Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians• Serie A, Brazil

#131.8:0.63-2FT24/10 · São Januário, Rio de Janeiro1.0:2.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX4.03PIN25.29PINMargin at best0.9%Books9Markets94Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.80	5.20	2.7%
Pinnacle	1.67	4.03	5.29	3.6%
1xBet	1.71	3.82	5.10	4.3%
Dafabet	1.72	3.80	5.00	4.5%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	5.25	5.6%
Betfair	1.67	3.80	5.00	6.2%
BetVictor	1.67	3.75	5.00	6.5%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.70	4.95	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	3.70	4.75	8.0%
Best of all books	1.75	4.03	5.29	0.9%
Average	1.69	3.79	5.06	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vasco DA GamaCorinthians

Last 10#13Table position#171.23Points per game1.037Form pts · last 511.8Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 52.464Attack rating3680Defence rating2091Form rating97H2H rating9355Goals model4554Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 03:40 UTC

Vasco DA Gama

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

21 Oct	H	Boca Juniors	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Boca Juniors	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Remo	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Botafogo	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Coritiba	5-0	W
15 Sep	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gremio	2-1	W
8 Sep	A	Santa Fe	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Fluminense	0-1	L

Corinthians

0W 2D 8L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

19 Oct	H	Vitoria	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Palmeiras	1-4	L
7 Oct	A	Internacional	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fluminense	1-3	L
17 Sep	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Flamengo	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Santos	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Coritiba	1-2	L

Head to head

2Vasco DA Gama wins

8draws

17Corinthians wins

27 meetings · goals 21:46 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Vasco DA Gama

26 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians1-0Vasco DA Gama
21 Dec 2025Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Vasco DA Gama1-2Corinthians
18 Dec 2025Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Corinthians0-0Vasco DA Gama
24 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama2-3Corinthians
5 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-0Vasco DA Gama
24 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-1Vasco DA Gama
10 Jul 2024Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama2-0Corinthians
29 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama2-4Corinthians
29 Jul 2023Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians3-1Vasco DA Gama
21 Feb 2021Serie A	Serie A	Corinthians0-0Vasco DA Gama

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 25 Oct 04:10 UTC

In the Serie A table, Vasco DA Gama sit 13th with 38 points from 31 games, while Corinthians are 17th with 33 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61:25	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42:35	+7	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.69X25%3.79219%5.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.73 → 1.69 -2.3%X3.65 → 3.79 +3.8%24.71 → 5.06 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.00	1.88	3.2%
1xBet	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Betano	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.80	7.1%
Betfair	1.90	1.80	8.2%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.88	3.2%
Average	1.95	1.83	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betano	1.90	1.85	6.7%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.81	8.7%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.88	1.85	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vasco DA Gama 45%Draw 45%Corinthians 10%

The statistical model rated Vasco DA Gama at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Corinthians at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.79 | 5.07, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Vasco DA Gama win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Vasco DA Gama are 13th (38 pts, 39-45 goals), Corinthians 17th (33 pts, 34-42).

Over their last five matches, Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Corinthians averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Goalkeeper

1Léo Jardim

Defence

2J. Rodríguez
4A. Saldivia
30Robert Renan
66Cuiabano

Midfield

22A. Lescano
5S. Sosa
11A. Gómez
23Thiago Mendes
9F. Colidio

Attack

19Bruno Duarte

Substitutes (12)

13Daniel Fuzato
3Tchê Tchê
83Ramon Rique
96Paulo Henrique
17Nuno Moreira
6Lucas Piton
43Lucas Freitas
20Brenner
7David
55Gabriel Pereira
18M. Hinestroza
8Jair

Corinthians

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Seedorf

Goalkeeper

1Hugo Souza

Defence

2Matheuzinho
5André Ramalho
13Gustavo Henrique
26F. Angileri

Midfield

61Dieguinho
7Breno
49Andre
8R. Garro
21Matheus Bidu

Attack

9Yuri Alberto

Substitutes (12)

23Matheus Pereira
29Allan
35Charles
18Pedro Raul
20P. Milans
55I. Machado
77J. Lingard
51Kauê Camargo
37Kaio César
4João Pedro
46Hugo
56Guilherme Inácio

Match Statistics

Vasco DA GamaCorinthians

1.79Expected Goals0.77

438Passes accurate206

18Shots insidebox8

7Shots outsidebox4

8Blocked Shots1

13Free Kicks11

8Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves5

9Shots off Goal7

2Offsides3

526Total passes295

25Total Shots12

1Yellow Cards3

3Corner Kicks3

11Fouls14

0Red Cards0

63%Ball Possession37%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.79	5.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.13	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.20	5.34

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.49	4.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	15.3	46.6
HT X	4.40	5.36	10.3
HT 2	24.4	16.4	8.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	9.50	2.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.77
1.5	1.30	3.37
2.5	1.95	1.83
3.5	3.39	1.30
4.5	6.69	1.09
5.5	12.2	1.03
6.5	18.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.48
1	1.04	7.78
1.25	1.16	4.39
1.75	1.36	2.89
2	1.48	2.55
2.25	1.72	2.07
2.75	2.20	1.62
3	2.70	1.44
3.25	2.97	1.33
3.75	4.10	1.18
4	5.64	1.10
4.25	6.01	1.08
5	8.45	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.97	1.38
-1.25	2.56	1.48
-1	2.23	1.64
-0.75	1.85	1.92
-0.5	1.67	2.19
-0.25	1.45	2.62

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.03
-2.75	7.45	1.04
-2.5	5.84	1.11
-2.25	5.38	1.12
-2	4.96	1.15
-1.75	3.60	1.27
0	1.25	3.70
+0.25	1.20	4.24
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.08	6.27
+1	1.03	9.00
+1.5	1.03	10.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.10	6.30
3.5	1.24	3.85
4.5	1.54	2.40
5.5	1.95	1.78
6.5	2.73	1.42
7.5	3.55	1.27
8.5	5.00	1.15
9.5	7.10	1.08
10.5	9.25	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.32	3.14
5	1.88	1.88
6	2.84	1.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.3
5.5	1.04	8.50
6.5	1.09	5.56
7.5	1.20	3.79
8.5	1.39	2.69
9.5	1.68	2.06
10.5	2.10	1.65
11.5	2.68	1.40
12.5	3.74	1.21
13.5	4.92	1.12
14.5	6.51	1.06
15.5	9.50	1.02
16.5	11.0	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.09	4.57
8	1.21	3.25
8.25	1.29	3.04
8.75	1.40	2.58
9	1.44	2.50
9.25	1.55	2.20
9.75	1.74	1.93
10	1.86	1.90
10.25	1.96	1.70
10.75	2.22	1.54
11	2.36	1.50
11.25	2.56	1.40
12	2.92	1.26
13	3.87	1.14
14	4.99	1.07

Next Serie A matches

26 Oct	Coritiba – Gremio
26 Oct	Flamengo – Atletico-MG
28 Oct	RB Bragantino – Chapecoense-sc
28 Oct	Fluminense – Internacional
28 Oct	Santos – Palmeiras

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 Oct	Santos 1-1 Bahia
24 Oct	Chapecoense-sc 2-1 Fluminense
24 Oct	Palmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
24 Oct	Internacional 3-0 Botafogo
24 Oct	Mirassol 1-1 Sao Paulo
24 Oct	Vitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense