Colwyn Bay vs 
Aberystwyth Town• Welsh Cup, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 16:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.21 | 6.40 | 12.0 | 6.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 5.65 | 12.3 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.5 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 5.75 | 9.50 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 5.65 | 11.5 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.21 | 6.40 | 12.3 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.19 | 5.89 | 11.2 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 18:31 UTC
Colwyn Bay
7W 2D 1L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against
| 6 Nov | A | Trefelin | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Cambrian & Clydach | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Cardiff MET | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Buckley Town | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Flint Town United | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Briton Ferry | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Barry Town | 5-2 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Holywell | 5-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2-1 | W |
Aberystwyth Town
8W 1D 1L · goals 27:7 · per match 2.7 for, 0.7 against
| 7 Nov | A | Carmarthen Town | 4-0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Prestatyn Town | 5-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Caerau (Ely) | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Pontypridd Town | 3-1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Swansea University | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 3-2 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | llanelli AFC | 4-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Pontardawe Town | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Llantwit Major | 5-1 | W |
Head to head
5 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for Colwyn Bay
| 3 Aug 2024League Cup | League Cup | Colwyn Bay0-2Aberystwyth Town |
| 29 Mar 2024Premier League | Premier League | Colwyn Bay1-2Aberystwyth Town |
| 9 Feb 2024Premier League | Premier League | Aberystwyth Town0-1Colwyn Bay |
| 5 Jan 2024Premier League | Premier League | Aberystwyth Town1-0Colwyn Bay |
| 15 Sep 2023Premier League | Premier League | Colwyn Bay3-1Aberystwyth Town |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 2.46 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 2.46 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.45 | 2.47 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 1.74 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 1.71 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.10 | 1.74 | 5.1% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.71 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Colwyn Bay at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aberystwyth Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.19 | 5.89 | 11.16, which imply roughly 17% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Colwyn Bay averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Aberystwyth Town averaged 5 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Aberystwyth Town and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 5.89 | 11.2 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.07 | 7.50 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.00 | 1.71 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 2.71 | 8.85 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 3.42 | 8.82 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.68 | 26.0 | 90.0 |
| HT X | 4.20 | 8.60 | 24.0 |
| HT 2 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 20.0 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 16.8 | 4.45 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 19.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 5.10 |
| 2.5 | 1.45 | 2.47 |
| 3.5 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 3.53 | 1.24 |
| 5.5 | 6.33 | 1.10 |
| 6.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.15 | 4.70 |
| 2 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2.25 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
| 2.75 | 1.54 | 2.22 |
| 3 | 1.68 | 1.96 |
| 3.25 | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| 3.75 | 2.38 | 1.47 |
| 4 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 4.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 5 | 5.60 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.46 | 1.43 |
| -2.25 | 2.21 | 1.53 |
| -2 | 1.99 | 1.69 |
| -1.75 | 1.77 | 1.92 |
| -1.5 | 1.60 | 2.08 |
| -1.25 | 1.44 | 2.43 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 8.60 | 1.03 |
| -3.5 | 4.30 | 1.14 |
| -3.25 | 4.30 | 1.18 |
| -3 | 3.68 | 1.20 |
| -2.75 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| -1 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| -0.75 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 0 | 1.01 | 9.00 |
Next Welsh Cup matches
| 14 Nov | Caerau (Ely) – Brickfield Rangers |
| 14 Nov | Haverfordwest County AFC – Ammanford AFC |
| 14 Nov | Newtown AFC – Caerphilly Athletic |