Central Espanol vs Boston River• Primera División, Uruguay

#100.6:1.813:0014/11 · Parque Palermo, Montevideo1.0:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75BFRX3.61PIN22.55DAFMargin at best3.3%Books9Markets75Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 00:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.75	3.40	2.55	5.0%
Betfair	2.75	3.40	2.45	6.6%
Pinnacle	2.61	3.61	2.44	7.0%
William Hill	2.62	3.40	2.40	9.2%
BetVictor	2.63	3.25	2.45	9.6%
Betano	2.60	3.25	2.45	10.0%
Bet365	2.60	3.10	2.50	10.7%
1xBet	2.62	3.25	2.33	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.25	2.33	11.9%
Best of all books	2.75	3.61	2.55	3.3%
Average	2.64	3.32	2.43	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Central EspanolBoston River

Last 10#10Table position#131.17Points per game1.063Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6336Defence rating6430Form rating7029H2H rating7155Goals model4537Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Central Espanol

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:22 · per match 0.6 for, 2.2 against

31 Oct	A	Cerro	2-1	W
24 Oct	H	Albion FC	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Danubio	0-1	L
15 Oct	H	Danubio	0-6	L
11 Oct	H	Club Nacional	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Deportivo Maldonado	0-3	L
27 Sep	H	Liverpool Montevideo	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	Atletico Torque	1-4	L
17 Sep	H	Oriental	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Cerro Largo	0-0	D

Boston River

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

10 Nov	H	Atletico Torque	1-2	L
4 Nov	A	San Carlos	2-0	W
1 Nov	H	Atletico Torque	1-2	L
25 Oct	A	Cerro Largo	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Defensor Sporting	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	CA River Plate	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
4 Oct	H	Juventud	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Penarol	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Fenix	3-2	W

Head to head

4Central Espanol wins

1draws

4Boston River wins

9 meetings · goals 10:12 · last 9: 4W 1D 4L for Central Espanol

12 Jul 2026Primera División	Primera División	Boston River0-0Central Espanol
3 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Boston River2-1Central Espanol
2 Apr 2016Segunda División	Segunda División	Boston River1-0Central Espanol
2 May 2015Segunda División	Segunda División	Central Espanol0-2Boston River
2 Dec 2014Segunda División	Segunda División	Boston River1-2Central Espanol
22 Apr 2014Segunda División	Segunda División	Boston River4-0Central Espanol
19 Nov 2013Segunda División	Segunda División	Central Espanol3-1Boston River
12 May 2012Segunda División	Segunda División	Boston River1-3Central Espanol
10 Dec 2011Segunda División	Segunda División	Central Espanol1-0Boston River

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Central Espanol sit 10th with 41 points from 35 games, while Boston River are 13th with 37 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	35	19	9	7	52:28	+24	65
2	Deportivo Maldonado	35	18	9	8	54:32	+22	63
3	Atletico Torque	35	19	6	10	59:41	+18	63
4	Club Nacional	35	19	4	12	53:42	+11	61
5	Racing Montevideo	35	16	12	7	45:31	+14	60
6	Liverpool Montevideo	35	16	11	8	47:31	+16	59
7	Wanderers	35	14	9	12	42:44	-2	51
8	Albion FC	35	13	8	14	47:44	+3	47
9	Juventud	35	10	11	14	37:43	-6	41
10	Central Espanol	35	11	8	16	35:48	-13	41
11	Defensor Sporting	35	9	12	14	35:43	-8	39
12	Cerro Largo	35	9	10	16	33:41	-8	37
13	Boston River	35	10	7	18	34:47	-13	37
14	Cerro	35	10	7	18	29:53	-24	37
15	Progreso	35	10	5	20	31:49	-18	35
16	Danubio	35	6	14	15	29:45	-16	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.64X28%3.32238%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.86 → 2.64 -7.7%X3.26 → 3.32 +1.8%22.27 → 2.43 +7.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.80	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.81	6.5%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Average	1.96	1.78	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.73	1.98	8.3%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.73	1.97	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Central Espanol 10%Draw 45%Boston River 45%

The statistical model rates Central Espanol at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Boston River at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.32 | 2.43, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Central Espanol are 10th (41 pts, 35-48 goals), Boston River 13th (37 pts, 34-47).

Over their last five matches, Central Espanol averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Boston River averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Boston River.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	3.32	2.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.41	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.91	1.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.27	2.13	3.06

2nd half

1	X	2
3.03	2.37	2.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.27	14.1	30.8
HT X	6.40	4.97	5.88
HT 2	31.8	14.0	3.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.11	10.1	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.74
1.5	1.29	3.25
2.5	1.96	1.78
3.5	3.38	1.27
4.5	6.70	1.07
5.5	13.2	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.85
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.14	4.46
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.47	2.46
2.25	1.70	2.00
2.75	2.19	1.58
3	2.70	1.40
3.25	3.06	1.29
3.75	4.26	1.15
4	6.00	1.06
4.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.59	1.47
-0.25	2.28	1.55
0	1.94	1.78
+0.25	1.65	2.09
+0.5	1.51	2.45
+0.75	1.35	2.93

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	5.73	1.10
-1.25	5.20	1.12
-1	4.66	1.15
-0.75	3.23	1.29
+1	1.19	4.06
+1.25	1.16	4.47
+1.5	1.13	5.05
+1.75	1.07	6.77
+2	1.02	9.30
+2.5	1.05	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	6.00
6.5	1.23	3.67
7.5	1.46	2.53
8.5	1.81	1.91
9.5	2.35	1.54
10.5	3.22	1.29
11.5	4.67	1.11
12.5	6.92	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.06	5.72
6	1.07	5.44
6.25	1.14	4.26
6.75	1.23	3.38
7	1.27	3.18
7.25	1.36	2.75
7.75	1.52	2.32
8	1.70	2.09
8.25	1.71	2.01
8.75	1.93	1.78
9	2.08	1.67
9.25	2.20	1.58
9.75	2.55	1.43
10	2.86	1.34
10.25	3.02	1.30
10.75	3.61	1.20
11	4.28	1.14
11.25	4.47	1.12
11.75	5.52	1.06
12	6.90	1.02
12.25	6.92	1.02

Next Primera División matches

12 Nov	Cerro Largo – Progreso
13 Nov	Atletico Torque – Racing Montevideo
14 Nov	Deportivo Maldonado – Cerro
15 Nov	Danubio – Liverpool Montevideo
15 Nov	Defensor Sporting – Penarol

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 Nov	Albion FC 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
1 Nov	Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud
1 Nov	Danubio 1-2 Club Nacional
1 Nov	Boston River 1-2 Atletico Torque
1 Nov	Progreso 0-2 Defensor Sporting
31 Oct	Penarol 1-1 Wanderers