Stade de Mbour vs Jaraaf• Ligue 1, Senegal

#120.7:1.016:30Today1.7:0.7#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.45DAFX2.70DAF22.40DAFMargin at best7.7%Books5Markets32Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 07:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	2.70	2.40	7.7%
Betano	3.30	2.60	2.37	11.0%
1xBet	3.38	2.60	2.33	11.0%
Bet365	3.30	2.60	2.35	11.3%
Marathonbet	3.28	2.60	2.31	12.2%
Best of all books	3.45	2.70	2.40	7.7%
Average	3.34	2.62	2.35	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stade de MbourJaraaf

Last 10#12Table position#20.67Points per game2.333Form pts · last 5110.7Goals for · last 51.71.0Goals against · last 50.729Attack rating7140Defence rating6022Form rating7825H2H rating750Goals model029Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 10:10 UTC

Stade de Mbour

2W 5D 3L · goals 6:8 · per match 0.6 for, 0.8 against

30 Oct	A	HLM	2-3	L
25 Oct	H	Guédiawaye	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Wally Daan	0-0	D
4 Jun	A	Gorée	0-0	D
22 May	H	Guédiawaye	0-2	L
17 May	A	Teungueth	0-2	L
13 May	A	DSC	2-0	W
10 May	H	Wally Daan	1-1	D
3 May	A	AJEL	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Ouakam	0-0	D

Jaraaf

5W 4D 1L · goals 11:4 · per match 1.1 for, 0.4 against

1 Nov	H	Wally Daan	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Ouakam	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	AJEL	1-1	D
4 Jun	A	AS Camberene	2-0	W
22 May	H	Casa Sport	0-0	D
17 May	H	DSC	3-0	W
13 May	A	Pikine	0-0	D
10 May	H	Sonacos	0-0	D
2 May	A	Génération Foot	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	La Linguère	1-0	W

Head to head

4Stade de Mbour wins

5draws

6Jaraaf wins

15 meetings · goals 14:18 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Stade de Mbour

25 Mar 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour0-2Jaraaf
29 Nov 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Jaraaf0-0Stade de Mbour
13 May 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour0-2Jaraaf
30 Dec 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Jaraaf2-2Stade de Mbour
6 Aug 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Jaraaf1-1Stade de Mbour
19 Feb 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour1-0Jaraaf
20 Jun 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour2-1Jaraaf
17 Apr 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Jaraaf0-0Stade de Mbour
18 Jan 2020Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Jaraaf1-3Stade de Mbour
14 Apr 2019Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour1-2Jaraaf

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 8 Nov 10:10 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Stade de Mbour sit 12th with 2 points from 3 games, while Jaraaf are 2nd with 7 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gorée	4	3	1	0	5:0	+5	10
2	Jaraaf	3	2	1	0	5:2	+3	7
3	HLM	3	2	1	0	6:4	+2	7
4	AJEL	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
5	Génération Foot	3	1	2	0	3:0	+3	5
6	Guédiawaye	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
7	Teungueth	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
8	Wally Daan	4	1	1	2	2:2	0	4
9	Diambars	3	1	1	1	1:1	0	4
10	DSC	4	0	3	1	2:3	-1	3
11	Pikine	4	0	3	1	2:5	-3	3
12	Stade de Mbour	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
13	Casa Sport	3	0	2	1	2:4	-2	2
14	Essamaye	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2
15	La Linguère	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
16	Ouakam	3	0	0	3	1:6	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.34X34%2.62238%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.40	1.30	6.3%
1xBet	3.14	1.27	10.6%
Marathonbet	3.14	1.27	10.6%
Best of all books	3.40	1.30	6.3%
Average	3.23	1.28	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.50	1.45	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.50	1.43	9.9%
Best of all books	2.50	1.45	9.0%
Average	2.50	1.44	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stade de Mbour 0%Draw 50%Jaraaf 50%

The statistical model rates Stade de Mbour at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Jaraaf at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.34 | 2.62 | 2.35, which imply roughly 38.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Stade de Mbour are 12th (2 pts, 2-3 goals), Jaraaf 2nd (7 pts, 5-2).

Over their last five matches, Stade de Mbour averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Jaraaf averaged 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jaraaf and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.34	2.62	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.25	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
2.20	1.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.50	1.44

1st half

1	X	2
4.44	1.72	3.26

2nd half

1	X	2
3.93	1.95	2.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.70	16.3	40.5
HT X	6.45	3.45	4.95
HT 2	50.5	17.5	4.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.57	4.47	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.13	4.60
1.5	1.73	1.94
2.5	3.23	1.28
3.5	6.60	1.05
4.5	11.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.17	4.00
1	1.24	3.34
1.25	1.49	2.34
1.75	1.96	1.70
2	2.42	1.44
2.25	2.82	1.34
2.75	4.05	1.17
3	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	4.25	1.15
-0.25	2.71	1.37
0	2.21	1.56
+0.25	1.75	1.95
+0.75	1.34	2.84
+1	1.16	4.20

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1	7.10	1.04
+1.25	1.12	4.70
+1.5	1.09	5.25

Next Ligue 1 matches

8 Nov	Ouakam – Génération Foot
8 Nov	Teungueth – HLM
8 Nov	Guédiawaye – La Linguère

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

5 Nov	Teungueth 1-0 Ouakam
2 Nov	Gorée 2-0 Ouakam
1 Nov	Jaraaf 1-0 Wally Daan
1 Nov	Guédiawaye 0-0 Casa Sport
1 Nov	AJEL 0-0 Diambars
1 Nov	Génération Foot 0-0 La Linguère