Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo• Primera División, Uruguay

#161.0:1.219:3015/11 · Montevideo1.6:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.671XBX3.30BFR22.05WHMargin at best6.3%Books7Markets77Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 02:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.63	3.29	2.03	7.2%
William Hill	3.60	3.10	2.05	8.8%
Betfair	3.50	3.30	2.00	8.9%
Betano	3.65	3.15	1.95	10.4%
1xBet	3.67	3.18	1.93	10.5%
Bet365	3.40	3.20	2.00	10.7%
Marathonbet	3.58	3.18	1.91	11.7%
Best of all books	3.67	3.30	2.05	6.3%
Average	3.58	3.20	1.98	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DanubioLiverpool Montevideo

Last 10#16Table position#60.91Points per game1.697Form pts · last 5131.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 50.638Attack rating6233Defence rating6732Form rating6862H2H rating3835Goals model6542Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Danubio

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

9 Nov	A	Lito	1-1	D
1 Nov	H	Club Nacional	1-2	L
29 Oct	A	Wanderers Durazno	3-0	W
24 Oct	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Central Espanol	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Central Espanol	6-0	W
9 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Cerro Largo	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Defensor Sporting	0-1	L
24 Sep	H	Penarol	1-1	D

Liverpool Montevideo

8W 2D 0L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

11 Nov	H	Juventud	1-1	D
5 Nov	A	Gladiador	2-0	W
1 Nov	H	Juventud	2-0	W
25 Oct	A	Club Nacional	1-0	W
21 Oct	H	Cerro Largo	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Penarol	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Deportivo Maldonado	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Progreso	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Central Espanol	2-1	W
23 Sep	H	Colón	3-0	W

Head to head

11Danubio wins

7draws

8Liverpool Montevideo wins

26 meetings · goals 33:30 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Danubio

2 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Liverpool Montevideo3-0Danubio
3 Aug 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Liverpool Montevideo0-0Danubio
1 Feb 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Danubio1-1Liverpool Montevideo
22 Sep 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Danubio1-0Liverpool Montevideo
28 Jul 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Danubio2-0Liverpool Montevideo
10 Mar 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Liverpool Montevideo1-2Danubio
26 Aug 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Liverpool Montevideo1-0Danubio
12 Feb 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Danubio1-1Liverpool Montevideo
3 Sep 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Danubio1-1Liverpool Montevideo
26 Feb 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Liverpool Montevideo0-1Danubio

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Danubio sit 16th with 32 points from 35 games, while Liverpool Montevideo are 6th with 59 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	35	19	9	7	52:28	+24	65
2	Deportivo Maldonado	35	18	9	8	54:32	+22	63
3	Atletico Torque	35	19	6	10	59:41	+18	63
4	Club Nacional	35	19	4	12	53:42	+11	61
5	Racing Montevideo	35	16	12	7	45:31	+14	60
6	Liverpool Montevideo	35	16	11	8	47:31	+16	59
7	Wanderers	35	14	9	12	42:44	-2	51
8	Albion FC	35	13	8	14	47:44	+3	47
9	Juventud	35	10	11	14	37:43	-6	41
10	Central Espanol	35	11	8	16	35:48	-13	41
11	Defensor Sporting	35	9	12	14	35:43	-8	39
12	Cerro Largo	35	9	10	16	33:41	-8	37
13	Boston River	35	10	7	18	34:47	-13	37
14	Cerro	35	10	7	18	29:53	-24	37
15	Progreso	35	10	5	20	31:49	-18	35
16	Danubio	35	6	14	15	29:45	-16	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.58X28%3.20246%1.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.94 → 3.58 -9.1%X3.30 → 3.20 -3.0%21.86 → 1.98 +6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.68	7.1%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.75	3.7%
Average	2.08	1.68	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.84	1.85	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.82	9.3%
Best of all books	1.91	1.90	5.0%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Danubio 10%Draw 45%Liverpool Montevideo 45%

The statistical model rates Danubio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Liverpool Montevideo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 3.20 | 1.98, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Danubio are 16th (32 pts, 29-45 goals), Liverpool Montevideo 6th (59 pts, 47-31).

Over their last five matches, Danubio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Liverpool Montevideo averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool Montevideo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.58	3.20	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.24	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.53	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
4.29	2.07	2.61

2nd half

1	X	2
3.95	2.33	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.18	15.3	29.0
HT X	7.95	4.73	4.88
HT 2	41.3	14.8	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.43	8.55	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.20
1.5	1.33	3.01
2.5	2.08	1.68
3.5	3.65	1.23
4.5	7.55	1.06
5.5	15.3	1.02
6.5	31.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.41	2.63
2	1.54	2.30
2.25	1.80	1.87
2.75	2.37	1.50
3	2.88	1.35
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.66	1.13
4	6.70	1.05
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.19	1.30
0	2.73	1.41
+0.25	2.02	1.71
+0.5	1.85	1.94
+0.75	1.58	2.24
+1	1.38	2.86

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.60	1.02
-1.25	8.30	1.02
-1	7.70	1.03
-0.75	4.97	1.13
-0.5	3.79	1.25
+1.25	1.29	3.26
+1.5	1.23	3.70
+1.75	1.14	4.68
+2	1.06	7.13
+2.25	1.05	7.53
+2.5	1.03	8.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.33
6.5	1.14	4.20
7.5	1.34	2.95
8.5	1.64	2.16
9.5	2.04	1.71
10.5	2.71	1.40
11.5	3.79	1.21
12.5	5.87	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	7.02
6	1.02	6.72
6.25	1.08	5.10
6.75	1.16	3.98
7	1.18	3.77
7.25	1.27	3.16
7.75	1.40	2.63
8	1.45	2.48
8.25	1.56	2.24
8.75	1.75	1.96
9	1.84	1.91
9.25	1.98	1.74
9.75	2.25	1.56
10	2.47	1.46
10.25	2.61	1.41
10.75	3.06	1.29
11	3.52	1.21
11.25	3.70	1.19
11.75	4.49	1.12
12	5.45	1.07
12.25	5.66	1.06

Next Primera División matches

12 Nov	Cerro Largo – Progreso
13 Nov	Atletico Torque – Racing Montevideo
14 Nov	Central Espanol – Boston River
14 Nov	Deportivo Maldonado – Cerro
15 Nov	Defensor Sporting – Penarol

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 Nov	Albion FC 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud
1 Nov	Danubio 1-2 Club Nacional
1 Nov	Boston River 1-2 Atletico Torque
1 Nov	Progreso 0-2 Defensor Sporting
31 Oct	Penarol 1-1 Wanderers