Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino• Serie A, Brazil

#11.8:0.22-0FT24/10 · Barueri Arena, Barueri1.4:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.53PIN26.25B365Margin at best1.8%Books9Markets96Rating76 · 25Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.57	4.45	6.10	2.6%
Pinnacle	1.53	4.53	6.11	3.8%
Dafabet	1.56	4.40	5.80	4.1%
1xBet	1.55	4.34	6.04	4.1%
Bet365	1.53	4.10	6.25	5.7%
BetVictor	1.50	4.33	6.00	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.50	4.20	5.85	7.6%
Betfair	1.50	4.20	5.50	8.7%
William Hill	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
Best of all books	1.57	4.53	6.25	1.8%
Average	1.53	4.28	5.85	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PalmeirasRB Bragantino

Last 10#1Table position#102.16Points per game1.2812Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.40.2Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4488Defence rating1372Form rating2885H2H rating1573Goals model2776Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 01:10 UTC

Palmeiras

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

24 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	2-0	W
22 Oct	H	Fluminense	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-0	W
15 Oct	A	Fluminense	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Corinthians	4-1	W
9 Oct	H	Bahia	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Gremio	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	LDU de Quito	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Sao Paulo	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	LDU de Quito	1-0	W

RB Bragantino

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	A	Palmeiras	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
13 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	4-2	W
7 Oct	H	Mirassol	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Flamengo	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Botafogo	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Bahia	2-3	L
29 Aug	A	Sao Paulo	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Gremio	1-0	W

Head to head

15Palmeiras wins

5draws

4RB Bragantino wins

24 meetings · goals 38:22 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Palmeiras

26 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino0-1Palmeiras
15 Oct 2025Serie A	Serie A	Palmeiras5-1RB Bragantino
18 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino1-2Palmeiras
28 Jan 2025Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Palmeiras0-0RB Bragantino
5 Oct 2024Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino0-0Palmeiras
21 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Palmeiras2-1RB Bragantino
31 Jan 2024Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	RB Bragantino0-1Palmeiras
1 Oct 2023Serie A	Serie A	RB Bragantino2-1Palmeiras
13 May 2023Serie A	Serie A	Palmeiras1-1RB Bragantino
23 Feb 2023Paulista - A1	Paulista - A1	Palmeiras2-0RB Bragantino

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 26 Oct 04:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Palmeiras sit 1st with 69 points from 32 games, while RB Bragantino are 10th with 41 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61:25	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42:35	+7	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.53X22%4.28216%5.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.55 → 1.53 -1.3%X4.07 → 4.28 +5.2%25.54 → 5.85 +5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.72	2.18	4.0%
1xBet	1.72	2.17	4.2%
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.11	6.9%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.18	3.0%
Average	1.71	2.12	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.76	1.96	7.8%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.93	8.6%
Best of all books	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Average	1.78	1.95	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Palmeiras 45%Draw 45%RB Bragantino 10%

The statistical model rated Palmeiras at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and RB Bragantino at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.28 | 5.91, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Palmeiras win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Palmeiras are 1st (69 pts, 56-22 goals), RB Bragantino 10th (41 pts, 39-38).

Over their last five matches, Palmeiras averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; RB Bragantino averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Goalkeeper

1Carlos Miguel

Defence

3Bruno Fuchs
15G. Gómez
2A. Barboza

Midfield

4A. Giay
17Marlon Freitas
30Lucas Evangelista
56Arthur
11J. Arias
18Maurício

Attack

42J. López

Substitutes (12)

26Murilo
7Felipe Anderson
14Marcelo Lomba
45Erick Machado
32E. Martínez
21Bruno
50Luis Felipe
37Fabiano
43Benedetti
12Khellven
19R. Sosa
48Larson

RB Bragantino

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vagner Mancini

Goalkeeper

18Tiago Volpi

Defence

52Ryan Tavares
4Alix
2Guzmán Rodríguez
29Juninho Capixaba

Midfield

35Matheus Fernandes
5Fabinho
32J. Herrera
21Lucas Barbosa
11Fernando

Attack

9I. Pitta

Substitutes (12)

15I. Sosa
1Cleiton
23A. Sant'Anna
56Gustavo
17Vinicius
19Bruninho
3Eduardo Santos
6Gabriel
8Eduardo Sasha
57Marcelinho Braz
12Vanderlan
47Wallace

Match Statistics

PalmeirasRB Bragantino

3.35Expected Goals0.44

444Passes accurate334

19Shots insidebox4

5Shots outsidebox7

6Blocked Shots3

9Free Kicks6

7Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves4

11Shots off Goal6

4Offsides1

513Total passes398

24Total Shots11

2Yellow Cards4

10Corner Kicks9

7Fouls10

0Red Cards0

56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	4.28	5.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.43	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.02	2.39	5.64

2nd half

1	X	2
1.84	2.73	5.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.20	16.2	49.0
HT X	4.33	6.40	12.3
HT 2	22.2	16.9	9.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	14.0	2.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.0
1.5	1.21	4.18
2.5	1.71	2.12
3.5	2.76	1.43
4.5	5.15	1.15
5.5	9.74	1.05
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.90
1.25	1.09	5.75
1.75	1.23	3.63
2	1.31	3.29
2.25	1.50	2.48
2.75	1.87	1.89
3	2.16	1.66
3.25	2.42	1.52
3.75	3.19	1.29
4	4.22	1.18
4.25	4.61	1.15
4.75	6.31	1.07
5	9.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.93	1.38
-1.5	2.45	1.53
-1.25	2.16	1.66
-1	1.87	1.93
-0.75	1.64	2.19
-0.5	1.53	2.50

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.1	1.04
-3	8.60	1.02
-2.75	5.83	1.10
-2.5	4.51	1.17
-2.25	4.15	1.19
-2	3.79	1.25
-0.25	1.35	3.09
0	1.18	4.52
+0.25	1.14	4.97
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.04	7.55
+1.5	1.02	11.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.16	4.80
3.5	1.36	2.99
4.5	1.79	1.98
5.5	2.35	1.56
6.5	3.45	1.28
7.5	5.00	1.15
8.5	7.20	1.07
9.5	9.50	1.04

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.48	2.57
5	2.20	1.63

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	10.6
6.5	1.06	7.55
7.5	1.12	4.92
8.5	1.24	3.44
9.5	1.44	2.52
10.5	1.75	1.97
11.5	2.19	1.60
12.5	2.81	1.36
13.5	3.83	1.20
14.5	4.96	1.12
15.5	6.57	1.06
16.5	9.25	1.04
17.5	11.0	1.02
18.5	12.5	1.01

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.12	4.17
9	1.25	3.00
9.25	1.35	2.74
9.75	1.48	2.36
10	1.52	2.30
10.25	1.66	2.06
10.75	1.83	1.94
11	1.96	1.81
11.25	2.06	1.63
11.75	2.36	1.47
12	2.42	1.47
12.25	2.70	1.36
13	2.95	1.25
14	3.87	1.14
15	4.97	1.07

Next Serie A matches

26 Oct	Coritiba – Gremio
26 Oct	Flamengo – Atletico-MG
28 Oct	Santos – Palmeiras
28 Oct	RB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 Oct	Fluminense – Internacional
29 Oct	Bahia – Sao Paulo

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 Oct	Santos 1-1 Bahia
24 Oct	Chapecoense-sc 2-1 Fluminense
24 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
24 Oct	Internacional 3-0 Botafogo
24 Oct	Mirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo
24 Oct	Vitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense