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Danubio vs Club Nacional• Primera División, Uruguay

#160.8:1.01-2FT01/11 · Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo1.6:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.69PINX4.251XB21.79DAFMargin at best0.7%Books10Markets89Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 16:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.693.711.774.8%
Dafabet4.503.701.795.1%
BetVictor4.603.501.738.1%
Bet3654.333.701.708.9%
William Hill4.403.401.759.3%
Betfair4.333.501.739.5%
Betano4.203.401.7510.4%
1xBet8.004.251.3410.7%
Marathonbet4.103.451.7111.9%
SBO4.033.261.6914.7%
Best of all books4.694.251.790.7%
Average4.723.591.708.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DanubioClub Nacional
Last 10#16Table position#40.91Points per game1.749Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.633Attack rating6738Defence rating6333Form rating6738H2H rating6246Goals model5438Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 14:50 UTC

Danubio

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

1 NovHClub Nacional1-2L
29 OctAWanderers Durazno3-0W
24 OctADeportivo Maldonado1-2L
18 OctHCentral Espanol1-0W
15 OctACentral Espanol6-0W
9 OctAAtletico Torque0-1L
4 OctHCerro Largo2-1W
27 SepADefensor Sporting0-1L
24 SepHPenarol1-1D
20 SepHWanderers1-1D

Club Nacional

8W 1D 1L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

1 NovADanubio2-1W
25 OctHLiverpool Montevideo0-1L
19 OctHDeportivo Maldonado3-2W
15 OctHRentistas3-0W
11 OctACentral Espanol1-0W
5 OctHAtletico Torque2-0W
26 SepACerro Largo2-0W
20 SepHDefensor Sporting3-2W
16 SepAProgreso1-0W
12 SepAWanderers1-1D

Head to head

11Danubio wins
5draws
16Club Nacional wins

32 meetings · goals 31:41 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Danubio

11 Jul 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónDanubio0-0Club Nacional
25 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónClub Nacional1-2Danubio
12 Oct 2025Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraDanubio0-0Club Nacional
29 Jun 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaClub Nacional3-2Danubio
13 Apr 2025Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaClub Nacional2-0Danubio
28 Nov 2024Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraDanubio0-0Club Nacional
13 Jul 2024Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDanubio0-6Club Nacional
25 May 2024Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaClub Nacional1-0Danubio
16 Nov 2023Primera División - ClausuraPrimera División - ClausuraClub Nacional1-3Danubio
9 Apr 2023Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - AperturaDanubio0-0Club Nacional

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 11 Nov 00:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Danubio sit 16th with 32 points from 35 games, while Club Nacional are 4th with 61 points from 35.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Penarol35199752:28+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263
3Atletico Torque351961059:41+1863
4Club Nacional351941253:42+1161
5Racing Montevideo351612745:31+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo351611847:31+1659
7Wanderers351491242:44-251
8Albion FC351381447:44+347
9Juventud3510111437:43-641
10Central Espanol351181635:48-1341
11Defensor Sporting359121435:43-839
12Cerro Largo359101633:41-837
13Boston River351071834:47-1337
14Cerro351071829:53-2437
15Progreso351052031:49-1835
16Danubio356141529:45-1632

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.72X26%3.59255%1.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

1 Nov 09:101 Nov 15:011 4.72X 3.592 1.69
14.13 → 4.72 +14.3%X3.47 → 3.59 +3.5%21.77 → 1.69 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.051.794.6%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Betano2.001.786.2%
SBO2.001.786.2%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor1.951.739.1%
1xBet1.961.729.2%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
Best of all books2.051.794.6%
Average1.991.757.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.877.0%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betano1.871.838.1%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
1xBet2.301.548.4%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.861.809.3%
Best of all books2.301.87-3.0%
Average1.941.787.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Danubio 10%Draw 45%Club Nacional 45%

The statistical model rated Danubio at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Club Nacional at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.72 | 3.59 | 1.69, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Danubio are 16th (32 pts, 29-45 goals), Club Nacional 4th (61 pts, 53-42).

