99
10.25	1.92	1.82
10.75	2.03	1.60
11	2.23	1.58
11.25	2.47	1.44
11.75	2.83	1.33
12	2.68	1.40
12.25	2.92	1.31
13	3.52	1.17
14	4.59	1.09

Next Serie A matches

26 Oct	Coritiba – Gremio
28 Oct	Fluminense – Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 Oct	Santos – Palmeiras
29 Oct	Bahia – Sao Paulo
29 Oct	Remo – Botafogo

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 Oct	Santos 1-1 Bahia
24 Oct	Chapecoense-sc 2-1 Fluminense
24 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
24 Oct	Palmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
24 Oct	Vitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
24 Oct	Mirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo