Caerau (Ely) vs 
Brickfield Rangers• Welsh Cup, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 16:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 4.10 | 3.20 | 6.7% |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.25 | 9.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.82 | 3.09 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.85 | 3.05 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.82 | 3.02 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.96 | 4.10 | 3.25 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.91 | 3.86 | 3.10 | 10.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 18:31 UTC
Caerau (Ely)
7W 0D 3L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against
| 6 Nov | H | Pontypridd Town | 1-3 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Llantwit Major | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | llanelli AFC | 6-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Aberystwyth Town | 1-0 | W |
| 2 Oct | H | Afan Lido | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Cardiff Draconians | 3-1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | llanelli AFC | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Treowen Stars | 3-2 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Baglan Dragons | 1-3 | L |
Brickfield Rangers
8W 1D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against
| 7 Nov | A | Buckley Town | 3-1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Bala Town | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Porthmadog | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Llangefni Town | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Mold Alexandra | 0-4 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Rhyl | 3-2 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Denbigh Town | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Caersws | 2-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Guilsfield | 2-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Ruthin Town | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Caerau (Ely) and Brickfield Rangers on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 2.69 | 10.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 2.69 | 10.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| Average | 1.37 | 2.71 | 9.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 2.78 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 2.71 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.78 | 7.4% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.75 | 8.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caerau (Ely) at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Brickfield Rangers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.87 | 3.10, which imply roughly 52.4% for a Caerau (Ely) win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Caerau (Ely) averaged 6 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Brickfield Rangers averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Caerau (Ely) and +4.5 goals (goal line signal: over 4.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 3.87 | 3.10 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.73 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.75 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.39 | 2.46 | 3.43 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 2.85 | 3.19 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.98 | 14.0 | 24.0 |
| HT X | 5.45 | 6.80 | 7.95 |
| HT 2 | 17.5 | 14.3 | 5.05 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 23.0 | 2.11 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 23.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 5.75 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.71 |
| 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.71 |
| 4.5 | 3.19 | 1.29 |
| 5.5 | 5.30 | 1.12 |
| 6.5 | 9.00 | 1.04 |
| 7.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 2.25 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.42 |
| 3 | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| 3.25 | 1.78 | 1.88 |
| 3.75 | 2.20 | 1.55 |
| 4 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| 4.25 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.22 |
| 5 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
| -0.75 | 2.13 | 1.59 |
| -0.5 | 1.88 | 1.74 |
| -0.25 | 1.69 | 1.97 |
| 0 | 1.49 | 2.36 |
| +0.25 | 1.38 | 2.63 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6.10 | 1.08 |
| -2 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| -1.75 | 3.80 | 1.23 |
| -1.5 | 3.23 | 1.28 |
| -1.25 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| +0.5 | 1.30 | 3.00 |
| +0.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| +1 | 1.10 | 5.00 |
| +1.5 | 1.09 | 5.83 |
Next Welsh Cup matches
| 14 Nov | Colwyn Bay – Aberystwyth Town |
| 14 Nov | Haverfordwest County AFC – Ammanford AFC |
| 14 Nov | Newtown AFC – Caerphilly Athletic |