Caernarfon Town vs 
Holywell• Welsh Cup, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 13:37 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.07 | 9.50 | 41.0 | 6.4% |
| Dafabet | 1.06 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.07 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 9.6% |
| Betano | 1.06 | 7.90 | 25.0 | 11.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.01 | 9.70 | 32.0 | 12.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.01 | 9.70 | 32.0 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.07 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 4.9% |
| Average | 1.05 | 9.97 | 29.0 | 9.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 18:00 UTC
Caernarfon Town
5W 2D 3L · goals 27:13 · per match 2.7 for, 1.3 against
| 6 Nov | A | Penybont | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Airbus UK | 2-3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Briton Ferry | 3-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Flint Town United | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Barry Town | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Cardiff MET | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Cambrian & Clydach | 9-1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Llandudno | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Ammanford AFC | 5-0 | W |
Holywell
0W 3D 7L · goals 10:29 · per match 1.0 for, 2.9 against
| 6 Nov | H | Airbus UK | 2-3 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Flint Town United | 0-5 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Llay Miners Welfare | 3-3 | D |
| 9 Oct | H | The New Saints | 1-6 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Ammanford AFC | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Briton Ferry | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Colwyn Bay | 0-5 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Cambrian & Clydach | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Trefelin | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Caernarfon Town
| 28 Aug 2026Premier League | Premier League | Holywell3-5Caernarfon Town |
| 10 Sep 2025League Cup | League Cup | Caernarfon Town2-2Holywell |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 4.00 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 4.40 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 4.20 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 3.48 | 10.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.22 | 4.40 | 4.7% |
| Average | 1.20 | 4.02 | 8.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 1.57 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 1.53 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 1.51 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.29 | 1.67 | 3.5% |
| Average | 2.20 | 1.59 | 8.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caernarfon Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Holywell at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.05 | 9.98 | 29.00, which imply roughly 95.2% for a Caernarfon Town win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Caernarfon Town averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Holywell averaged 4 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | 9.98 | 29.0 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 6.69 | 1.04 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.02 | 10.3 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.20 | 1.59 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 3.54 | 16.2 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | 4.69 | 14.6 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.30 | 28.7 | 102.0 |
| HT X | 4.14 | 15.2 | 41.0 |
| HT 2 | 19.7 | 34.0 | 47.0 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 22.5 | 5.65 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 33.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.05 | 9.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.20 | 4.02 |
| 3.5 | 1.54 | 2.25 |
| 4.5 | 2.15 | 1.60 |
| 5.5 | 3.45 | 1.25 |
| 6.5 | 5.92 | 1.10 |
| 7.5 | 8.50 | 1.05 |
| 8.5 | 12.0 | 1.01 |
| 9.5 | 17.0 | – |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.05 | 6.55 |
| 2.75 | 1.25 | 3.52 |
| 3 | 1.28 | 3.10 |
| 3.25 | 1.41 | 2.56 |
| 3.75 | 1.62 | 2.08 |
| 4 | 1.77 | 1.88 |
| 4.25 | 1.97 | 1.70 |
| 4.75 | 2.43 | 1.44 |
| 5 | 2.83 | 1.33 |
| 5.25 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| 6 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 2.29 | 1.53 |
| -3.25 | 2.09 | 1.64 |
| -3 | 1.86 | 1.81 |
| -2.75 | 1.70 | 2.01 |
| -2.5 | 1.61 | 2.16 |
| -2.25 | 1.46 | 2.47 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.75 | 5.50 | 1.15 |
| -4.5 | 3.93 | 1.22 |
| -4.25 | 3.65 | 1.25 |
| -4 | 3.15 | 1.30 |
| -3.75 | 2.63 | 1.41 |
| -2 | 1.37 | 2.80 |
| -1.75 | 1.28 | 3.28 |
| -1.5 | 1.24 | 3.58 |
| -1.25 | 1.26 | 3.37 |
| -1 | 1.07 | 6.42 |
| -0.75 | 1.12 | 6.00 |
| -0.5 | 1.17 | 5.00 |
| -0.25 | 1.10 | 7.00 |
| 0 | 1.01 | 11.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1.82 | 1.98 |
| 10.5 | 2.01 | 1.74 |
Next Welsh Cup matches
| 13 Nov | Baglan Dragons – Barry Town |
| 13 Nov | Penybont – Cardiff Draconians |
| 13 Nov | The New Saints – Briton Ferry |