Over their last five matches, Danubio averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Club Nacional averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Club Nacional.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Danubio

4-3-1-2

Coach: L. Rocco

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Goicoechea

Defence

  • 3G. Rodriguez
  • 19M. Brasil
  • 4M. Rinaldi
  • 6L. Sosa

Midfield

  • 5J. Millán
  • 16I. Rossi
  • 10M. Peralta
  • 7E. Cabrera

Attack

  • 14Bautista Pereira
  • 77B. Tomatis
Substitutes (10)
  • 2E. Velázquez
  • 38J. Trasante
  • 80C. Tizón
  • 8S. Rodríguez
  • 32K. Martínez
  • 33D. Garcia
  • 20M. Ferreira
  • 30S. Fernández
  • 28E. Femia
  • 27I. Costantino

Club Nacional

3-4-1-2

Coach: D. Carreño

Goalkeeper

  • 22A. Martín Arias

Defence

  • 13E. Ancheta
  • 4S. Coates
  • 5F. Calvo
  • 15G. Martirena
  • 21C. Cándido

Midfield

  • 23L. Rodríguez
  • 8S. Silva
  • 20R. Botta

Attack

  • 9M. Gómez
  • 29T. Correa
Substitutes (10)
  • 36B. Zuculini
  • 32T. Viera
  • 27T. Verón
  • 11M. Silvera
  • 2A. Rogel
  • 7N. Rodríguez
  • 39L. Gonzalez
  • 77nahuel gelos
  • 10A. Dos Santos
  • 40J. Bianchi

Match Statistics

DanubioClub Nacional
0Free Kicks0
4Yellow Cards4
4Shots off Goal5
46%Ball Possession54%
1Red Cards0
3Corner Kicks7
2Shots on Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
6Total Shots9

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.723.591.70

Double chance

1XX212
2.071.161.23

Draw no bet

12
3.261.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.78

1st half

1X2
5.212.162.25

2nd half

1X2
4.932.452.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.4815.923.9
HT X10.45.354.48
HT 243.215.42.59

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.649.151.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.60
1.51.313.19
2.51.991.75
3.53.471.27
4.56.871.08
5.514.71.02
6.526.81.01
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.80
11.047.15
1.251.164.10
1.751.392.74
21.512.39
2.251.751.96
2.752.261.56
32.751.39
3.253.071.29
3.754.201.15
45.751.07
4.256.101.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.691.44
+0.52.061.73
+0.751.911.87
+11.642.25
+1.251.482.56
+1.51.402.85
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.951.01
-18.151.02
-0.755.371.11
-0.54.351.21
-0.254.441.19
03.971.24
+1.751.283.54
+21.174.70
+2.251.145.08
+2.51.125.51
+2.751.076.45
+31.047.00
+3.251.037.30
+3.51.027.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.37
6.51.203.86
7.51.412.66
8.51.741.98
9.52.151.63
10.52.831.38
11.54.001.20
12.56.861.02
13.57.051.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.046.08
61.055.79
6.251.124.49
6.751.213.55
71.243.34
7.251.332.86
7.751.482.41
81.532.34
8.251.672.08
8.751.871.83
91.991.76
9.252.131.63
9.752.451.46
102.621.43
10.252.881.33
10.753.431.23
114.031.16
11.254.221.14
11.755.171.08
126.411.03
12.256.631.03
12.755.371.07
136.621.03
13.256.841.02

Next Primera División matches

12 NovCerro Largo – Progreso
13 NovAtletico Torque – Racing Montevideo
14 NovCentral Espanol – Boston River
14 NovDeportivo Maldonado – Cerro

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 NovAlbion FC 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
1 NovLiverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud
1 NovBoston River 1-2 Atletico Torque
1 NovProgreso 0-2 Defensor Sporting
31 OctPenarol 1-1 Wanderers
31 OctCerro 1-2 Central Espanol