Baglan Dragons vs 
Barry Town• Welsh Cup, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 13:37 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 8.40 | 6.00 | 1.27 | 7.3% |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 | 9.7% |
| Betano | 7.20 | 5.30 | 1.28 | 10.9% |
| 1xBet | 9.10 | 5.55 | 1.22 | 11.0% |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.25 | 11.5% |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 8.60 | 5.55 | 1.21 | 12.3% |
| Pinnacle | 7.18 | 5.49 | 1.24 | 12.8% |
| Best of all books | 9.10 | 6.00 | 1.28 | 5.8% |
| Average | 8.28 | 5.60 | 1.24 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 17:30 UTC
Baglan Dragons
5W 1D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against
| 6 Nov | H | Ynyshir Albions | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Treowen Stars | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Llantwit Fardre | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Pontypridd Town | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Oct | A | llanelli AFC | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Carmarthen Town | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Cardiff Draconians | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Afan Lido | 2-1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Caerphilly Athletic | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Caerau (Ely) | 3-1 | W |
Barry Town
4W 2D 4L · goals 20:21 · per match 2.0 for, 2.1 against
| 6 Nov | A | Cambrian & Clydach | 3-3 | D |
| 30 Oct | H | Trefelin | 3-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1-3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Tredegar Town | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Penybont | 1-3 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Caernarfon Town | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Colwyn Bay | 2-5 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Ammanford AFC | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Llandudno | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Baglan Dragons and Barry Town on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 6.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 3.60 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 3.28 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 3.28 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.28 | 3.60 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.26 | 3.41 | 8.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 2.26 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 2.22 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.54 | 2.38 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.29 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Baglan Dragons at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Barry Town at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.28 | 5.60 | 1.24, which imply roughly 12.1% for a Baglan Dragons win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Baglan Dragons averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Barry Town averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Baglan Dragons or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 8.28 | 5.60 | 1.24 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.37 | 1.05 | 1.10 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 6.07 | 1.09 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.29 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.52 | 2.91 | 1.62 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.12 | 3.50 | 1.51 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 12.2 | 19.7 | 14.8 |
| HT X | 17.2 | 9.75 | 4.48 |
| HT 2 | 47.0 | 18.8 | 1.81 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 31.0 | 1.33 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 27.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.06 | 7.67 |
| 2.5 | 1.26 | 3.41 |
| 3.5 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| 4.5 | 2.56 | 1.43 |
| 5.5 | 4.38 | 1.17 |
| 6.5 | 7.25 | 1.07 |
| 7.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
| 8.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 9.5 | 21.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| 2.75 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
| 3 | 1.36 | 2.71 |
| 3.25 | 1.54 | 2.25 |
| 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.81 |
| 4 | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| 4.25 | 2.30 | 1.51 |
| 4.75 | 2.81 | 1.34 |
| 5 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 5.25 | 3.90 | 1.21 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +1.25 | 2.31 | 1.52 |
| +1.5 | 2.05 | 1.66 |
| +1.75 | 1.88 | 1.81 |
| +2 | 1.64 | 2.09 |
| +2.25 | 1.51 | 2.34 |
| +2.5 | 1.45 | 2.47 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 7.50 | 1.06 |
| -0.25 | 5.50 | 1.15 |
| 0 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| +0.25 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| +0.5 | 3.40 | 1.25 |
| +0.75 | 3.03 | 1.32 |
| +1 | 2.76 | 1.37 |
| +2.75 | 1.33 | 3.23 |
| +3 | 1.21 | 3.80 |
| +3.25 | 1.19 | 4.38 |
| +3.5 | 1.17 | 4.18 |
Next Welsh Cup matches
| 13 Nov | Caernarfon Town – Holywell |
| 13 Nov | Penybont – Cardiff Draconians |
| 13 Nov | The New Saints – Briton Ferry |