Coritiba vs Gremio• Serie A, Brazil

#120.8:2.822:30Today · Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba1.2:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.521XB23.441XBMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets95Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.22	3.53	3.29	3.8%
Dafabet	2.21	3.45	3.35	4.1%
1xBet	2.14	3.52	3.44	4.2%
Bet365	2.20	3.30	3.40	5.2%
Betano	2.22	3.40	3.25	5.2%
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.25	6.7%
Marathonbet	2.07	3.42	3.34	7.5%
Betfair	2.10	3.50	3.10	8.4%
William Hill	2.10	3.25	3.20	9.6%
SBO	2.15	2.99	2.84	15.2%
Best of all books	2.22	3.53	3.44	2.4%
Average	2.16	3.38	3.25	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CoritibaGremio

Last 10#12Table position#181.26Points per game1.002Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 51.22.8Goals against · last 51.840Attack rating6039Defence rating6140Form rating607H2H rating9365Goals model3536Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:10 UTC

Coritiba

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

17 Oct	A	Atletico-MG	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Botafogo	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Fluminense	0-4	L
19 Sep	A	Vasco DA Gama	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Atletico Paranaense	3-3	D
6 Sep	H	Mirassol	1-2	L
31 Aug	A	Remo	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Sao Paulo	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Chapecoense-sc	2-1	W

Gremio

2W 4D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	2-4	L
11 Oct	H	Internacional	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Botafogo	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L
7 Sep	A	Vitoria	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Internacional	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Chapecoense-sc	3-1	W
27 Aug	A	Internacional	0-0	D

Head to head

7Coritiba wins

4draws

8Gremio wins

19 meetings · goals 23:22 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Coritiba

26 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Gremio1-0Coritiba
1 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba1-2Gremio
25 Jun 2023Serie A	Serie A	Gremio5-1Coritiba
31 Jan 2021Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba1-1Gremio
7 Oct 2020Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-1Coritiba
15 Oct 2017Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba0-1Gremio
23 Jun 2017Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-0Coritiba
8 Sep 2016Serie A	Serie A	Coritiba4-0Gremio
29 May 2016Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-0Coritiba
30 Aug 2015Serie A	Serie A	Gremio0-0Coritiba

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 26 Oct 04:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Coritiba sit 12th with 39 points from 31 games, while Gremio are 18th with 31 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61:25	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42:35	+7	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.15X28%3.37229%3.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.16 → 2.15 -0.5%X3.40 → 3.37 -0.9%23.25 → 3.25 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.94	3.4%
Betano	1.90	1.95	3.9%
1xBet	1.91	1.93	4.2%
SBO	1.90	1.92	4.7%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.88	7.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.95	3.1%
Average	1.88	1.91	5.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.67	2.12	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.12	5.0%
Average	1.69	2.07	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Coritiba 10%Draw 45%Gremio 45%

The statistical model rates Coritiba at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gremio at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.37 | 3.25, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Coritiba are 12th (39 pts, 38-49 goals), Gremio 18th (31 pts, 34-44).

Over their last five matches, Coritiba averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Gremio averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gremio.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.38	3.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.68	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.68	2.16	3.76

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.47	3.39

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.37	13.4	31.5
HT X	5.35	5.30	7.23
HT 2	24.7	14.2	5.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	11.5	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.2
1.5	1.27	3.61
2.5	1.88	1.91
3.5	3.20	1.34
4.5	6.20	1.10
5.5	11.3	1.03
6.5	17.1	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.3
1	1.02	8.40
1.25	1.14	4.72
1.75	1.32	3.10
2	1.43	2.72
2.25	1.66	2.16
2.75	2.11	1.68
3	2.52	1.50
3.25	2.79	1.37
3.75	3.79	1.21
4	5.14	1.12
4.25	5.45	1.10
5	9.35	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.19	1.33
-0.75	2.46	1.51
-0.5	2.16	1.68
-0.25	1.85	1.95
0	1.55	2.39
+0.25	1.40	2.80

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	8.22	1.04
-2.25	7.18	1.06
-2	7.06	1.07
-1.75	5.09	1.13
-1.5	3.93	1.22
-1.25	3.56	1.26
+0.5	1.35	3.24
+0.75	1.21	4.11
+1	1.09	6.15
+1.25	1.08	6.65
+1.5	1.07	6.91
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.06	7.70
3.5	1.17	4.70
4.5	1.36	2.95
5.5	1.73	2.03
6.5	2.31	1.58
7.5	2.87	1.38
8.5	4.00	1.22
9.5	5.60	1.12
10.5	7.60	1.06

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.51	2.45
6	2.13	1.66
7	2.88	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.3
5.5	1.04	8.50
6.5	1.09	5.57
7.5	1.20	3.79
8.5	1.40	2.68
9.5	1.71	2.05
10.5	2.12	1.64
11.5	2.75	1.39
12.5	3.77	1.20
13.5	5.22	1.11
14.5	7.05	1.05
15.5	10.1	1.02
16.5	11.3	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.57
7	1.10	4.37
8	1.23	3.07
8.25	1.26	3.20
8.75	1.36	2.73
9	1.47	2.44
9.25	1.50	2.30
9.75	1.68	2.01
10	1.88	1.87
10.25	1.87	1.77
10.75	2.12	1.58
11	2.37	1.50
11.25	2.43	1.44
12	3.07	1.23
13	4.07	1.12
14	5.22	1.06
15	5.30	1.06

Next Serie A matches

26 Oct	Flamengo – Atletico-MG
28 Oct	Fluminense – Internacional
28 Oct	RB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 Oct	Santos – Palmeiras
29 Oct	Bahia – Sao Paulo
29 Oct	Remo – Botafogo

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 Oct	Santos 1-1 Bahia
24 Oct	Chapecoense-sc 2-1 Fluminense
24 Oct	Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
24 Oct	Palmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
24 Oct	Vitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
24 Oct	Mirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo