Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro• Primera División, Uruguay

#21.6:1.019:3014/11 · Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado1.2:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.63DAFX4.10DAF25.40DAFMargin at best4.3%Books9Markets81Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 00:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.63	4.10	5.40	4.3%
Betfair	1.62	3.90	5.00	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.58	3.91	5.32	7.7%
BetVictor	1.57	3.75	5.25	9.4%
Betano	1.60	3.65	5.10	9.5%
William Hill	1.60	3.70	5.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.55	3.70	5.25	10.6%
Bet365	1.57	3.80	4.75	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.53	3.70	5.15	11.8%
Best of all books	1.63	4.10	5.40	4.3%
Average	1.58	3.80	5.14	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo MaldonadoCerro

Last 10#2Table position#141.80Points per game1.067Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 52.057Attack rating4367Defence rating3367Form rating3393H2H rating784Goals model1675Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Deportivo Maldonado

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

10 Nov	H	Club Nacional	1-2	L
2 Nov	A	Albion FC	0-0	D
28 Oct	A	Porongos	4-0	W
24 Oct	H	Danubio	2-1	W
19 Oct	A	Club Nacional	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Albion FC	4-1	W
9 Oct	H	Liverpool Montevideo	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Central Espanol	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Cerro	2-1	W

Cerro

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	H	Central Espanol	1-2	L
25 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	1-3	L
16 Oct	H	Cerro Largo	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Defensor Sporting	3-2	W
4 Oct	H	Wanderers	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Juventud	0-0	D
23 Sep	H	Deportivo Maldonado	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Penarol	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Progreso	3-1	W
10 Sep	H	Cerrito	0-2	L

Head to head

6Deportivo Maldonado wins

2draws

1Cerro wins

9 meetings · goals 13:6 · last 9: 6W 2D 1L for Deportivo Maldonado

23 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay	Copa Uruguay	Cerro1-2Deportivo Maldonado
2 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Cerro0-1Deportivo Maldonado
8 Nov 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerro0-0Deportivo Maldonado
5 May 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado3-0Cerro
3 Sep 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Deportivo Maldonado2-1Cerro
17 Jul 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado1-2Cerro
18 Feb 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Cerro0-0Deportivo Maldonado
13 Mar 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerro2-3Deportivo Maldonado
13 Sep 2020Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado1-0Cerro

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd with 63 points from 35 games, while Cerro are 14th with 37 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	35	19	9	7	52:28	+24	65
2	Deportivo Maldonado	35	18	9	8	54:32	+22	63
3	Atletico Torque	35	19	6	10	59:41	+18	63
4	Club Nacional	35	19	4	12	53:42	+11	61
5	Racing Montevideo	35	16	12	7	45:31	+14	60
6	Liverpool Montevideo	35	16	11	8	47:31	+16	59
7	Wanderers	35	14	9	12	42:44	-2	51
8	Albion FC	35	13	8	14	47:44	+3	47
9	Juventud	35	10	11	14	37:43	-6	41
10	Central Espanol	35	11	8	16	35:48	-13	41
11	Defensor Sporting	35	9	12	14	35:43	-8	39
12	Cerro Largo	35	9	10	16	33:41	-8	37
13	Boston River	35	10	7	18	34:47	-13	37
14	Cerro	35	10	7	18	29:53	-24	37
15	Progreso	35	10	5	20	31:49	-18	35
16	Danubio	35	6	14	15	29:45	-16	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.58X24%3.80218%5.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.58 -1.3%X3.67 → 3.80 +3.5%24.98 → 5.14 +3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.83	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.84	6.2%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.93	1.81	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.93	1.77	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Maldonado 45%Draw 45%Cerro 10%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Maldonado at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerro at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.80 | 5.14, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Deportivo Maldonado win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd (63 pts, 54-32 goals), Cerro 14th (37 pts, 29-53).

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Maldonado averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Cerro averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Deportivo Maldonado.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.80	5.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.23	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.19	5.59

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.51	5.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.36	16.4	50.5
HT X	4.16	5.43	11.3
HT 2	25.8	17.4	9.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	10.6	2.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.40
1.5	1.28	3.30
2.5	1.93	1.81
3.5	3.29	1.29
4.5	6.43	1.08
5.5	13.1	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.85
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.13	4.50
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.46	2.51
2.25	1.67	2.03
2.75	2.15	1.60
3	2.61	1.42
3.25	2.98	1.30
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.85	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.66	1.42
-1.25	2.35	1.51
-1	2.03	1.71
-0.75	1.73	1.98
-0.5	1.57	2.27
-0.25	1.38	2.76

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.90	1.01
-2.75	7.20	1.03
-2.5	5.47	1.10
-2.25	5.00	1.12
-2	4.54	1.16
-1.75	3.29	1.28
0	1.20	3.93
+0.25	1.16	4.50
+0.5	1.17	4.75
+0.75	1.06	6.93
+1	1.01	10.5
+1.5	1.04	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.10	5.20
6.5	1.25	3.65
7.5	1.48	2.53
8.5	1.81	1.92
9.5	2.42	1.51
10.5	3.38	1.28
11.5	5.40	1.09
12.5	6.73	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.09	4.94
6	1.11	4.68
6.25	1.19	3.74
6.75	1.30	3.02
7	1.34	2.83
7.25	1.45	2.49
7.75	1.63	2.13
8	1.72	2.00
8.25	1.84	1.86
8.75	2.09	1.66
9	2.13	1.67
9.25	2.42	1.48
9.75	2.83	1.34
10	3.24	1.26
10.25	3.42	1.23
10.75	4.14	1.15
11	5.02	1.09
11.25	5.23	1.08
11.75	5.08	1.08
12	6.28	1.04
12.25	6.50	1.03

Next Primera División matches

12 Nov	Cerro Largo – Progreso
13 Nov	Atletico Torque – Racing Montevideo
14 Nov	Central Espanol – Boston River
15 Nov	Danubio – Liverpool Montevideo
15 Nov	Defensor Sporting – Penarol

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 Nov	Albion FC 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud
1 Nov	Danubio 1-2 Club Nacional
1 Nov	Boston River 1-2 Atletico Torque
1 Nov	Progreso 0-2 Defensor Sporting
31 Oct	Penarol 1-1 Wanderers