Guédiawaye vs Casa Sport• Ligue 1, Senegal

#61.0:0.50-0FT01/111.0:2.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35B365X2.62B36523.20B365Margin at best12.0%Books5Markets33Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 11:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.42	2.75	3.30	8.0%
Betano	2.40	2.65	3.20	10.7%
Bet365	2.35	2.62	3.20	12.0%
Marathonbet	2.33	2.64	3.18	12.2%
William Hill	2.40	2.45	3.25	13.3%
Best of all books	2.42	2.75	3.30	8.0%
Average	2.38	2.62	3.23	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GuédiawayeCasa Sport

Last 10#6Table position#122.00Points per game0.507Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.00.5Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5080Defence rating2080Form rating2062H2H rating3865Goals model3566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 22:01 UTC

Guédiawaye

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	A	Stade de Mbour	0-0	D
17 Oct	H	DSC	2-1	W
4 Jun	H	Teungueth	0-1	L
22 May	A	Stade de Mbour	2-0	W
17 May	H	Wally Daan	2-3	L
13 May	A	AJEL	0-1	L
10 May	H	Ouakam	1-1	D
3 May	A	HLM	1-2	L
25 Apr	H	AS Camberene	0-0	D
19 Apr	A	Casa Sport	1-1	D

Casa Sport

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	H	Wally Daan	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	HLM	2-2	D
4 Jun	H	DSC	1-2	L
22 May	A	Jaraaf	0-0	D
17 May	H	Pikine	1-0	W
13 May	A	Sonacos	3-0	W
10 May	H	Génération Foot	1-2	L
3 May	A	La Linguère	0-0	D
26 Apr	H	Gorée	0-0	D
19 Apr	H	Guédiawaye	1-1	D

Head to head

5Guédiawaye wins

2draws

7Casa Sport wins

14 meetings · goals 13:15 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Guédiawaye

19 Apr 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Casa Sport1-1Guédiawaye
21 Dec 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Guédiawaye2-0Casa Sport
26 Jun 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Casa Sport0-0Guédiawaye
8 Feb 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Guédiawaye2-3Casa Sport
3 Mar 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Casa Sport0-1Guédiawaye
4 Nov 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Guédiawaye1-0Casa Sport
14 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Guédiawaye0-1Casa Sport
7 Dec 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Casa Sport3-1Guédiawaye
12 Jun 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Casa Sport1-2Guédiawaye
13 Mar 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Guédiawaye0-2Casa Sport

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 1 Nov 20:20 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Guédiawaye sit 6th with 4 points from 2 games, while Casa Sport are 12th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	HLM	3	2	1	0	6:4	+2	7
2	Génération Foot	3	1	2	0	3:0	+3	5
3	Jaraaf	2	1	1	0	4:2	+2	4
4	Gorée	2	1	1	0	2:0	+2	4
5	Wally Daan	2	1	1	0	2:0	+2	4
6	Guédiawaye	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
7	Diambars	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
8	AJEL	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Stade de Mbour	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
10	DSC	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
11	Essamaye	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
12	Casa Sport	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
13	La Linguère	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
14	Pikine	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
15	Teungueth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Ouakam	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.39X34%2.62228%3.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.25	1.33	6.0%
Pinnacle	3.22	1.27	9.8%
Marathonbet	3.08	1.28	10.6%
Best of all books	3.25	1.33	6.0%
Average	3.18	1.29	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.38	1.50	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.46	10.0%
Best of all books	2.41	1.50	8.2%
Average	2.40	1.48	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guédiawaye 45%Draw 45%Casa Sport 10%

The statistical model rated Guédiawaye at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Casa Sport at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 2.62 | 3.22, which imply roughly 41.8% for a Guédiawaye win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Guédiawaye are 6th (4 pts, 2-1 goals), Casa Sport 12th (1 pts, 2-4).

Over their last five matches, Guédiawaye averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Casa Sport averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guédiawaye or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	2.62	3.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.47	1.39

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.40	1.48

1st half

1	X	2
3.26	1.74	4.13

2nd half

1	X	2
2.92	1.95	3.67

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.05	16.3	48.0
HT X	5.20	3.48	6.40
HT 2	43.0	17.8	5.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.98	4.80	2.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.10
1.5	1.70	1.98
2.5	3.18	1.29
3.5	6.85	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.45
1	1.21	3.60
1.25	1.45	2.44
1.75	1.92	1.75
2	2.39	1.48
2.25	2.77	1.35
2.75	3.98	1.17
3	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.96	1.31
-0.5	2.43	1.48
-0.25	2.02	1.71
0	1.61	2.13
+0.25	1.40	2.61
+0.5	1.30	3.06

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.65	1.08
-1.25	5.05	1.10
-1	4.39	1.15
+0.75	1.15	4.25
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Next Ligue 1 matches

2 Nov

Gorée – Ouakam

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

1 Nov	Jaraaf 1-0 Wally Daan
1 Nov	AJEL 0-0 Diambars
1 Nov	Génération Foot 0-0 La Linguère
25 Oct	Ouakam 1-3 Jaraaf
25 Oct	Pikine 0-0 Essamaye
25 Oct	Stade de Mbour 0-0 Guédiawaye