The New Saints vs 
Briton Ferry• Welsh Cup, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 13:37 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.09 | 9.80 | 21.0 | 6.7% |
| William Hill | 1.10 | 8.50 | 21.0 | 7.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 9.00 | 23.0 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 9.00 | 20.0 | 9.6% |
| Betano | 1.10 | 7.70 | 15.0 | 10.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.06 | 9.89 | 16.3 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 1.07 | 9.50 | 15.0 | 10.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.05 | 8.40 | 20.5 | 12.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.05 | 8.40 | 20.0 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.10 | 9.89 | 23.0 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.07 | 8.91 | 19.1 | 9.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 18:00 UTC
The New Saints
9W 1D 0L · goals 39:4 · per match 3.9 for, 0.4 against
| 6 Nov | A | Llandudno | 1-0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Oct | H | Ammanford AFC | 9-0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Airbus UK | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Holywell | 6-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Cambrian & Clydach | 9-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Trefelin | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Llandudno | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Flint Town United | 5-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Airbus UK | 2-0 | W |
Briton Ferry
3W 2D 5L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against
| 6 Nov | A | Ammanford AFC | 1-3 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Llandudno | 3-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Caernarfon Town | 1-3 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Afan United | 5-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Colwyn Bay | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Holywell | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Trefelin | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Penybont | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 14:9 · last 6: 4W 0D 2L for The New Saints
| 14 Aug 2026Premier League | Premier League | The New Saints1-0Briton Ferry |
| 9 Dec 2025Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry0-2The New Saints |
| 10 Aug 2025Premier League | Premier League | The New Saints0-3Briton Ferry |
| 22 Dec 2024Premier League | Premier League | The New Saints5-2Briton Ferry |
| 20 Nov 2024Premier League | Premier League | Briton Ferry3-1The New Saints |
| 16 Feb 2024Welsh Cup | Welsh Cup | Briton Ferry1-5The New Saints |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 3.75 | 6.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 4.10 | 7.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.25 | 4.10 | 4.4% |
| Average | 1.22 | 3.75 | 8.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.80 | 9.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 1.67 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.80 | 3.2% |
| Average | 1.99 | 1.71 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated The New Saints at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Briton Ferry at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 8.89 | 18.83, which imply roughly 11.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, The New Saints averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Briton Ferry averaged 5 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Briton Ferry and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | 8.91 | 19.1 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 5.58 | 1.05 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.03 | 9.75 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.99 | 1.71 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 3.36 | 12.5 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 4.39 | 12.2 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.39 | 25.0 | 77.3 |
| HT X | 4.11 | 13.2 | 30.7 |
| HT 2 | 17.8 | 27.3 | 27.3 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 25.0 | 4.83 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 28.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.06 | 8.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.22 | 3.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.58 | 2.18 |
| 4.5 | 2.26 | 1.53 |
| 5.5 | 3.65 | 1.24 |
| 6.5 | 6.75 | 1.08 |
| 7.5 | 9.00 | 1.04 |
| 8.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| 9.5 | 21.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
| 2.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 3 | 1.30 | 2.99 |
| 3.25 | 1.44 | 2.47 |
| 3.75 | 1.69 | 1.99 |
| 4 | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| 4.25 | 2.05 | 1.64 |
| 4.75 | 2.55 | 1.40 |
| 5 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 5.25 | 3.20 | 1.31 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| -3.25 | 2.35 | 1.51 |
| -3 | 2.12 | 1.62 |
| -2.75 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| -2.5 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| -2.25 | 1.56 | 2.24 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 4.55 | 1.17 |
| -4.25 | 4.25 | 1.19 |
| -4 | 3.70 | 1.22 |
| -3.75 | 3.04 | 1.32 |
| -2 | 1.42 | 2.60 |
| -1.75 | 1.36 | 2.79 |
| -1.5 | 1.31 | 3.09 |
| -1.25 | 1.25 | 3.58 |
| -1 | 1.12 | 5.15 |
| -0.75 | 1.16 | 5.25 |
| -0.5 | 1.14 | 5.75 |
| 0 | 1.02 | 10.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 1.81 | 1.91 |
Next Welsh Cup matches
| 14 Nov | Caerau (Ely) – Brickfield Rangers |
| 14 Nov | Colwyn Bay – Aberystwyth Town |
| 14 Nov | Haverfordwest County AFC – Ammanford AFC |
| 14 Nov | Newtown AFC – Caerphilly Athletic |