Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC• Welsh Cup, Wales

6-0FTToday

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.17WHX7.21PIN213.0MARMargin at best7.0%Books5Markets65Rating28 · 73

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 10:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
William Hill	1.18	6.00	12.0	9.7%
Bet365	1.17	6.25	12.0	9.8%
1xBet	1.12	6.60	12.5	12.4%
Marathonbet	1.12	6.60	12.5	12.4%
Pinnacle	1.13	6.96	10.1	12.8%
Best of all books	1.18	6.96	12.5	7.1%
Average	1.14	6.48	11.8	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Caerau (Ely)llanelli AFC

Last 1015Form pts · last 500Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating020H2H rating800Goals model028Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 17:20 UTC

Caerau (Ely)

6W 1D 3L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	A	Aberystwyth Town	1-0	W
2 Oct	H	Afan Lido	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Cardiff Draconians	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	llanelli AFC	3-0	W
31 Aug	H	Treowen Stars	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	Baglan Dragons	1-3	L
21 Aug	H	Swansea University	1-5	L
14 Aug	A	Trethomas Bluebirds	4-2	W
7 Aug	H	Ynyshir Albions	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Carmarthen Town	3-4	L

llanelli AFC

0W 2D 8L · goals 8:29 · per match 0.8 for, 2.9 against

10 Oct	A	Ynyshir Albions	2-6	L
2 Oct	H	Baglan Dragons	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Llantwit Major	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Caerau (Ely)	0-3	L
4 Sep	H	Treowen Stars	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Aberystwyth Town	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Carmarthen Town	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Cardiff Draconians	2-4	L
15 Aug	A	Swansea University	0-3	L
7 Aug	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	1-1	D

Head to head

1Caerau (Ely) wins

0draws

5llanelli AFC wins

6 meetings · goals 8:14 · last 6: 1W 0D 5L for Caerau (Ely)

11 Sep 2026FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caerau (Ely)3-0llanelli AFC
7 Mar 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC3-1Caerau (Ely)
11 Oct 2024FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caerau (Ely)1-2llanelli AFC
3 Nov 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	llanelli AFC4-0Caerau (Ely)
27 Oct 2023FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caerau (Ely)1-2llanelli AFC
7 Sep 2019FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Caerau (Ely)2-3llanelli AFC

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg179%1.13X13%6.6627%12.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.14 → 1.13 -0.9%X6.48 → 6.66 +2.8%211.8 → 12.1 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.24	3.34	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.24	3.34	10.6%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.26	3.36	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.73	1.96	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Caerau (Ely) 0%Draw 50%llanelli AFC 50%

The statistical model rated Caerau (Ely) at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and llanelli AFC at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.13 | 6.66 | 12.13, which imply roughly 15% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Caerau (Ely) averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; llanelli AFC averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or llanelli AFC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.14	6.48	11.8

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	4.20	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
1.05	8.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
1.51	2.99	8.76

2nd half

1	X	2
1.35	3.85	8.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.52	26.0	73.0
HT X	4.47	12.0	28.5
HT 2	16.3	27.0	23.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	26.5	3.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	27.5
1.5	1.08	7.50
2.5	1.26	3.36
3.5	1.65	2.07
4.5	2.43	1.46
5.5	4.06	1.21
6.5	7.00	1.08
7.5	10.5	1.02
8.5	15.0	1.01
9.5	21.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.06	6.15
2.75	1.28	3.08
3	1.33	2.85
3.25	1.47	2.38
3.75	1.75	1.90
4	1.95	1.71
4.25	2.15	1.58
4.75	2.69	1.37
5	3.28	1.25
5.25	3.50	1.26

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.30	1.53
-2.5	2.06	1.66
-2.25	1.85	1.83
-2	1.69	2.05
-1.75	1.55	2.25
-1.5	1.46	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.80	1.07
-4	5.13	1.12
-3.75	4.05	1.21
-3.5	3.29	1.27
-3.25	3.04	1.32
-3	2.71	1.39
-1.25	1.36	2.84
-1	1.22	3.70
-0.75	1.24	3.75
-0.5	1.23	4.00
-0.25	1.14	5.75
0	1.04	7.98

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	1.95	1.85