Juventud vs Penarol• Primera División, Uruguay

#91.0:0.60-0FT23/10 · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo1.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.96PINX3.40PIN22.06DAFMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets73Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 20:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.96	3.40	1.99	4.9%
Dafabet	3.70	3.40	2.06	5.0%
BetVictor	3.60	3.30	2.00	8.1%
Betano	3.60	3.15	1.98	10.0%
William Hill	3.60	3.10	2.00	10.0%
Bet365	3.60	3.20	1.95	10.3%
1xBet	3.71	3.22	1.90	10.6%
Betfair	3.60	3.30	1.90	10.7%
Marathonbet	3.62	3.22	1.88	11.9%
Best of all books	3.96	3.40	2.06	3.2%
Average	3.67	3.25	1.96	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JuventudPenarol

Last 10#9Table position#11.21Points per game1.888Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5057Defence rating4350Form rating5025H2H rating7525Goals model7540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC

Juventud

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Progreso	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Racing Montevideo	2-0	W
7 Oct	A	Plaza Colonia	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Boston River	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Cerro	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Albion FC	3-1	W
17 Sep	H	Racing Montevideo	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Danubio	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Club Nacional	2-2	D
2 Sep	A	Central Espanol	0-3	L

Penarol

5W 4D 1L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	A	Liverpool Montevideo	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Progreso	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Racing Montevideo	1-0	W
30 Sep	A	Atletico Torque	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Boston River	2-1	W
24 Sep	A	Danubio	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Cerro	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Albion FC	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Danubio	4-0	W
2 Sep	A	Atenas	2-2	D

Head to head

1Juventud wins

5draws

11Penarol wins

17 meetings · goals 8:31 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Juventud

20 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Penarol2-2Juventud
21 Sep 2025Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Penarol1-0Juventud
27 Mar 2025Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Juventud0-2Penarol
21 Sep 2019Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Juventud1-1Penarol
18 Aug 2019Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Penarol0-0Juventud
3 Mar 2019Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Penarol4-1Juventud
11 Nov 2017Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Penarol1-0Juventud
8 Apr 2017Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Juventud0-2Penarol
25 Sep 2016Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Juventud1-0Penarol
4 Jun 2016Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Juventud1-1Penarol

Primera División tablePrimera: Tabla Anualupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Juventud sit 9th with 41 points from 34 games, while Penarol are 1st with 64 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Penarol	34	19	8	7	51:27	+24	64
2	Deportivo Maldonado	33	17	8	8	52:31	+21	59
3	Club Nacional	33	18	4	11	51:40	+11	58
4	Atletico Torque	33	17	6	10	54:39	+15	57
5	Racing Montevideo	34	15	12	7	42:30	+12	57
6	Liverpool Montevideo	33	14	11	8	44:31	+13	53
7	Wanderers	33	14	8	11	41:42	-1	50
8	Albion FC	34	13	7	14	47:44	+3	46
9	Juventud	34	10	11	13	37:41	-4	41
10	Central Espanol	34	10	8	16	33:47	-14	38
11	Boston River	33	10	7	16	33:43	-10	37
12	Cerro	33	10	7	16	27:48	-21	37
13	Defensor Sporting	34	8	12	14	33:43	-10	36
14	Cerro Largo	33	8	10	15	30:38	-8	34
15	Danubio	33	6	14	13	27:41	-14	32
16	Progreso	33	9	5	19	30:47	-17	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.67X28%3.25247%1.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.77 → 3.67 -2.7%X3.24 → 3.25 +0.3%21.90 → 1.96 +3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.15	1.72	4.7%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.03	1.68	8.8%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.73	4.3%
Average	2.07	1.69	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Best of all books	1.86	1.85	7.8%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Juventud 10%Draw 45%Penarol 45%

The statistical model rated Juventud at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Penarol at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.67 | 3.25 | 1.96, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Juventud are 9th (41 pts, 37-41 goals), Penarol 1st (64 pts, 51-27).

Over their last five matches, Juventud averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Penarol averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Penarol and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Juventud

4-3-2-1

Coach: Sergio Blanco

Goalkeeper

1S. Sosa

Defence

24F. Barrandeguy
2P. Pernicone
5david morosini
8K. Rolón
14L. Roldán

Midfield

19R. Cecchini
37R. Peralta
22R. Chagas
26G. Pereiro
10B. Larregui

Substitutes (10)

7A. Alaniz
27J. Boselli
4M. Cáceres
12F. Correa
31Mirko Diaz
29facundo dominguez
23E. Más
25I. Mujica
21Facundo Nahuel Pérez Bertinat
16R. Rabino

Penarol

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Aguirre

Goalkeeper

29W. Aguerre

Defence

28I. Alegre
2G. Pezzella
34N. Herrera
15M. Olivera
5E. Remedi
26Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat

Midfield

8N. Fernández

Attack

7J. Cabrera
11C. Jaime
99A. Hernández

Substitutes (10)

77L. Angulo
19M. Arezo
36B. Barboza
1S. Britos
80F. González
3M. Lemos
27L. Hernández
16T. Olase
33J. Rodríguez
32L. Umpiérrez

Match Statistics

JuventudPenarol

45%Ball Possession55%

0Red Cards1

0Shots on Goal2

4Yellow Cards2

0Free Kicks0

4Corner Kicks5

3Shots off Goal4

0Blocked Shots0

3Total Shots6

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.67	3.25	1.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.23	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.62	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
4.36	2.07	2.58

2nd half

1	X	2
3.89	2.35	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.36	14.8	26.2
HT X	8.06	4.79	4.81
HT 2	39.4	14.6	3.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.47	8.30	1.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.27
1.5	1.33	3.07
2.5	2.07	1.69
3.5	3.68	1.24
4.5	7.38	1.06
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.91
1.75	1.43	2.61
2	1.57	2.26
2.25	1.81	1.88
2.75	2.38	1.51
3	2.92	1.31
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.61	1.13
4	6.45	1.05
4.25	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.17	1.31
0	2.70	1.42
+0.25	2.07	1.68
+0.5	1.80	1.99
+0.75	1.58	2.26
+1	1.36	2.93

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1.25	8.00	1.02
-1	7.50	1.03
-0.75	4.68	1.14
-0.5	3.74	1.27
+1.25	1.29	3.30
+1.5	1.23	3.70
+1.75	1.14	4.70
+2	1.06	6.83
+2.25	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.62
6.5	1.24	3.47
7.5	1.49	2.44
8.5	1.84	1.86
9.5	2.37	1.51
10.5	3.35	1.26
11.5	5.00	1.09

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.07	5.34
6	1.08	5.07
6.25	1.16	4.01
6.75	1.26	3.20
7	1.30	3.02
7.25	1.40	2.62
7.75	1.57	2.23
8	1.62	2.17
8.25	1.77	1.94
8.75	2.00	1.72
9	2.08	1.68
9.25	2.29	1.53
9.75	2.67	1.39
10	3.02	1.30
10.25	3.18	1.27
10.75	3.84	1.18
11	4.59	1.11
11.25	4.80	1.10

Next Primera División matches

25 Oct	Wanderers – Progreso
25 Oct	Atletico Torque – Cerro
25 Oct	Cerro Largo – Boston River

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

24 Oct	Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Danubio
24 Oct	Defensor Sporting 3-3 Racing Montevideo
24 Oct	Central Espanol 1-3 Albion FC
19 Oct	Club Nacional 3-2 Deportivo Maldonado
18 Oct	Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Penarol
18 Oct	Danubio 1-0 Central Espanol