GAP Connah S Quay FC vs 
Porthmadog• Welsh Cup, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 10:56 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.11 | 8.00 | 21.0 | 7.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 8.00 | 21.0 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 9.00 | 20.0 | 9.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.07 | 8.84 | 15.1 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 8.20 | 18.8 | 11.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.06 | 8.20 | 18.5 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.11 | 9.00 | 21.0 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.08 | 8.37 | 19.1 | 9.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 17:20 UTC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
8W 1D 1L · goals 20:6 · per match 2.0 for, 0.6 against
| 9 Oct | A | Briton Ferry | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Penybont | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Barry Town | 4-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Cardiff MET | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Airbus UK | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Colwyn Bay | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Flint Town United | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Cambrian & Clydach | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Ammanford AFC | 2-0 | W |
Porthmadog
6W 2D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against
| 10 Oct | A | Gresford Athletic | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Bangor City 1876 FC | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Newtown AFC | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Ruthin Town | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Bala Town | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-2 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Caersws | 1-3 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Denbigh Town | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Buckley Town | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Rhyl | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 3:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for GAP Connah S Quay FC
| 27 Jan 2018Welsh Cup | Welsh Cup | GAP Connah S Quay FC3-1Porthmadog |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 3.20 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 3.08 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 3.08 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.20 | 2.7% |
| Average | 1.32 | 3.03 | 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 1.53 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 1.57 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 1.55 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 1.65 | 0.6% |
| Average | 2.26 | 1.56 | 8.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated GAP Connah S Quay FC at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Porthmadog at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 8.69 | 19.81, which imply roughly 93.5% for a GAP Connah S Quay FC win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Porthmadog averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 8.37 | 19.1 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.02 | 11.0 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.26 | 1.56 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 3.19 | 13.6 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 4.15 | 12.5 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.38 | 27.0 | 63.0 |
| HT X | 3.95 | 12.0 | 30.5 |
| HT 2 | 19.5 | 30.0 | 29.0 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 21.5 | 5.25 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 22.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.08 | 6.83 |
| 2.5 | 1.32 | 3.03 |
| 3.5 | 1.79 | 1.89 |
| 4.5 | 2.80 | 1.37 |
| 5.5 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 6.5 | 8.50 | 1.05 |
| 7.5 | 12.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 17.0 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.26 | 3.50 |
| 2.75 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
| 3 | 1.42 | 2.53 |
| 3.25 | 1.59 | 2.14 |
| 3.75 | 1.93 | 1.74 |
| 4 | 2.19 | 1.56 |
| 4.25 | 2.38 | 1.47 |
| 4.75 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| 5 | 3.72 | 1.20 |
| 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.20 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.25 | 2.55 | 1.43 |
| -3 | 2.31 | 1.51 |
| -2.75 | 2.01 | 1.70 |
| -2.5 | 1.82 | 1.87 |
| -2.25 | 1.64 | 2.09 |
| -2 | 1.45 | 2.46 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 5.15 | 1.15 |
| -4.25 | 4.70 | 1.17 |
| -4 | 4.10 | 1.18 |
| -3.75 | 3.24 | 1.28 |
| -3.5 | 2.77 | 1.37 |
| -1.75 | 1.37 | 2.74 |
| -1.5 | 1.33 | 2.98 |
| -1.25 | 1.26 | 3.70 |
| -1 | 1.12 | 5.30 |
| -0.75 | 1.13 | 5.90 |
| -0.5 | 1.12 | 6.25 |
| 0 | 1.02 | 10.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 1.91 | 1.80 |