Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado• Primera División, Uruguay

#51.8:0.623:00Today · Gran Parque Central, Montevideo1.6:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91DAFX3.66PIN24.23PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets76Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.91	3.55	4.10	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.85	3.66	4.23	5.0%
BetVictor	1.80	3.50	4.20	7.9%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.90	9.1%
Betano	1.88	3.30	3.80	9.8%
1xBet	1.77	3.44	4.00	10.6%
Betfair	1.80	3.40	3.90	10.6%
Bet365	1.75	3.40	4.10	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	3.44	3.90	11.9%
SBO	1.85	3.07	3.52	15.0%
Best of all books	1.91	3.66	4.23	3.3%
Average	1.82	3.42	3.96	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado

Last 10#5Table position#21.72Points per game1.8415Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 50.453Attack rating4740Defence rating6057Form rating4360H2H rating4054Goals model4653Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 10:50 UTC

Club Nacional

8W 2D 0L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

15 Oct	H	Rentistas	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Central Espanol	1-0	W
5 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Cerro Largo	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Defensor Sporting	3-2	W
16 Sep	A	Progreso	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Wanderers	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Juventud	2-2	D
3 Sep	A	CA River Plate	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Penarol	1-0	W

Deportivo Maldonado

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:5 · per match 2.2 for, 0.5 against

15 Oct	H	Albion FC	4-1	W
9 Oct	H	Liverpool Montevideo	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Central Espanol	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Cerro	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Cerro Largo	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Defensor Sporting	0-1	L
9 Sep	H	Wanderers	4-1	W
5 Sep	H	Wanderers	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-0	W

Head to head

5Club Nacional wins

3draws

6Deportivo Maldonado wins

14 meetings · goals 22:20 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Club Nacional

31 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Deportivo Maldonado3-0Club Nacional
11 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Deportivo Maldonado4-2Club Nacional
14 Jan 2026Copa De La Liga Auf	Copa De La Liga Auf	Club Nacional0-0Deportivo Maldonado
16 Nov 2024Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Club Nacional5-2Deportivo Maldonado
20 May 2024Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado0-2Club Nacional
23 Oct 2023Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Club Nacional1-3Deportivo Maldonado
17 Jun 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Club Nacional4-0Deportivo Maldonado
18 Mar 2023Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Deportivo Maldonado0-0Club Nacional
30 Jul 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Deportivo Maldonado2-1Club Nacional
6 Feb 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Club Nacional2-3Deportivo Maldonado

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 19 Oct 10:50 UTC

In the Primera División table, Club Nacional sit 5th with 55 points from 32 games, while Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd with 59 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	33	19	7	7	51:27	+24	63
2	Deportivo Maldonado	32	17	8	7	50:28	+22	59
3	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
4	Racing Montevideo	33	15	11	7	39:27	+12	56
5	Club Nacional	32	17	4	11	48:38	+10	55
6	Liverpool Montevideo	33	14	11	8	44:31	+13	53
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	33	12	7	14	44:43	+1	43
9	Juventud	33	10	10	13	37:41	-4	40
10	Central Espanol	33	10	8	15	32:44	-12	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	33	8	11	14	30:40	-10	35
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Danubio	33	6	14	13	27:41	-14	32
16	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X27%3.42223%3.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.83 → 1.82 -0.5%X3.39 → 3.42 +0.9%23.90 → 3.97 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.01	1.83	4.4%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
SBO	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Betano	1.95	1.82	6.2%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	2.01	1.85	3.8%
Average	1.94	1.80	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.80	1.91	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club Nacional 35%Draw 35%Deportivo Maldonado 30%

The statistical model rates Club Nacional at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Deportivo Maldonado at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.42 | 3.97, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Club Nacional win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Club Nacional are 5th (55 pts, 48-38 goals), Deportivo Maldonado 2nd (59 pts, 50-28).

Over their last five matches, Club Nacional averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Deportivo Maldonado averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.42	3.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.87	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.14	4.48

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.44	4.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.85	14.6	39.1
HT X	4.63	5.15	8.72
HT 2	23.7	14.5	6.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	10.6	2.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.50
1.5	1.29	3.31
2.5	1.94	1.80
3.5	3.36	1.29
4.5	6.56	1.09
5.5	13.1	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.13	4.50
1.75	1.32	2.89
2	1.47	2.49
2.25	1.69	2.02
2.75	2.19	1.60
3	2.66	1.42
3.25	2.98	1.31
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.93	1.36
-1	2.54	1.47
-0.75	2.03	1.70
-0.5	1.83	1.95
-0.25	1.55	2.29
0	1.33	3.04

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.06
-2.25	6.48	1.07
-2	6.03	1.08
-1.75	4.10	1.18
-1.5	3.31	1.29
+0.25	1.26	3.47
+0.5	1.23	4.14
+0.75	1.12	5.30
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.5	1.04	7.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.68
7.5	1.29	3.14
8.5	1.55	2.28
9.5	1.95	1.78
10.5	2.52	1.45
11.5	3.45	1.24
12.5	5.14	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.31
6.25	1.06	5.48
6.75	1.12	4.45
7	1.14	4.22
7.25	1.22	3.48
7.75	1.33	2.87
8	1.39	2.74
8.25	1.48	2.41
8.75	1.66	2.09
9	1.72	2.02
9.25	1.86	1.84
9.75	2.10	1.65
10	2.24	1.58
10.25	2.40	1.48
10.75	2.79	1.35
11	3.16	1.27
11.25	3.32	1.24
11.75	3.98	1.16
12	4.75	1.10
12.25	4.95	1.09
13	7.28	1.01

Latest Primera División results

18 Oct	Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Penarol
18 Oct	Danubio 1-0 Central Espanol
18 Oct	Albion FC 2-1 Atletico Torque
17 Oct	Boston River 1-0 Defensor Sporting
17 Oct	Racing Montevideo 3-0 Wanderers
17 Oct	Progreso 2-0 Juventud