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Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense• Serie A, Brazil

#200.6:2.42-1FT24/10 · Arena Condá, Chapeco1.8:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.75B365X3.87PIN21.851XBMargin at best0.9%Books9Markets95Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 20:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano4.603.801.832.7%
Pinnacle4.743.871.763.8%
Dafabet4.503.801.813.8%
1xBet4.333.711.854.1%
Bet3654.753.701.755.2%
BetVictor4.503.701.756.4%
Betfair4.503.601.757.1%
Marathonbet4.203.601.797.5%
William Hill4.203.501.759.5%
Best of all books4.753.871.850.9%
Average4.483.701.785.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chapecoense-scFluminense
Last 10#20Table position#50.68Points per game1.594Form pts · last 530.6Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 51.425Attack rating7537Defence rating6314Form rating8615H2H rating8533Goals model6726Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 01:40 UTC

Chapecoense-sc

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

24 OctHFluminense2-1W
17 OctABotafogo0-1L
12 OctHAtletico Paranaense1-4L
7 OctAVitoria0-4L
26 SepAAtletico Nacional1-1D
19 SepAAtletico-MG1-1D
12 SepHInternacional1-2L
6 SepACorinthians2-1W
30 AugAGremio1-3L
23 AugHSao Paulo1-0W

Fluminense

4W 0D 6L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

24 OctAChapecoense-sc1-2L
22 OctAPalmeiras1-0W
18 OctHSantos1-2L
15 OctHPalmeiras1-2L
11 OctAFlamengo0-1L
9 OctHCoritiba4-0W
20 SepACorinthians3-1W
15 SepAPlatense1-2L
12 SepAAtletico-MG1-3L
8 SepHPlatense2-0W

Head to head

6Chapecoense-sc wins
4draws
5Fluminense wins

15 meetings · goals 23:22 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Chapecoense-sc

26 Apr 2026Serie ASerie AFluminense2-1Chapecoense-sc
10 Dec 2021Serie ASerie AFluminense3-0Chapecoense-sc
8 Sep 2021Serie ASerie AChapecoense-sc1-2Fluminense
26 Oct 2019Serie ASerie AFluminense1-1Chapecoense-SC
13 Jun 2019Serie ASerie AChapecoense-SC1-1Fluminense
24 Sep 2018Serie ASerie AChapecoense-sc1-2Fluminense
26 May 2018Serie ASerie AFluminense3-1Chapecoense-sc
22 Oct 2017Serie ASerie AChapecoense-sc2-0Fluminense
3 Jul 2017Serie ASerie AFluminense3-3Chapecoense-sc
15 Sep 2016Serie ASerie AFluminense1-2Chapecoense-sc

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 25 Oct 04:10 UTC

In the Serie A table, Chapecoense-sc sit 20th with 21 points from 31 games, while Fluminense are 5th with 51 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palmeiras32209356:22+3469
2Flamengo31207461:25+3667
3Cruzeiro321661051:46+554
4Atletico Paranaense32159850:38+1254
5Fluminense32149950:41+951
6Atletico-MG31148942:35+750
7Bahia321311845:40+550
8Santos3212101049:47+246
9Sao Paulo321271337:36+143
10RB Bragantino321181339:38+141
11Botafogo321091344:51-739
12Coritiba311091238:49-1139
13Vasco DA Gama311081339:45-638
14Vitoria321081435:46-1138
15Mirassol329101337:45-837
16Internacional328111336:40-435
17Corinthians32891534:42-833
18Gremio317101434:44-1031
19Remo325111634:50-1626
20Chapecoense-sc31491832:63-3121

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.48X26%3.70253%1.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 20:401 4.48X 3.702 1.78
14.20 → 4.48 +6.7%X3.59 → 3.70 +3.1%21.80 → 1.78 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.862.033.0%
Betano1.871.984.0%
1xBet1.881.964.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Marathonbet1.831.917.0%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.791.889.1%
Best of all books1.882.032.5%
Average1.841.955.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.752.007.1%
Betano1.752.007.1%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.741.988.0%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.741.958.8%
Best of all books1.752.104.8%
Average1.732.007.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chapecoense-sc 0%Draw 50%Fluminense 50%

The statistical model rated Chapecoense-sc at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Fluminense at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.48 | 3.70 | 1.78, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Chapecoense-sc are 20th (21 pts, 32-63 goals), Fluminense 5th (51 pts, 50-41).

Over their last five matches, Chapecoense-sc averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Fluminense averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Fluminense.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1

Coach: Rafael Lacerda

Goalkeeper

  • 98Anderson

Defence

  • 20Bruno Tubarão
  • 4João Paulo
  • 3Doma
  • 91Bruno Pacheco

Midfield

  • 27Camilo
  • 88Yago Felipe
  • 7Marcinho
  • 10Giovanni Augusto
  • 31Garcez

Attack

  • 11Y. Bolasie
Substitutes (12)
  • 80Miguel Carvalho
  • 16Bruno Matias
  • 19David Antunes
  • 23Dudu
  • 12Fernando
  • 22Max
  • 15Rafael Thyere
  • 94K. Ramírez
  • 9Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
  • 29F. Rossi
  • 30Matheus Aurélio
  • 39Rodrigo

Fluminense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Marcão

Goalkeeper

  • 1Fábio

Defence

  • 23Guga
  • 4Ignacio
  • 21Igor Rabello
  • 13Guilherme Arana

Midfield

  • 35Hércules
  • 16Nonato
  • 90K. Serna
  • 10PH Ganso
  • 34Wesley Nata

Attack

  • 7Hulk
Substitutes (12)
  • 19R. Castillo
  • 22J. Freytes
  • 94Otávio
  • 6Renê
  • 28Riquelme
  • 2Samuel Xavier
  • 3Thiago Silva
  • 98Vitor Eudes
  • 32L. Acosta
  • 14G. Cano
  • 17A. Canobbio
  • 41Ruan Sales Oliveira

Match Statistics

Chapecoense-scFluminense
0.55Expected Goals0.69
193Passes accurate669
1Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox1
12Free Kicks12
3Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves1
2Shots off Goal8
2Offsides0
251Total passes727
6Total Shots16
2Yellow Cards1
3Corner Kicks6
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls12
0Red Cards0
26%Ball Possession74%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.483.701.78

Double chance

1XX212
1.971.201.27

Draw no bet

12
3.231.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.732.00

1st half

1X2
4.672.232.33

2nd half

1X2
4.222.522.11

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.4214.822.6
HT X9.415.544.64
HT 237.814.12.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5810.01.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.4
1.51.253.71
2.51.841.95
3.53.101.35
4.55.871.11
5.510.31.03
6.515.91.02
7.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.57
11.047.98
1.251.144.65
1.751.313.10
21.412.82
2.251.622.22
2.752.051.73
32.421.53
3.252.681.41
3.753.551.23
44.781.14
4.255.101.11
59.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.421.52
+0.52.081.74
+0.751.811.98
+11.562.39
+1.251.432.71
+1.51.353.11
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.051.02
-1.257.651.04
-17.831.04
-0.755.361.11
-0.54.391.21
-0.253.741.25
03.301.31
+1.751.243.77
+21.135.19
+2.251.115.59
+2.51.096.08
+2.751.047.55
+3.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.067.90
2.51.184.45
3.51.472.60
4.51.921.80
5.52.381.57
6.53.651.26
7.55.301.13
8.57.601.07
9.510.01.03
4 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.263.56
41.772.02
52.841.38
63.141.32

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0212.0
5.51.058.25
6.51.105.21
7.51.223.56
8.51.442.54
9.51.761.97
10.52.221.58
11.52.961.33
12.54.011.18
13.55.341.10
14.57.171.05
15.59.881.02
16.511.51.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.30
81.243.02
8.251.362.70
8.751.492.32
91.552.26
9.251.662.01
9.751.881.90
101.991.79
10.252.141.58
10.752.471.43
112.471.46
11.252.881.32
123.121.23
134.151.12
145.291.06

Next Serie A matches

26 OctCoritiba – Gremio
26 OctFlamengo – Atletico-MG
28 OctRB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 OctFluminense – Internacional
28 OctSantos – Palmeiras

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 OctSantos 1-1 Bahia
24 OctVasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
24 OctPalmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
24 OctInternacional 3-0 Botafogo
24 OctMirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo
24 OctVitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense